Re: Solar Activity Report for 1/8/03
- I see that the solar wind is real low--however. It will be real
interesting to watch the SOI and weather and see how it responds to
all of this.
--- In firstname.lastname@example.org, "David <b1blancer1@e...>"
> ** Aurora Watch In Effect **1
> Finally Flares!! After dropping below the 50 mark for two days, the
> sunspot number has soared back up close to 200, and some of the
> sunspots are active! Of the seven visible sunspot regions, two have
> produced flares within the last 24 hours. Region 244 produced an M-
> flare, and region 251 kicked off a powerful M-4 flare that was darnCME,
> close to an M-5. While neither flare produced an Earth-directed
> more activity is a strong possibility from either of these twosunspot
> regions, so stay tuned! Rgeion 251 has just appeared over theeastern
> limb of the solar disk, so it's going to be around for several morebe
> days. The cause of the aurora watch is a small coronal hole that is
> an Earth-pointing position. Any geonagnetic activity is likely to
> of a fairly low level, but aurora are at least a small possibilityin
> the higher latitudes. Look for the solar wind speed to startpicking
> up on the 9th or 10th.the
> The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
> NOAA sunspot number : 198
> SFI : 174
> A index : 6
> K index : 1
> Solar wind speed : 288.1 km/sec
> Solar wind density : 5.7 protons/cc
> Solar wind pressure : 0.8 nPa
> IMF : 7.2 nT
> IMF Orientation : 2.7 nT North
> Conditions for the last 24 hours :
> No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
> Forecast for the next 24 hours :
> Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor. Radio
> blackouts reaching the R1 level are expected.
> Solar activity forecast :
> Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Several regions on
> the disk have the potential for producing an M-class event.
> Geomagnetic activity forecast :
> The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled through
> next three days. Isolated active conditions are possible on 10January
> due to expected coronal hole effects.
> Recent significant solar flare activity :
> 07-Jan-2003 2333Z M4.9
> 07-Jan-2003 0750Z M1.0