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Re: Solar Activity Report for 1/8/03

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  • Mike Doran <mike@usinter.net>
    I see that the solar wind is real low--however. It will be real interesting to watch the SOI and weather and see how it responds to all of this. ... 1 ...
    Message 1 of 2 , Jan 9, 2003
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      I see that the solar wind is real low--however. It will be real
      interesting to watch the SOI and weather and see how it responds to
      all of this.

      --- In methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com, "David <b1blancer1@e...>"
      <b1blancer1@e...> wrote:
      > ** Aurora Watch In Effect **
      >
      > Finally Flares!! After dropping below the 50 mark for two days, the
      > sunspot number has soared back up close to 200, and some of the
      > sunspots are active! Of the seven visible sunspot regions, two have
      > produced flares within the last 24 hours. Region 244 produced an M-
      1
      > flare, and region 251 kicked off a powerful M-4 flare that was darn
      > close to an M-5. While neither flare produced an Earth-directed
      CME,
      > more activity is a strong possibility from either of these two
      sunspot
      > regions, so stay tuned! Rgeion 251 has just appeared over the
      eastern
      > limb of the solar disk, so it's going to be around for several more
      > days. The cause of the aurora watch is a small coronal hole that is
      > an Earth-pointing position. Any geonagnetic activity is likely to
      be
      > of a fairly low level, but aurora are at least a small possibility
      in
      > the higher latitudes. Look for the solar wind speed to start
      picking
      > up on the 9th or 10th.
      >
      > The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
      >
      > NOAA sunspot number : 198
      > SFI : 174
      > A index : 6
      > K index : 1
      >
      > Solar wind speed : 288.1 km/sec
      > Solar wind density : 5.7 protons/cc
      > Solar wind pressure : 0.8 nPa
      >
      > IMF : 7.2 nT
      > IMF Orientation : 2.7 nT North
      >
      > Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      > No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
      >
      > Forecast for the next 24 hours :
      > Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor. Radio
      > blackouts reaching the R1 level are expected.
      >
      > Solar activity forecast :
      > Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Several regions on
      > the disk have the potential for producing an M-class event.
      >
      > Geomagnetic activity forecast :
      > The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled through
      the
      > next three days. Isolated active conditions are possible on 10
      January
      > due to expected coronal hole effects.
      >
      > Recent significant solar flare activity :
      > 07-Jan-2003 2333Z M4.9
      > 07-Jan-2003 0750Z M1.0
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