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Black holed sun . . .

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  • Mike Doran
    I lit a candle and put it in one of my better half s pottery vases. This one vase has little light blue marbles in the thin pottery and the light from the
    Message 1 of 4 , Nov 5, 2002
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      I lit a candle and put it in one of my better half's pottery vases.
      This one vase has little light blue marbles in the thin pottery and
      the light from the candle comes out in little blue dots. It is very
      elegant especially at night in the doorway. During the day, now, I
      am really the only one who knows there is a candle burning, but I
      will show my daughter because she likes candles. She likes to blow
      them out.

      My favorite author is Ernest Hemingway. One of his books is
      entitled "For Whom the Bell Tolls". It is about an American involved
      in the Spanish Civil war during WWII. His job is to blow up a bridge
      that separates the fascists from the socialists. It documents as
      historical fiction the murdering of Priests by the fascists at that
      time. In the front of the book is a segment of a poem by John Donne
      for which the title is based. It is John Donne's most widely known
      passage. It is a meditation upon the sickness and death of a
      neighbor (Translated from Latin):


      "No man is an island, entire of itself; every man is a piece of the
      continent, a part of the main. If a clod be washed away by the sea,
      Europe is the less, as well as if a promontory were, as well as if a
      manor of thy friend's or of thine own were: any man's death
      diminishes me, because I am involved in mankind, and therefore never
      send to know for whom the bell tolls; it tolls for thee. Neither can
      we call this a begging of misery, or a borrowing of misery, as though
      we were not miserable enough of ourselves, but must fetch in more
      from the next house, in taking upon us the misery of our neighbours.
      Truly it were an excusable covetousness if we did, for affliction is
      a treasure, and scarce any man hath enough of it. No man hath
      affliction enough that is not matured and ripened by and made fit for
      God by that affliction. If a man carry treasure in bullion, or in a
      wedge of gold, and have none coined into current money, his treasure
      will not defray him as he travels. Tribulation is treasure in the
      nature of it, but it is not current money in the use of it, except we
      get nearer and nearer our home, heaven, by it. Another man may be
      sick too, and sick to death, and this affliction may lie in his
      bowels, as gold in a mine, and be of no use to him; but this bell,
      that tells me of his affliction, digs out and applies that gold to
      me: if by this consideration of another's danger I take mine own into
      contemplation, and so secure myself, by making my recourse to my God,
      who is our only security."

      From "Devotions Upon Emergent Occasions", Part XVII, Meditation by
      John Donne.

      ++++++++++++++++++

      http://www.weatherimages.org/data/imag87.html

      The pattern of clouds to strikes lacks significant Doran waves,
      despite the solar wind and positive SOI. What can be noticed is that
      the monsoonal pattern and the strikes from it are no longer there and
      for the most part the SW is fair weather and especailly the Gulf of
      California/ Sea of Cortez is very fair weather, with probable high
      positive voltages to ground. The only strike activity is seen in the
      W. GOM in a line moving NW and the only significant Doran wave
      activity from it is a oblong patch of clouds over Texas, but without
      any strike activity associated with it.

      It is my view that the waters and convective activity is really
      winding down now from the standpoint of how these Doran waves impact
      climate in the way we were observing during the tropical season.
      That is not to say that the SSTs and the land / sea interactions are
      inactive in the W. Carribean, and Caracus December 1999 is a good
      example. The season remains hydrologically, biologically shifted
      there . . .
    • David
      Thanks again, Mike. I appreciate it. I agree about Hemmingway. He s amazing. Its a shame he went the way he did, before his time as far as I m concerned.
      Message 2 of 4 , Nov 6, 2002
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        Thanks again, Mike. I appreciate it. I agree about Hemmingway. He's
        amazing. Its a shame he went the way he did, before his time as far
        as I'm concerned.

        Sorry I didn't get a solar activity report posted last night. I was
        too engrossed in watching the election returns! There was nothing
        really earth-shaking to report anyway. The solar wind speed right now
        is around 560 km/sec, with the density about 4 protons/cc. There have
        been a few aurora displays in Canada and northern Europe. The solar
        wind speed is down a little from yesterday from its peak at about 580,
        which would indicate that the main part of the activity is over. No
        major flares to report at this time. I'll post a full report tonight.
      • Mike Doran
        David wrote: I was ... As we probably all were. Republicans did real well. I am not surprised. Saddened. But not surprised. It isn t magic nor is even that
        Message 3 of 4 , Nov 6, 2002
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          David wrote:

          I was
          > too engrossed in watching the election returns!

          As we probably all were.

          Republicans did real well.

          I am not surprised. Saddened. But not surprised.

          It isn't magic nor is even that Bush was that charming.

          Rather, the low density base grows.

          In 1960, 60 percent of the population lived in small towns and
          cities. That was your DFL base. The Republicans lived in the emerging
          suburbs.

          Now, 60% live in the burbs. And that number grows.

          But it has its limits. That is why the economy fritters with
          stagnation, as the intense, 10 trillion dollar subsidies of free
          roads continuely looks for economic opportunity. Even now, people
          don't drive not because of cost but wait. Gridlock is the price of
          this transport--much like the lines for bread in the former Soviet
          Union. Politicians are for sale, as certainly they were in this
          election--because there is something basic to sell . . . like a war
          for oil. A billion dollars spent in places like South Dakota . . .

          But this shift in population is also why this Republican political
          expansion is as short sighted as their energy and envioronmental
          policy--and specific to my concern, to a living earth. And that is
          why at the end of the day I would rather be right and teaching it
          then wrong and belonging. My cup runneth over no matter how a long
          commuter in South Dakota votes.

          I have been posting on climate here and elsewhere for about 5 years
          and as the politics change my message really has not yet it has
          stayed on the cutting edge. And I am also convinced it will be there
          for decades. Truth has a way. Already Texico has run ads about
          a 'new' fuel that is not gas/oil in the Gulf of Mexico. What is this
          fuel? Methane from hydrates, of course. The climate implications of
          harvesting them will be enormous there. My view is what we are
          discussing, debating, about the sun and the biosphere's role in
          modulation, and to what degree and to what degree human activity
          interacts with this dynamic is SO far ahead of the curve that it
          isn't even in the scientific periodicals--but it will be. CO2 as a
          GHG is a loser, but Gaia in the context of cloud behavior, EMFs, is
          not, because it gets to the causal aspects of climate. It suffers
          from complexity, is about all. That is where education comes in.

          By 2009 Three Gorge will be filling and the climate implications of
          that are going to be impossible to ignore. By then we will have a
          visit to Hubbert's Peak, and I think the science of clouds will grow
          to the point that when we as a general public look back at this
          election, we will be very saddened collectively.
        • David
          If you look at the numbers, the shift was pretty small. Maybe 5 or so House seats, and two or three Senate seats. The Democrats had a net gain of one in
          Message 4 of 4 , Nov 6, 2002
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            If you look at the numbers, the shift was pretty small. Maybe 5 or
            so House seats, and two or three Senate seats. The Democrats had a
            net gain of one in Governors. What made it news was that the margin
            in the Senate was so small that this small shift changed the
            majority, and that this election went against the long-standing
            tradition that the party in the White House looses Congressional
            seats in off-year elections.

            I think you, and perhaps many others, may be overestimating the
            impact of last night. From a pure numbers standpoint, the Senate
            only changed a small amount. The Democrats lost 2 seats, and the
            Republicans gained 2. That's not that much. Rarely does a vote
            split straight along party lines. You almost always see cross-overs,
            and that's not going to change now.

            Assuming Johnson(D) holds onto his Senate seat for SD, which I think
            he will when all the recounting is over with, the worst the Democrats
            will see is a 52/47/1 split, and even that's assuming that Terrell(R)
            wins Louisiana in the upcoming runoff. If Landrieu(D) wins LA, then
            you have a 51/48/1 split. Either way, it'll be narrow difference.

            I just don't see that the numbers have changed enough to bring about
            the massive changes you're alluding to. Its not like the Republicans
            hold a 2/3 majority in both houses. Far from it, in fact. You will
            see some things brought about by the changes in committee
            chairmanships and changes in the legislative adgenda, which the
            majority party sets. Hopefully we'll finally get a Homeland Security
            Bill, and maybe some of the judicial nominations that Dachle has been
            blocking can finally be completed.

            And besides, just because I'm a Republican doesn't mean that I want
            to commit wholesale rape upon Planet Earth! I like clean air, clean
            water, a diverse and bountiful flora and fauna, etc etc, just as much
            as you or anybody else! I think you'll find that's the case with
            Republicans most of the time.
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