Black holed sun . . .
- I lit a candle and put it in one of my better half's pottery vases.
This one vase has little light blue marbles in the thin pottery and
the light from the candle comes out in little blue dots. It is very
elegant especially at night in the doorway. During the day, now, I
am really the only one who knows there is a candle burning, but I
will show my daughter because she likes candles. She likes to blow
My favorite author is Ernest Hemingway. One of his books is
entitled "For Whom the Bell Tolls". It is about an American involved
in the Spanish Civil war during WWII. His job is to blow up a bridge
that separates the fascists from the socialists. It documents as
historical fiction the murdering of Priests by the fascists at that
time. In the front of the book is a segment of a poem by John Donne
for which the title is based. It is John Donne's most widely known
passage. It is a meditation upon the sickness and death of a
neighbor (Translated from Latin):
"No man is an island, entire of itself; every man is a piece of the
continent, a part of the main. If a clod be washed away by the sea,
Europe is the less, as well as if a promontory were, as well as if a
manor of thy friend's or of thine own were: any man's death
diminishes me, because I am involved in mankind, and therefore never
send to know for whom the bell tolls; it tolls for thee. Neither can
we call this a begging of misery, or a borrowing of misery, as though
we were not miserable enough of ourselves, but must fetch in more
from the next house, in taking upon us the misery of our neighbours.
Truly it were an excusable covetousness if we did, for affliction is
a treasure, and scarce any man hath enough of it. No man hath
affliction enough that is not matured and ripened by and made fit for
God by that affliction. If a man carry treasure in bullion, or in a
wedge of gold, and have none coined into current money, his treasure
will not defray him as he travels. Tribulation is treasure in the
nature of it, but it is not current money in the use of it, except we
get nearer and nearer our home, heaven, by it. Another man may be
sick too, and sick to death, and this affliction may lie in his
bowels, as gold in a mine, and be of no use to him; but this bell,
that tells me of his affliction, digs out and applies that gold to
me: if by this consideration of another's danger I take mine own into
contemplation, and so secure myself, by making my recourse to my God,
who is our only security."
From "Devotions Upon Emergent Occasions", Part XVII, Meditation by
The pattern of clouds to strikes lacks significant Doran waves,
despite the solar wind and positive SOI. What can be noticed is that
the monsoonal pattern and the strikes from it are no longer there and
for the most part the SW is fair weather and especailly the Gulf of
California/ Sea of Cortez is very fair weather, with probable high
positive voltages to ground. The only strike activity is seen in the
W. GOM in a line moving NW and the only significant Doran wave
activity from it is a oblong patch of clouds over Texas, but without
any strike activity associated with it.
It is my view that the waters and convective activity is really
winding down now from the standpoint of how these Doran waves impact
climate in the way we were observing during the tropical season.
That is not to say that the SSTs and the land / sea interactions are
inactive in the W. Carribean, and Caracus December 1999 is a good
example. The season remains hydrologically, biologically shifted
there . . .
- Thanks again, Mike. I appreciate it. I agree about Hemmingway. He's
amazing. Its a shame he went the way he did, before his time as far
as I'm concerned.
Sorry I didn't get a solar activity report posted last night. I was
too engrossed in watching the election returns! There was nothing
really earth-shaking to report anyway. The solar wind speed right now
is around 560 km/sec, with the density about 4 protons/cc. There have
been a few aurora displays in Canada and northern Europe. The solar
wind speed is down a little from yesterday from its peak at about 580,
which would indicate that the main part of the activity is over. No
major flares to report at this time. I'll post a full report tonight.
- David wrote:
> too engrossed in watching the election returns!As we probably all were.
Republicans did real well.
I am not surprised. Saddened. But not surprised.
It isn't magic nor is even that Bush was that charming.
Rather, the low density base grows.
In 1960, 60 percent of the population lived in small towns and
cities. That was your DFL base. The Republicans lived in the emerging
Now, 60% live in the burbs. And that number grows.
But it has its limits. That is why the economy fritters with
stagnation, as the intense, 10 trillion dollar subsidies of free
roads continuely looks for economic opportunity. Even now, people
don't drive not because of cost but wait. Gridlock is the price of
this transport--much like the lines for bread in the former Soviet
Union. Politicians are for sale, as certainly they were in this
election--because there is something basic to sell . . . like a war
for oil. A billion dollars spent in places like South Dakota . . .
But this shift in population is also why this Republican political
expansion is as short sighted as their energy and envioronmental
policy--and specific to my concern, to a living earth. And that is
why at the end of the day I would rather be right and teaching it
then wrong and belonging. My cup runneth over no matter how a long
commuter in South Dakota votes.
I have been posting on climate here and elsewhere for about 5 years
and as the politics change my message really has not yet it has
stayed on the cutting edge. And I am also convinced it will be there
for decades. Truth has a way. Already Texico has run ads about
a 'new' fuel that is not gas/oil in the Gulf of Mexico. What is this
fuel? Methane from hydrates, of course. The climate implications of
harvesting them will be enormous there. My view is what we are
discussing, debating, about the sun and the biosphere's role in
modulation, and to what degree and to what degree human activity
interacts with this dynamic is SO far ahead of the curve that it
isn't even in the scientific periodicals--but it will be. CO2 as a
GHG is a loser, but Gaia in the context of cloud behavior, EMFs, is
not, because it gets to the causal aspects of climate. It suffers
from complexity, is about all. That is where education comes in.
By 2009 Three Gorge will be filling and the climate implications of
that are going to be impossible to ignore. By then we will have a
visit to Hubbert's Peak, and I think the science of clouds will grow
to the point that when we as a general public look back at this
election, we will be very saddened collectively.
- If you look at the numbers, the shift was pretty small. Maybe 5 or
so House seats, and two or three Senate seats. The Democrats had a
net gain of one in Governors. What made it news was that the margin
in the Senate was so small that this small shift changed the
majority, and that this election went against the long-standing
tradition that the party in the White House looses Congressional
seats in off-year elections.
I think you, and perhaps many others, may be overestimating the
impact of last night. From a pure numbers standpoint, the Senate
only changed a small amount. The Democrats lost 2 seats, and the
Republicans gained 2. That's not that much. Rarely does a vote
split straight along party lines. You almost always see cross-overs,
and that's not going to change now.
Assuming Johnson(D) holds onto his Senate seat for SD, which I think
he will when all the recounting is over with, the worst the Democrats
will see is a 52/47/1 split, and even that's assuming that Terrell(R)
wins Louisiana in the upcoming runoff. If Landrieu(D) wins LA, then
you have a 51/48/1 split. Either way, it'll be narrow difference.
I just don't see that the numbers have changed enough to bring about
the massive changes you're alluding to. Its not like the Republicans
hold a 2/3 majority in both houses. Far from it, in fact. You will
see some things brought about by the changes in committee
chairmanships and changes in the legislative adgenda, which the
majority party sets. Hopefully we'll finally get a Homeland Security
Bill, and maybe some of the judicial nominations that Dachle has been
blocking can finally be completed.
And besides, just because I'm a Republican doesn't mean that I want
to commit wholesale rape upon Planet Earth! I like clean air, clean
water, a diverse and bountiful flora and fauna, etc etc, just as much
as you or anybody else! I think you'll find that's the case with
Republicans most of the time.