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Re: Solar Activity Report for 11/4/02

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  • Mike Doran
    With the SOI so positive and the wind so positive I wouldn t be surprised to see something tropical in the W. Car . . . ... mentioned ... day. ... for ...
    Message 1 of 5 , Nov 5, 2002
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      With the SOI so positive and the wind so positive I wouldn't be
      surprised to see something tropical in the W. Car . . .


      > ** Aurora Watch In Effect **
      >
      > The Earth is now entering the high speed solar wind stream I
      mentioned
      > in my last report, and an aurora watch is in effect. The solar wind
      > speed has topped thr 550 km/sec mark, and has been climbing all
      day.
      > Some aurora made something of a surprise appearance last night,
      > showing up in Alaska, Canada, and northern Europe. See this link
      for
      > some pictures :
      > http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/gallery_03nov02.html .
      > More aurora are a possibility tonight and tomorrow night as the high
      > speed solar wind persists. Sunspot region 177, and newly appreared
      > suspot region 180 show the best possibility for generating flares.
      > Region has already been active, firing off an M-1 class flare on
      > 11/3.
      >
      > The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
      >
      > NOAA sunspot number : 166
      > SFI : 177
      > A index : 18
      > K index : 3
      >
      > Solar wind speed : 559.2 km/sec
      > Solar wind density : 4.2 protons/cc
      > Solar wind pressure : 2.3 nPa
      >
      > IMF : 10.0 nT
      > IMF Orientation : 6.8 nT
      >
      > Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      > No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
      >
      > Forecast for the next 24 hours :
      > Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor.
      > Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected. Radio
      blackouts
      > reaching the R1 level are expected.
      >
      > Solar activity forecast :
      > Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. Regions
      > 177 and 180 exhibit the potential for M-class flare production.
      >
      > Geomagnetic activity forecast :
      > The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active
      levels
      > with occasional minor to major storm levels mostly at high latitudes
      > through day two. Mostly unsettled conditions with isolated active
      > periods are expected on day three.
      >
      > Recent significant solar flare activity :
      > 03-Nov-2002 1403Z M1.3
    • David
      ... EEK! I hope not. Coastal Texas and LA have had enough rain. They don t need anything tropical wandering ashore.
      Message 2 of 5 , Nov 5, 2002
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        --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "Mike Doran" <mike@u...> wrote:
        > With the SOI so positive and the wind so positive I wouldn't be
        > surprised to see something tropical in the W. Car . . .
        >
        >

        EEK! I hope not. Coastal Texas and LA have had enough rain. They
        don't need anything tropical wandering ashore.
      • David
        ... Thank you, Mike. I appreciate it very much.
        Message 3 of 5 , Nov 5, 2002
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          --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "Mike Doran" <mike@u...> wrote:
          > > Today's solar activity report is dedicated to the memory of my
          > Mother.
          > > November 4th would have been her birthday. She went home to be with
          > > Jesus on July 16, 1996, at the age of 79.
          > >
          >
          > No man is an island.

          Thank you, Mike. I appreciate it very much.
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