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US drought update

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  • Pawnfart
    Drought monitor link: http://enso.unl.edu/monitor/monitor.html Check out
    Message 1 of 702 , Jul 9, 2001
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      Drought monitor link:<br>
      <br><a href=http://enso.unl.edu/monitor/monitor.html target=new>http://enso.unl.edu/monitor/monitor.html</a><br><br><br>Check out this link below in relation to the above
      link:<br><br><a href=http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats2/enso/elnino/USp target=new>http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats2/enso/elnino/USp</a><br>rank/amj.gif<br><br>It is from
      here:<br><br><a href=http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats2/enso/elnino/ind target=new>http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats2/enso/elnino/ind</a><br>ex.html<br><br>If you super impose the dry conditions coming into
      the flaring event this spring, you can see that the
      decrease in drought conditions is consistant with a small
      "El Nino", although I would rather think of it as a
      relative <br>flaring event that moves cirrus despite
      counter current negitive electrical induction.<br><br>It
      should be noted that Florida stops getting rain in that
      first link, but in the Jan-Feb link it gets anomaly
      rain.<br><br>Understand that because the earth's orbit is elliptical,
      flaring isn't a factor in the summer. What clearly
      happens is a warm anomaly moves in the ocean currents and
      changes rainfall patterns. If you check out the <br>SST
      anomalies, you can see an ON FIRE anomaly near the Alaska
      current, that undoubtedly affects rainfall in Washington
      state.<br><br>But by comparision, following the 1997-8 monster El
      Nino, that struck the year of the diversion of the
      Yangtze.
      Compare:<br><br><a href=http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/climo_archive/anomnight.7.11.1998.gi target=new>http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/climo_archive/anomnight.7.11.1998.gi</a><br>f<br><br>With<br><br><a href=http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/climo.html target=new>http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/climo.html</a><br><br>I would say that the persistant cirrus patterns
      have set in and that shows what little difference
      there is between this go around and 1998. <br><br>Since
      the next flaring event isn't til 2003 per Daly's
      site, which I think shows correlative flaring data
      based on a causal mechanism, I think the China dams are
      going to cause persistant drought in the PC NW until
      <br>then. It will be crazy dry there up til Shrub faces
      reelection!<br><br>Florida too, will be dry. See
      <br><a href=http://www.ssiatty.com/climate/flaring.html target=new>http://www.ssiatty.com/climate/flaring.html</a>
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1, 2002
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        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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