Re: Solar Activity Report for 9/6/02
- Between the warm anomalies off the coast of Panama getting cooled by
Doran waves and cyclonic activity this late fall and your reporting
slowing flaring and CME, a La Nina or neutral winter is a sure thing.
The SOI has maintained itself near zero and is barely positive again
--- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "David" <b1blancer1@e...> wrote:
> There isn't much to report tonight. If it weren't for a coronal
> things would be positively boring. No major flares have been
> over the last few days, and no sunspot regions currently visible
> like they have much of a flare generating potential. There is a
> chance of an M-class flare from sunspot region 132 or 134. Getting
> back to the aforementioned coronal hole, there is a small one
> into an Earth-pointing position. We could see some solar wind gusts
> from it around the 30th.
> The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
> NOAA sunspot number : 157
> SFI : 150
> A index : 6
> K index : 2
> Solar wind speed : 308.9 km/sec
> Solar wind density : 1.1 protons/cc
> Solar wind pressure : 0.3 nPa
> IMF : 7.8 nT
> IMF Orientation : 4.4 nT North
> Conditions for the last 24 hours :
> No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
> Forecast for the next 24 hours :
> No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.
> Solar activity forecast :
> Solar activity is expected to be predominantly low for the next
> days. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from
> Region 132 or Region 134.
> Geomagnetic activity forecast :
> The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next
> three days. There is a possibility for an increase to unsettled to
> active late on the third day as a positive polarity coronal hole
> be rotating into a geoeffective position at that time.
> Recent significant solar flare activity :