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Re: Solar Activity Report for 9/6/02

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  • Mike Doran
    Between the warm anomalies off the coast of Panama getting cooled by Doran waves and cyclonic activity this late fall and your reporting slowing flaring and
    Message 1 of 3 , Sep 27, 2002
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      Between the warm anomalies off the coast of Panama getting cooled by
      Doran waves and cyclonic activity this late fall and your reporting
      slowing flaring and CME, a La Nina or neutral winter is a sure thing.


      The SOI has maintained itself near zero and is barely positive again
      today.

      --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "David" <b1blancer1@e...> wrote:
      > There isn't much to report tonight. If it weren't for a coronal
      hole,
      > things would be positively boring. No major flares have been
      recorded
      > over the last few days, and no sunspot regions currently visible
      look
      > like they have much of a flare generating potential. There is a
      small
      > chance of an M-class flare from sunspot region 132 or 134. Getting
      > back to the aforementioned coronal hole, there is a small one
      rotating
      > into an Earth-pointing position. We could see some solar wind gusts
      > from it around the 30th.
      >
      > The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
      >
      > NOAA sunspot number : 157
      > SFI : 150
      > A index : 6
      > K index : 2
      >
      > Solar wind speed : 308.9 km/sec
      > Solar wind density : 1.1 protons/cc
      > Solar wind pressure : 0.3 nPa
      >
      > IMF : 7.8 nT
      > IMF Orientation : 4.4 nT North
      >
      > Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      > No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
      >
      > Forecast for the next 24 hours :
      > No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.
      >
      > Solar activity forecast :
      > Solar activity is expected to be predominantly low for the next
      three
      > days. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from
      > Region 132 or Region 134.
      >
      > Geomagnetic activity forecast :
      > The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next
      > three days. There is a possibility for an increase to unsettled to
      > active late on the third day as a positive polarity coronal hole
      will
      > be rotating into a geoeffective position at that time.
      >
      > Recent significant solar flare activity :
      > None
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