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Robalini's Week 6 NFL Picks

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  • robalini
    Please send as far and wide as possible. Thanks, Robert Sterling Editor, The Konformist http://www.konformist.com http://robalini.blogspot.com
    Message 1 of 2 , Oct 15, 2011
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      Please send as far and wide as possible.

      Thanks,
      Robert Sterling
      Editor, The Konformist
      http://www.konformist.com
      http://robalini.blogspot.com
      http://groups.yahoo.com/group/konformist

      Steamshovelpress.com is back! New web content! New book product! New conference information! PLUS: a new, daily, twitterish quip: "Parapolitics Offhand!"

      Now available on CD and through US Mail only: Popular Parapolitics, 219 pages, illustrated, of comentary on the nexus of parapolitics and popular culture. $15 post paid from Kenn Thomas, POB 210553, St. Louis, MO 63121.

      http://www.steamshovelpress.com

      Here's my results for week 5
      W-L-T record: 3-3
      Season record: 16-14-2

      Robalini's Commentary: 3-3 means losing money, but considering I took chances (going with underdogs against the Patriots and Packers) and was 1/2 a point against the Pats and a point with the Chargers of going 1-5, I'll consider it a winning week on balance...

      Pittsburgh Steelers (-12) Over Jacksonville Jaguars

      Twelve points is a lot, but Pittsburgh is looking good and playing a weak team on their home turf...

      Philadelphia Eagles (-1) Over Washington Redskins

      A lot of people are jumping off the Eagles bandwagon. Balderdash! Certainly the Eagles aren't the "Dream Team" they were hyped to be before the season started, but they're still way better than their 1-4 suggests. Look for them to go on the road against Washington and expose the Redskins for the fraud they are...

      Baltimore Ravens (-7 1/2) Over Houston Texans

      I'll take the Ravens at home to soundly beat the Texans after resting a weeking and trouncing the Steelers two weeks ago...

      Oakland Raiders (-6 1/2) Over Cleveland Browns

      The Raiders are inspired after the passing of the great Al Davis. Playing at home against a weak Browns team should keep the mo going...

      Dallas Cowboys (+7) Over New England Patriots

      It's always a little risky betting against Tom Brady, but it's less when you factor in point spreads. The Cowboys, whatever their flaws, are good enough to beat any team in the NFL, including the Patriots, and their two losses were still closely fought. The Pats weak passing defense (expect Tony Romo to have a great game) only helps the case. The Pats can still win, but expect it to be a close one either way. I'm taking a touchdown and Dallas!!!

      New Orleans Saints (-5) Over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

      As good as the Saints are, I wouldn't take them -5 over a quality Bucs team on the road normally. But considering the ass-kicking the 49ers gave Tampa Bay last week (which even I didn't expect, even though I picked SF to win) there should be a major hangover effect...

      Chicago Bears (-3) Over Minnesota Vikings

      The Bears really have had a tough time so far this season, but considering they're playing at home against the Vikings, they should win by more than a field goal...

      New York Jets (-7) Over Miami Dolphins

      The Jets have lossed three weeks in a row. The streak should end decisively at home against the Dolphins...

      All bets are placed at Station Casinos:

      http://www.stationcasinos.com/

      To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

      http://www.vegasinsider.com/
    • robalini
      Please send as far and wide as possible. Thanks, Robert Sterling Editor, The Konformist http://www.konformist.com http://robalini.blogspot.com
      Message 2 of 2 , Oct 11, 2012
      • 0 Attachment
        Please send as far and wide as possible.

        Thanks,
        Robert Sterling
        Editor, The Konformist
        http://www.konformist.com
        http://robalini.blogspot.com
        http://groups.yahoo.com/group/konformist

        Steamshovelpress.com is back! New web content! New book product! New conference information! PLUS: a new, daily, twitterish quip: "Parapolitics Offhand!"

        Now available on CD and through US Mail only: Popular Parapolitics, 219 pages, illustrated, of comentary on the nexus of parapolitics and popular culture. $15 post paid from Kenn Thomas, POB 210553, St. Louis, MO 63121.

        http://www.steamshovelpress.com

        Here's my results for week 5
        W-L-T record: 3-4
        Season record: 20-23

        Tennessee Titans (+6) over Pittsburgh Steelers

        On first glance, this doesn't look like a close one. The Titans, after all, are 1-4 and have given up an NFL high 181 points after 5 weeks. The Steelers, meanwhile, have struggled to 2-2 so far, but are the team in 2011 with the 3rd best record in AFC and the best defense in the NFL. But look under the hood with the Titans: their four losses are to the Patriots, the Chargers, the Texans and the Vikings, four teams with a combined 15-5 record that are among the league's finest. Their one victory is against the Detroit Lions, a team that is no slouch on offense, and that puts their defensive stats in the proper context. Meanwhile, the Steelers are rather banged up after a tough battle against the physical Philadelphia Eagles, and three days rest just isn't enough time to heal that bruising. Troy Polamalu is out, and LB LaMarr Woodley may play but has a strained hamstring. This should help Matt Hasselback and an underproducing Chris John. Having the home field advantage should help as well. Considering Ben Roethlisberger's prowess on 3rd down and the 4th quarter this year, it still seems likely the Steelers can win in Tennessee, but giving the Titans 6 points makes this too tempting to pick them in a close one.

        Cincinnati Bengals (-1) over Cleveland Browns

        As this season progresses, I have become more impressed with the Bengals. I can't say the same for the Browns.

        Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) over Kansas City Chiefs

        The Bucs three losses come from the always tough NFC East. They should have an easier time at home against the Chiefs.

        Baltimore Ravens (-3 1/2) over Dallas Cowboys

        Will my love affair with the Ravens (the only team I have yet to bet against since 2011) stop? Not at home against the Cowboys.

        New England Patriots (-3 1/2) over Seattle Seahawks

        Seattle is still better than given credit for, and the Pats offensive line has some major holes. But no matter: the Pats offense looks scary good in a way that no other team can match.

        Arizona Cardinals (-5) over Buffalo Bills

        Okay, they're no longer undefeated, but they still have an excellent defense, and the Bills defense has been absolutely humiliated the last two weeks.

        New York Giants (+6) over San Francisco 49ers

        There is no loyalty in betting, even to my beloved Niners. But six points is a lot to give the Giants and Eli Manning. Worst case scenario for me: I'll be happy to lose a bet.

        Green Bay Packers (+4) over Houston Texans

        As the rule so gone for 40 years, every team has to lose sometime. This may be the Texans week, against a Packer team with a lot to prove. Maybe the Texans can win, but I'm betting even then by a field goal or less.

        All bets are placed at Station Casinos:

        http://www.stationcasinos.com

        To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends VegasInsider.com:

        http://www.vegasinsider.com
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