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Indian Wells Valley big year update

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  • ROBERT STEELE
    Greetings everyone, the IWV big year effort has past the 200 species point of which I ve managed to see 185. The ones I haven t seen are marked by --@@.
    Message 1 of 6 , Apr 23, 2006
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      Greetings everyone, the IWV big year effort has past the 200 species point
      of which I've managed to see 185. The ones I haven't seen are marked
      by --@@.

      Complete list below.

      Susan
      Inyokern, CA

      1. American Goldfinch

      2. American Kestrel

      3. Anna's Hummingbird

      4. Barn Owl

      5. Black-throated Sparrow

      6. Brewer's Blackbird

      7. California Quail

      8. Common Raven

      9. Cooper's Hawk

      10. Costa's Hummingbird

      11. European Starling

      12. Great Horned Owl

      13. Great-tailed Grackle

      14. Greater Roadrunner

      15. House Finch

      16. House Sparrow

      17. Lesser Goldfinch

      18. Le Conte's Thrasher

      19. Lincoln's Sparrow

      20. Long-eared Owl

      21. Mourning Dove

      22. Northern Flicker

      23. Northern Harrier

      24. Northern Mockingbird

      25. Pinyon Jay

      26. Prairie Falcon

      27. Red-tailed Hawk

      28. Sage Sparrow

      29. Snow Goose

      30. Verdin

      31. White-crowned Sparrow

      32. White-throated Sparrow

      33. Yellow-rumped Warbler

      34. Spotted Towhee

      35. Sharp-shinned Hawk

      36. Rock Pigeon

      37. Red-breasted Sapsucker

      38. Ladder-backed Woodpecker

      39. Hairy Woodpecker

      40. Loggerhead Shrike

      41. Bushtit

      42. Bewick's Wren

      43. Cactus Wren

      44. Rock Wren

      45. Ruby-crowned Kinglet

      46. Western Bluebird

      47. California Towhee

      48. Golden-crowned Sparrow

      49. Pine Siskin

      50. Brown Creeper

      51. American Robin

      52. Hermit Thrush

      53. Mallard

      54. Northern Shoveler

      55. Ruddy Duck

      56. Pied-billed Grebe

      57. Ferruginous Hawk

      58. Golden Eagle

      59. American Coot

      60. Horned Lark

      61. Savannah Sparrow

      62. Killdeer

      63. Canyon Wren

      64. Merlin

      65. Burrowing Owl

      66. Willamson's Sapsucker --@@

      67. Oak Titmouse

      68. Mountain Bluebird

      69. Ross's Goose

      70. Gadwall

      71. America Wigeon

      72. Northern Pintail

      73. Green-winged Teal

      74. Lesser Scaup

      75. Bufflehead

      76. Great Blue Heron

      77. Common Moorhen

      78. Virginia Rail

      79. Marsh Wren

      80. Song Sparrow

      81. Red-winged Blackbird

      82. Wilson's Snipe

      83. Common Yellowthroat

      84. Ring-necked Duck

      85. Cinnamon Teal

      86. Redhead

      87. American Pipit

      88. Canvasback

      89. Sora

      90. California Thrasher

      91. Varied Thrush --@@

      92. Sage Thrasher

      93. Ring-billed Gull

      94. American Avocet

      95. Chukar

      96. Nuttall's Woodpecker

      97. Stellar's Jay

      98. Red-breasted Nuthatch

      99. Band-tailed Pigeon

      100.Northern Pygmy-Owl

      101.Cassin's Finch

      102.Red Crossbill

      103.Black Phoebe

      104.Say's Phoebe

      105.Dark-eyed Junco

      106.Western Meadowlark

      107.Townsend's Solitaire

      108.Mountain Chickadee

      109.Yellow-bellied Sapsucker -- @@

      110.Mountain Quail

      111.Great Egret

      112.Turkey Vulture

      113.Canada Goose

      114.Eurasian Collared Dove

      115.California Gull

      116. Osprey

      117.Tree Swallow

      118.Rufous Hummingbird

      119.Greater Yellowlegs

      120.Barn Swallow

      121.Winter Wren

      122.Eared Grebe

      123.Peregrine Falcon

      124. Violet green swallow

      125. Northern Rough winged Swallow

      126.Cliff Swallow

      127.Long-billed Dowitcher

      128.American White Pelican

      129.Orange-crowned Warbler

      130. Downy Woodpecker

      131. Black necked Stilt

      132. Least Sandpiper

      133. Hooded Oriole

      134. Common Poorwill --@@

      135. Bullock's Oriole

      136. Lark Sparrow

      137. Western Kingbird

      138. Bonaparte's Gull

      139. Blue-winged Teal

      140. Long-billed Curlew --@@

      141. Blue gray Gnatcatcher

      142. Phainopepla

      143. Wrentit

      144. Snowy Egret

      145. Yellow-headed Blackbird

      146. Brewer's Sparrow

      147. Dunlin

      148. Double-crested Cormorant

      149. Black-chinned Hummingbird --@@

      150. Belted kingfisher

      151. Black-crowned Nightheron

      152. Wilson's Warbler

      153. House Wren

      154. Cattle Egret

      155. Vermilion Flycatcher

      156. Hammond's Flycatcher

      157. Chipping Sparrow

      158. Fox Sparrow

      159. Lesser Yellowlegs

      160. Swainson's Hawk

      161. Lawrence's Goldfinch

      162. Nashville Warbler

      163. Gray Flycatcher

      164. Pacific-slope Flycatcher

      165. Warbling Vireo

      166. Marbled Godwit

      167. Whimbrel

      168. Western Screech Owl

      169. Northern Saw-whet Owl

      170. Vaux's Swift --@@

      171. American Crow --@@

      172. Swainson's Thrush --@@

      173. Tricolored Blackbird --@@

      174. Black-bellied Plover

      175. Black-headed Grosbeak

      176. Wood Duck

      177. Semipalmated Plover

      178. Spotted Sandpiper

      179. Cassin's Vireo

      180. Hermit Warbler --@@

      181. Black-throated Gray Warbler

      182. Brown-headed Cowbird

      183. White-faced Ibis

      184. Western Scrub Jay

      185. Broad-tailed Hummingbird

      186. Solitary Sandpiper

      187. Western Sandpiper

      188. Red Phalarope

      189. Forester's Tern

      190. Lesser Nighthawk -- @@

      191. White-throated Swift

      192. Dusky Flycatcher

      193. Ash-throated Flycatcher

      194. Yellow Warbler -- @@

      195. Western Tanager

      196. Blue Grosbeak --@@

      197. Scott's Oriole

      198. Western Wood-pewee --@@

      199. Purple Martin -- @@

      200. Green-tailed Towhee --@@

      201. Lazuli Bunting --@@
    • Bob and Susan Steele
      Hi all, thought I d pass along a mid year update on the Indian Wells Valley Big Year. So far our sharp-eyed birders have found 228 species, of which I ve seen
      Message 2 of 6 , Jun 11, 2006
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        Hi all, thought I'd pass along a mid year update on the Indian Wells Valley
        Big Year. So far our sharp-eyed birders have found 228 species, of which I've
        seen 219.



        Biggest misses to date: Cedar Waxwing (go figure???), Bank Swallow,
        Red-shouldered Hawk, Golden-crowned Kinglet, White-breasted Nuthatch.



        Best birds: Yellow-footed Gull (1st Kern Co record), Pacific Golden-Plover
        (1st IWV record -- there is controversy on this ID, it will be interesting
        to see how it plays out), Yellow-bellied Sapsucker (1st fully documented IWV
        record), Broad-tailed Hummingbird (1st fully documented IWV record and it
        stayed a month!), Cassin's Kingbird (5th IWV record), Northern Saw-whet Owl
        (7th IWV record), Ruff (5th IWV record), Hooded Warbler (5th IWV record),
        American Crow (6th valley record), Williamson's Sapsucker (8th IWV record),
        Purple Martin (10th IWV record and spring birds, very unusual), Baird's
        Sandpiper (5th IWV spring record), Red Phalarope, Calliope Hummingbird,
        White-throated Sparrow, Varied Thrush, Common Goldeneye (in May), Herring
        Gull.





        The complete list follows. Those I've missed are marked with --@@.



        1. American Goldfinch

        2. American Kestrel

        3. Anna's Hummingbird

        4. Barn Owl

        5. Black-throated Sparrow

        6. Brewer's Blackbird

        7. California Quail

        8. Common Raven

        9. Cooper's Hawk

        10. Costa's Hummingbird

        11. European Starling

        12. Great Horned Owl

        13. Great-tailed Grackle

        14. Greater Roadrunner

        15. House Finch

        16. House Sparrow

        17. Lesser Goldfinch

        18. Le Conte's Thrasher

        19. Lincoln's Sparrow

        20. Long-eared Owl

        21. Mourning Dove

        22. Northern Flicker

        23. Northern Harrier

        24. Northern Mockingbird

        25. Pinyon Jay

        26. Prairie Falcon

        27. Red-tailed Hawk

        28. Sage Sparrow

        29. Snow Goose

        30. Verdin

        31. White-crowned Sparrow

        32. White-throated Sparrow

        33. Yellow-rumped Warbler

        34. Spotted Towhee

        35. Sharp-shinned Hawk

        36. Rock Pigeon

        37. Red-breasted Sapsucker

        38. Ladder-backed Woodpecker

        39. Hairy Woodpecker

        40. Loggerhead Shrike

        41. Bushtit

        42. Bewick's Wren

        43. Cactus Wren

        44. Rock Wren

        45. Ruby-crowned Kinglet

        46. Western Bluebird

        47. California Towhee

        48. Golden-crowned Sparrow

        49. Pine Siskin

        50. Brown Creeper

        51. American Robin

        52. Hermit Thrush

        53. Mallard

        54. Northern Shoveler

        55. Ruddy Duck

        56. Pied-billed Grebe

        57. Ferruginous Hawk

        58. Golden Eagle

        59. American Coot

        60. Horned Lark

        61. Savannah Sparrow

        62. Killdeer

        63. Canyon Wren

        64. Merlin

        65. Burrowing Owl

        66. Willamson's Sapsucker

        67. Oak Titmouse

        68. Mountain Bluebird

        69. Ross's Goose

        70. Gadwall

        71. America Wigeon

        72. Northern Pintail

        73. Green-winged Teal

        74. Lesser Scaup

        75. Bufflehead

        76. Great Blue Heron

        77. Common Moorhen

        78. Virginia Rail

        79. Marsh Wren

        80. Song Sparrow

        81. Red-winged Blackbird

        82. Wilson's Snipe

        83. Common Yellowthroat

        84. Ring-necked Duck

        85. Cinnamon Teal

        86. Redhead

        87. American Pipit

        88. Canvasback

        89. Sora

        90. California Thrasher

        91. Varied Thrush --@@

        92. Sage Thrasher

        93. Ring-billed Gull

        94. American Avocet

        95. Chukar

        96. Nuttall's Woodpecker

        97. Stellar's Jay

        98. Red-breasted Nuthatch

        99. Band-tailed Pigeon

        100. Northern Pygmy-Owl

        101. Cassin's Finch

        102. Red Crossbill

        103. Black Phoebe

        104. Say's Phoebe

        105. Dark-eyed Junco

        106. Western Meadowlark

        107. Townsend's Solitaire

        108. Mountain Chickadee

        109. Yellow-bellied Sapsucker -- @@

        110. Mountain Quail

        111. Great Egret

        112. Turkey Vulture

        113. Canada Goose

        114. Eurasian Collared Dove

        115. California Gull

        116. Osprey

        117. Tree Swallow

        118. Rufous Hummingbird

        119. Greater Yellowlegs

        120. Barn Swallow

        121. Winter Wren

        122. Eared Grebe

        123. Peregrine Falcon

        124. Violet green swallow

        125. Northern Rough winged Swallow

        126. Cliff Swallow

        127. Long-billed Dowitcher

        128. American White Pelican

        129. Orange-crowned Warbler

        130. Downy Woodpecker

        131. Black necked Stilt

        132. Least Sandpiper

        133. Hooded Oriole

        134. Common Poorwill

        135. Bullock's Oriole

        136. Lark Sparrow

        137. Western Kingbird

        138. Bonaparte's Gull

        139. Blue-winged Teal

        140. Long-billed Curlew

        141. Blue gray Gnatcatcher

        142. Phainopepla

        143. Wrentit

        144. Snowy Egret

        145. Yellow-headed Blackbird

        146. Brewer's Sparrow

        147. Dunlin

        148. Double-crested Cormorant

        149. Black-chinned Hummingbird

        150. Belted kingfisher

        151. Black-crowned Nightheron

        152. Wilson's Warbler

        153. House Wren

        154. Cattle Egret

        155. Vermilion Flycatcher

        156. Hammond's Flycatcher

        157. Chipping Sparrow

        158. Fox Sparrow

        159. Lesser Yellowlegs

        160. Swainson's Hawk

        161. Lawrence's Goldfinch

        162. Nashville Warbler

        163. Gray Flycatcher

        164. Pacific-slope Flycatcher

        165. Warbling Vireo

        166. Marbled Godwit

        167. Whimbrel

        168. Western Screech Owl

        169. Northern Saw-whet Owl

        170. Vaux's Swift --@@

        171. American Crow --@@

        172. Swainson's Thrush

        173. Tricolored Blackbird --@@

        174. Black-bellied Plover

        175. Black-headed Grosbeak

        176. Wood Duck

        177. Semipalmated Plover

        178. Spotted Sandpiper

        179. Cassin's Vireo

        180. Hermit Warbler

        181. Black-throated Gray Warbler

        182. Brown-headed Cowbird

        183. White-faced Ibis

        184. Western Scrub Jay

        185. Broad-tailed Hummingbird

        186. Solitary Sandpiper

        187. Western Sandpiper

        188. Red Phalarope

        189. Forester's Tern

        190. Lesser Nighthawk

        191. White-throated Swift

        192. Dusky Flycatcher

        193. Ash-throated Flycatcher

        194. Yellow Warbler

        195. Western Tanager

        196. Blue Grosbeak

        197. Scott's Oriole

        198. Western Wood-pewee

        199. Purple Martin -- @@

        200. Green-tailed Towhee

        201. Lazuli Bunting

        202. Wilson's Phalarope

        203. Green Heron

        204. Calliope Hummingbird

        205. Townsend's Warbler

        206. Black-chinned Sparrow

        207. Franklin's Gull

        208. Sanderling

        209. Common Loon

        210. Yellow-breasted Chat

        211. Red-necked Phalarope

        212. Caspian Tern

        213. Yellow-footed Gull --@@

        214. Herring Gull

        215. Baird's Sandpiper

        216. MacGillvary's Warbler

        217. Black Tern

        218. Snowy Plover

        219. Olive-sided Flycatcher

        220. Common Goldeneye

        221. Red-breasted Merganser

        222. Willow Flycatcher

        223. Vesper Sparrow

        224. Ruff

        225. Western Grebe

        226. Pacific Golden-Plover

        227. Hooded Warbler --@@

        228. Cassin's Kingbird



        Susan

        Inyokern, CA
      • Bob and Susan Steele
        Greetings all, here s the latest on the IWV big year effort. We are at 252 species and have added 53. Pectoral Sandpiper 54. Short-billed Dowitcher
        Message 3 of 6 , Oct 12, 2006
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          Greetings all, here's the latest on the IWV big year effort. We are at 252
          species and have added

          53. Pectoral Sandpiper

          54. Short-billed Dowitcher

          55. American Redstart

          56. Bank Swallow

          57. Sabine's Gull

          58. White-breasted Nuthatch

          59. Virginia's Warbler

          60. Greater White-fronted Goose

          61. Clay-colored Sparrow

          62. Common Tern

          63. Sandhill Crane

          64. Blackpoll Warbler

          65. Plumbeous Vireo

          66. Northern Parula

          67. Lewis's Woodpecker

          68. Golden-crowned Kinglet



          since I last posted. Our biggest miss so far -- Cedar Waxwing. The
          complete list is below. Anything marked with --@@ means I've missed it.



          Susan

          Inyokern, CA



          1. American Goldfinch

          2. American Kestrel

          3. Anna's Hummingbird

          4. Barn Owl

          5. Black-throated Sparrow

          6. Brewer's Blackbird

          7. California Quail

          8. Common Raven

          9. Cooper's Hawk

          10. Costa's Hummingbird

          11. European Starling

          12. Great Horned Owl

          13. Great-tailed Grackle

          14. Greater Roadrunner

          15. House Finch

          16. House Sparrow

          17. Lesser Goldfinch

          18. Le Conte's Thrasher

          19. Lincoln's Sparrow

          20. Long-eared Owl

          21. Mourning Dove

          22. Northern Flicker

          23. Northern Harrier

          24. Northern Mockingbird

          25. Pinyon Jay

          26. Prairie Falcon

          27. Red-tailed Hawk

          28. Sage Sparrow

          29. Snow Goose

          30. Verdin

          31. White-crowned Sparrow

          32. White-throated Sparrow

          33. Yellow-rumped Warbler

          34. Spotted Towhee

          35. Sharp-shinned Hawk

          36. Rock Pigeon

          37. Red-breasted Sapsucker

          38. Ladder-backed Woodpecker

          39. Hairy Woodpecker

          40. Loggerhead Shrike

          41. Bushtit

          42. Bewick's Wren

          43. Cactus Wren

          44. Rock Wren

          45. Ruby-crowned Kinglet

          46. Western Bluebird

          47. California Towhee

          48. Golden-crowned Sparrow

          49. Pine Siskin

          50. Brown Creeper

          51. American Robin

          52. Hermit Thrush

          53. Mallard

          54. Northern Shoveler

          55. Ruddy Duck

          56. Pied-billed Grebe

          57. Ferruginous Hawk

          58. Golden Eagle

          59. American Coot

          60. Horned Lark

          61. Savannah Sparrow

          62. Killdeer

          63. Canyon Wren

          64. Merlin

          65. Burrowing Owl

          66. Willamson's Sapsucker

          67. Oak Titmouse

          68. Mountain Bluebird

          69. Ross's Goose

          70. Gadwall

          71. America Wigeon

          72. Northern Pintail

          73. Green-winged Teal

          74. Lesser Scaup

          75. Bufflehead

          76. Great Blue Heron

          77. Common Moorhen

          78. Virginia Rail

          79. Marsh Wren

          80. Song Sparrow

          81. Red-winged Blackbird

          82. Wilson's Snipe

          83. Common Yellowthroat

          84. Ring-necked Duck

          85. Cinnamon Teal

          86. Redhead

          87. American Pipit

          88. Canvasback

          89. Sora

          90. California Thrasher

          91. Varied Thrush --@@

          92. Sage Thrasher

          93. Ring-billed Gull

          94. American Avocet

          95. Chukar

          96. Nuttall's Woodpecker

          97. Stellar's Jay

          98. Red-breasted Nuthatch

          99. Band-tailed Pigeon

          100.Northern Pygmy-Owl

          101.Cassin's Finch

          102.Red Crossbill

          103.Black Phoebe

          104.Say's Phoebe

          105.Dark-eyed Junco

          106.Western Meadowlark

          107.Townsend's Solitaire

          108.Mountain Chickadee

          109.Yellow-bellied Sapsucker -- @@

          110.Mountain Quail

          111.Great Egret

          112.Turkey Vulture

          113.Canada Goose

          114.Eurasian Collared Dove

          115.California Gull

          116. Osprey

          117.Tree Swallow

          118.Rufous Hummingbird

          119.Greater Yellowlegs

          120.Barn Swallow

          121.Winter Wren

          122.Eared Grebe

          123.Peregrine Falcon

          124. Violet green swallow

          125. Northern Rough winged Swallow

          126.Cliff Swallow

          127.Long-billed Dowitcher

          128.American White Pelican

          129.Orange-crowned Warbler

          130. Downy Woodpecker

          131. Black necked Stilt

          132. Least Sandpiper

          133. Hooded Oriole

          134. Common Poorwill

          135. Bullock's Oriole

          136. Lark Sparrow

          137. Western Kingbird

          138. Bonaparte's Gull

          139. Blue-winged Teal

          140. Long-billed Curlew

          141. Blue gray Gnatcatcher

          142. Phainopepla

          143. Wrentit

          144. Snowy Egret

          145. Yellow-headed Blackbird

          146. Brewer's Sparrow

          147. Dunlin

          148. Double-crested Cormorant

          149. Black-chinned Hummingbird

          150. Belted kingfisher

          151. Black-crowned Nightheron

          152. Wilson's Warbler

          153. House Wren

          154. Cattle Egret

          155. Vermilion Flycatcher

          156. Hammond's Flycatcher

          157. Chipping Sparrow

          158. Fox Sparrow

          159. Lesser Yellowlegs

          160. Swainson's Hawk

          161. Lawrence's Goldfinch

          162. Nashville Warbler

          163. Gray Flycatcher

          164. Pacific-slope Flycatcher

          165. Warbling Vireo

          166. Marbled Godwit

          167. Whimbrel

          168. Western Screech Owl

          169. Northern Saw-whet Owl

          170. Vaux's Swift

          171. American Crow --@@

          172. Swainson's Thrush

          173. Tricolored Blackbird

          174. Black-bellied Plover

          175. Black-headed Grosbeak

          176. Wood Duck

          177. Semipalmated Plover

          178. Spotted Sandpiper

          179. Cassin's Vireo

          180. Hermit Warbler

          181. Black-throated Gray Warbler

          182. Brown-headed Cowbird

          183. White-faced Ibis

          184. Western Scrub Jay

          185. Broad-tailed Hummingbird

          186. Solitary Sandpiper

          187. Western Sandpiper

          188. Red Phalarope

          189. Forester's Tern

          190. Lesser Nighthawk

          191. White-throated Swift

          192. Dusky Flycatcher

          193. Ash-throated Flycatcher

          194. Yellow Warbler

          195. Western Tanager

          196. Blue Grosbeak

          197. Scott's Oriole

          198. Western Wood-pewee

          199. Purple Martin -- @@

          200. Green-tailed Towhee

          201. Lazuli Bunting

          202. Wilson's Phalarope

          203. Green Heron

          204. Calliope Hummingbird

          205. Townsend's Warbler

          206. Black-chinned Sparrow

          207. Franklin's Gull

          208. Sanderling

          209. Common Loon

          210. Yellow-breasted Chat

          211. Red-necked Phalarope

          212. Caspian Tern

          213. Yellow-footed Gull --@@

          214. Herring Gull

          215. Baird's Sandpiper

          216. MacGillvary's Warbler

          217. Black Tern

          218. Snowy Plover

          219. Olive-sided Flycatcher

          220. Common Goldeneye

          221. Red-breasted Merganser

          222. Willow Flycatcher

          223. Vesper Sparrow

          224. Ruff

          225. Western Grebe

          226. American Golden-Plover

          227. Hooded Warbler --@@

          228. Cassin's Kingbird

          229. Rose-breasted Grosbeak

          230. Black and White Warbler

          231. White winged Dove

          232. Red Knot

          233. Willet

          234. White-rumped Sandpiper

          235. Semipalmated Sandpiper

          236. Ruddy Turnstone

          237. Pectoral Sandpiper

          238. Short-billed Dowitcher

          239. American Redstart

          240. Bank Swallow

          241. Sabine's Gull

          242. White-breasted Nuthatch

          243. Virginia's Warbler

          244. Greater White-fronted Goose

          245. Clay-colored Sparrow

          246. Common Tern

          247. Sandhill Crane

          248. Blackpoll Warbler

          249. Plumbeous Vireo

          250. Northern Parula

          251. Lewis's Woodpecker

          252. Golden-crowned Kinglet
        • Bob and Susan Steele
          Greetings all, Cedar Waxwing is no longer a big miss for the big year. Joyce found a flock at the college this month. The rest of the additions are as
          Message 4 of 6 , Oct 31, 2006
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            Greetings all, Cedar Waxwing is no longer a big miss for the big year.
            Joyce found a flock at the college this month. The rest of the additions
            are as follows:

            Orchard Oriole
            Red-naped Sapsucker
            Clark's Grebe
            Bald Eagle
            Short-eared Owl
            Horned Grebe
            Cackling Goose

            This puts us at 260 species of which I've seen 253.

            Out of the 260 I've missed:

            Varied Thrush -- I still have a chance
            Yellow-bellied Sapsucker -- small chance
            American Crow -- I don't think so
            Purple Martin -- too late in the season
            Yellow-footed Gull -- would take a miracle
            Hooded Warbler -- too late in the season
            Plumbeous Vireo -- very small chance

            Out of the valley list here's what's missing and my thoughts on odds on
            adding it:

            Brant -- small chance
            Tundra Swan -- good chance, now is the prime sighting season
            Eurasian Wigeon -- small chance
            Greater Scaup -- very very small chance
            Surf Scoter -- we're at the end of time period when they pass though, so
            ....
            Long-tailed Duck -- very very small chance
            Barrow's Goldeneye -- very very very very very small chance
            Hooded Merganser -- moderate chance
            Common Merganser -- moderate chance
            Wild Turkey - ha ha ha
            Pacific Loon -- very very very very very small chance
            Brown Pelican -- very very very very very small chance
            American Bittern -- very very very very very small chance
            Least Bittern -- very very very very very small chance
            Roseate Spoonbill -- ha ha ha
            White-tailed Kite -- wrong time of year
            Northern Goshawk -- ha ha ha
            Red-shouldered Hawk -- I'd of thought we'd have seen this by now
            Pacific Golden Plover -- ha ha ha
            Mountian Plover -- very very small chance
            Wandering Tattler -- ha ha ha
            Black Turnstone -- ha ha ha
            Red-necked Stint -- ha ha ha
            Stilt Sandpiper -- too late in the year
            Pomarine Jaeger -- ha ha ha
            Parasitic Jaeger -- ha ha ha
            Laughing Gull -- ha ha ha
            Little Gull -- ha ha ha
            Heermann's Gull -- would take a miracle
            Mew Gull -- very very small chance
            Thayer's Gull -- very very small chance
            Black-legged Kittiwake -- ha ha ha
            Arctic Tern -- too late in the season
            Least Tern -- too late in the season
            Black Skimmer -- ha ha ha
            Inca Dove -- ha ha ha
            Ruddy Ground-Dove -- very very very very very small chance
            Yellow-billed Cuckoo -- too late in the season
            Flammulated Owl -- this would take a miracle
            Common Nighthawk -- too late in the season
            Black Swift -- ha ha ha
            Chimney Swift -- ha ha ha
            Broad-billed hummer -- ha ha ha
            Allen's hummer -- ha ha ha
            Acorn Woodpecker -- good chance
            White headed Woodpecker -- poor chance
            Least Flycatcher -- ha ha ha
            Brown-crested Flycatcher -- too late for them
            Eastern Kingbird -- too late
            Scissor-tailed Flycatcher -- too late
            Northern Shrike -- small chance
            White-eyed Vireo -- ha ha ha
            Bell's Vireo -- too late
            Red-eyed Vireo -- too late
            Clark's Nutcracker -- small chanceB
            Black-billed Magpie -- ha ha ha
            Pygmy Nuthatch -- ha ha ha
            Wood Thrush -- ha ha ha
            Gray Catbird -- very very very very very small chance
            Brown Thrasher -- very very very very very small chance
            Red-throated Pipit -- very very very very very small chance
            Sprague's Pipit -- miracle
            Bohemian Waxwing -- ha ha ha
            Tennessee Warbler -- too late
            Lucy's Warbler -- too late
            Chestnut-sided Warbler -- too late
            Magnolia Warbler -- too late
            Black-thrated Blue Warbler -- very very very very very small chance
            Blackburnian Warbler -- well our only record is from Nov 8, but ....
            Prairie Warbler -- too late
            Palm Warbler -- very very very very very small chance
            Ovenbird -- too late
            Northern Waterthrush -- too late
            Kentucky Warbler -- too late
            Connecticut Warbler -- too late
            Mourning Warbler -- too late
            Painted Redstart -- ha ha ha
            Summer Tanager -- too late
            Scarlet Tanager -- ha ha ha -- although our only record is from Halloween
            American Tree Sparrow -- very very very very very small chance
            Field Sparrow -- ha ha ha
            Lark Bunting -- very very very very very small chance
            Grasshopper Sparrow -- ha ha ha
            Le Conte's Sparrow -- ha ha ha
            Swamp Sparrow -- very very very very very small chance
            Harris's Sparrow -- very very very very very small chance
            Lapland Longspur -- very very small chance
            Chestnut-collared Longspur -- very very small chance
            Indigo Bunting -- too late
            Painted Bunting -- ha ha ha
            Dickcissel -- too late
            Bobolink -- too late
            Rusty Blackbird -- very very small chance
            Bronzed Cowbird -- ha ha ha
            Baltimore Oriole -- ha ha ha
            Purple Finch -- small chance
            Evening Grosbeak -- very small chance
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