30707Re: [John Muir Trail] Number of JMT permits this year?
- May 23, 2013the completion # may include those that completed over several seasons, so the attrition could be skewed.John
--- In firstname.lastname@example.org, "John" wrote:
> I've emailed the PCTA for more detailed info as I am interested in the
> data. The numbers were gleaned of the blog so I am unsure of the exact
> relevance. I'm sure the 50% completion rate is approximate.
> But from the PCTA website, last year ~800 thru hike permits were issued
> and 353 people emailed them saying they completed the trail. Assuming
> that most of these people were truthful, and also making the likely
> assumption that there were some that finished and didn't report back to
> the PCTA, the completion rate for last season was at least 44%
> If this years spike is due to the book, then I would guess the attrition
> rate to be higher as there may be a lot more "unprepared" people
> Interestingly, this increase somewhat mirrors the marked increased in
> permits written for the JMT in the last few years.
> JDWalk the Sky: Following the John Muir Trailsee book here
> --- In email@example.com, Frank Dumville wrote:
> > The PCTA issues Long Distance Hiking permits for trips of 500 miles or
> more. There is no specific thruhiker permit.Â
> > Does the 1300 number include all permits or only those planning on
> going the entire distance? If the former then many of those may not
> include the JMT.
> > I suspect the dropout rate is higher than 50% but more people may make
> is through the JMT this year because the snow and stream crossing
> problems will be reduced.
> > Â
> > SnapÂ
> > ________________________________
> > From: John johndittli@
> > Â Wow! I just read that 1300 thru hike permits were issued for the
> PCT this year (up from 800 last year). With an annual 50% dropout rate,
> that means 650 JMT hikers before any JMT specific permits are evenÂ
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