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Interesting Population Estimates

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  • Bruce at Island Resources
    Members of Island Resources --- Have been working with some UN statistics* lately, and was interested to note the following population estimates for the US
    Message 1 of 2 , Jul 13, 2001
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      Members of Island Resources ---

      Have been working with some UN statistics* lately, and was interested
      to note the following population estimates for the US Virgin Islands:
      These figures are obviously in thousands. . . . .

      1990 102
      1991 101
      1992 101
      1993 99
      1994 98
      1995 97
      1996 96
      1997 95
      1998 94
      1999 94
      2000 93

      That's almost a 10% loss of population in a decade --- sounds like
      Croatia, not one of the world's most popular tourist destinations.

      If government has remained the same size, I guess we all have to work
      10 or 12% harder to support it.

      If someone had asked, I would have guessed a loss of 5,000 or 10,000
      people, but I have not heard this commented on or dealt with by
      leadership in the Virgin Islands. Why haven't we heard campaigns to
      get people to either return to the VI, or to take up second-home
      residence in the Virgin Islands? (Besides, if we get more people, the
      crime rate will go down!)

      Bruce Potter
      _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _

      *META_DATA:
      Variable: Population
      Units: Counts (Persons x 1000)
      Data Source: World Population 1950-2050 (The 1998 Revision), (some
      figures from FAOSTAT98, World Ressources 2000-2001)
      Data Provider: United Nations Population Division/Dept of Economic
      and Social Affairs, WRI, FAO
      Years: 1960-2000
      Copyright c: United Nations, FAO, WRI


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    • Bruce at Island Resources
      Shaun Pennington of the St. Thomas Source pointed out that the UN-source population data differ --- by a LOT --- from the US Census data --- not only for the
      Message 2 of 2 , Jul 13, 2001
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        Shaun Pennington of the St. Thomas Source pointed out that the
        UN-source population data differ --- by a LOT --- from the US Census
        data --- not only for the recently released 2000 data, but also for
        the 1995 Census estimates in the USVI, which were based on
        substantial local polling at that time. It will be interesting to
        see what the folks in Geneva have to say about their sources. . . .

        bruce



        >Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2001 14:44:06 -0400
        >To: "Jaap van Woerden" <woerden@...>
        >From: Bruce at Island Resources <bpotter@...>
        >Subject: Data Issue: Population in GEO3
        >Bcc:
        >X-Attachments:
        >
        >Jaap --
        >
        >Friends in the US Virgin Islands called my attention to an
        >interesting discrepancy in the GEO population dataset for the US
        >Virgin Islands (VI):
        >
        >Here are the data presented by the GEO Data Portal
        ><geo3.grid.unep.ch>, compared with the data from the US Census (just
        >released for 2000)
        >
        >-------------------------------------------------
        >
        >> > YEAR GEO US Census
        >>------- ---- ----------
        >> > 1990 102 101,809
        >> > 1991 101
        >> > 1992 101
        >> > 1993 99
        >> > 1994 98
        >> > 1995 97 109,677
        >> > 1996 96
        >> > 1997 95
        >> > 1998 94
        >> > 1999 94
        >> > 2000 93 108,612
        >
        >-------------------------------------------------
        >
        >That's a difference of about 15% for BOTH 1995 and 2000, which
        >really seems like a lot for a reasonably well developed country with
        >reasonably good data infrastructure.
        >
        >This is sort of important, since I was going to use the GEO data to
        >support the idea that hurricanes (big ones hit the VI in 1989 and
        >1995), can have severe direct socio-economic effects---especially
        >when the natural buffers have been weakened by unsustainable
        >development practices.
        >
        >Bruce Potter
        >
        >PS --- here's an excerpt from a press story about the census:
        >
        >>POPULATION UP FROM 1990 BUT DOWN FROM 1995
        >>by Shaun A. Pennington
        >>
        >> July 2, 2001 - The population of the Virgin Islands has grown
        >>7 percent since 1990, with the most dramatic increase -- 20 percent
        >>-- on St. John, according to recently released Census 2000 data.
        >>However, the 2000 total reflects a decrease of 1,065 residents
        >>territory-wide -- all attributable to St. Thomas -- since 1995, the
        >>last time data were collected.
        >> The overall U.S. Bureau of the Census count for 2000 was
        >>108,612, compared to 101,809 in 1990. The V.I. Census Data Center,
        >>located within the Eastern Caribbean Center at the University of
        >>the Virgin Islands, estimated the 1995 population at 109,677.
        >> Frank Mills, director of the Census Data Center, attributed
        >>the downward population shift on St. Thomas to the "destructive"
        >>hurricanes in 1995 (Luis and Marilyn), 1996 (Bertha) and 1998
        >>(Georges), which had a "negative impact on the economy."
        >> The 1995 USVI Statistical Yearbook showed St. Thomas with a
        >>population of 54,259. In the 2000 edition, the population is shown
        >>as 51,181. The 1990 Census data showed the island having a
        >>population of 48,166, making for a net gain of 6 percent over the
        >>10-year period.
        >> The only island showing a decrease in population in the
        >>Census 2000 data from a decade earlier was Water Island, recorded a
        >>drop of 11 people.
        >> St. Croix's population was placed at 53,234 for 2000, up from
        >>50,139 in 1990 and 51,389 in 1995.
        >> St. John's was recorded as 4,197 for 2000, up from 3,504 in
        >>1990 and 4,030 in 1995.
        >
        >
        >
        >--
        >
        >Island Resources, the Virgin Islands and Washington
        >For fastest mail service: 1718 "P" St NW # T-4, Washington, DC 20036
        >Fone 202/265-9712 fax 202/232-0748; E-mail: <bpotter@...>
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        --
        Island Resources, the Virgin Islands and Washington
        For fastest mail service: 1718 "P" St NW # T-4, Washington, DC 20036
        Fone 202/265-9712 fax 202/232-0748; E-mail: <bpotter@...>
        -+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
        Promote Island Resources---Send Your $35 Membership to the DC Office
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