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Fw: Status of Worldwide PV Market during the year 2004 - Part II

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  • Bashir Syed
    2004 World Cell Production by Cell Technology: Production in Mega-Watts Technology US Japan Europe ROW Total
    Message 1 of 3 , Oct 2, 2005
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      2004 World Cell Production by Cell Technology:
       
                                                                            Production in Mega-Watts
      Technology                           US        Japan      Europe     ROW       Total         Share (%)
       
      Single-crystal flat plate .................... 85            111             115.8            29.6             341.4               29
      Poly crystalline....................................14.2          393.5           158                104               669.2               56
      Single & Poly-crystalline total..............99.2          504.5           273.8             133               1010.6             85
      Amorphous Silicon: outside.................14             10                8.6                7                   39.6                --
      Amorphous Silicon: inside................... --              7.5               --                   --                  7.5                  --
      Amorphous Silicon total........................14            17.5             8.6                 7                  47.1                3.9
      Crystal Si Concentrators........................0.5            --                --                   --                   0.5                  --
      Ribbon (silicon)..................................... 16             --                25                 --                   41                  3.4
      Cadmium telluride:indoor ......................--             --                 --                  --                   --                    --
      Cadmium telluride: outdoor....................6             --                 7                  --                   13                  1.1
      Copper indium diselenide.......................3             --                 --                  --                   3                    0.3
      Microcrystal Si/single Si..........................--            20                --                 --                    20                  1.7
      Si on low cost substrate...........................--            --                 --                 --                    --                   --
      A-Si on Cz slice (HIT)................................--            60               --                 --                   60                   5
      Total ......................................................139        602            314.4         140             1195.2          100
      **********************************************************************************************************************
      2004 PV Applications by Market Sector in the U.S (in MW):
      Grid-connected distributed ........................... 57
      Off-grid consumer...........................................10
      Goverment projects........................................1.0
      Off-grid industrial/commercial.......................18
      Consumer (< 40 Watt)....................................4.0
      Central station.................................................4.0
      Total installed in US........................................90
      Imports.............................................................40
      Exports.............................................................88.0
      Total produced.................................................138
      *****************************************************************************************
      2004 PV cell/module production in U.S. (MegaWatts):
      AstroPower (now owned by GE).....................25
      BP Solar...........................................................14.2
      Evergreen Solar...............................................6.0
      First Solar (CdTe)............................................6
      Global Solar......................................................1.0
      RWE Schott (ASE)...........................................10
      USSC.................................................................14
      Other * .............................................................0.5 (* including Amonix, Iowa Thin Film Technologies, and others)
      Total.................................................................138.7
      *****************************************************************************************
      2004 PV production in Japan (MW):
      Cannon ...........................................................0
      Hoxan..............................................................0
      Kaneka............................................................20
      Kyocera...........................................................105
      Matsushita......................................................2.5
      Mitsubishi.......................................................75
      Mitsubishi (HEL)............................................10
      Sanyo...............................................................65
      Sharp...............................................................324
      Total:...............................................................602
      ******************************************************************************************
      2004 PV production in Europe (MW):
      Antec (Germany)............................................7.0
      BP Solar (Spain) ............................................23.5
      Deutsche Solar (Germany)............................28
      Dunasolar (Hungary)......................................-- (Equipment moved to Thailand in 2003)
      Ersol (Germany).............................................16
      Eurosolar (Italy)..............................................4
      Free Energy Europe (Netherlands)................0.5
      Helios (Italy)...................................................4.0
      ICP Slar (Intersolar).......................................2.5
      Isofoton (spain)...............................................53.3
      Konkar (Croatia).............................................0.6
      Photowatt (France)..........................................22
      Q-Cells (Germany)..........................................75
      RWE Photronics (Germany)...........................2
      RWE Schott (was ASE, Germany).................53
      Shell (Germany)..............................................10
      Shell (Netherlands).........................................--
      Sunways (Germany).......................................11
      Other...............................................................2.0
      **********************************************************************************************
      2004 PV production in the rest of the world (MW):
      Bel (India).......................................................1
      Bhel (India).....................................................2.0
      BP Solar (Australia)........................................34
      BP Solar (Hong Kong)....................................--
      BP Solar (India)...............................................14.1     [Note: India's Total PV Production.................31.1 MW]
      BP Solar (Malaysia)........................................--
      CEL (India)......................................................2.5
      Suntech (China)...............................................35
      Maharishi (India)............................................4.5
      Motech (Taiwan) ............................................35
      RES (India)......................................................--
      Sinonar (Taiwan).............................................4
      Udhaya (India).................................................1
      Webel (India)...................................................6.0
      Other................................................................1.0
      Total.................................................................140
      ***********************************************************************************
      The Growth Challenge!
      1. Pressure to grow
      2. Pressure of Pricing - must come down
      3. Demand for high performance
      Manufacturing Technology: Expansion will be achieved through massive installation of new production capacties
          a. FromSlicon ingots feedstock to Ingot
          b. From ingots to Wafers
              - Silicon shortage has impact on PV Production & Pricing
              - Impact on R&D as more industrialization
              -New R&D in Cell Production techniques, will impact production.
              - Environmental matters affect growth
      ***************************************************************************************************************
      Reference: Renewable Eergy World, July/August 2005.
       
      Emerging Conducting Polymer PV Technology:
      Konarka (Massachusetts) Leader...................Producing ~10% Eff. Polymer Solar Panells integrated in Tents for Military, and Ski Industry.
      Nano Solar, Palo Alto, Calif ............................ Bringing some innovative Polymer Composites (Carbon Nano tubes)
      Siemens (Germany) ......................................... Promises to introduce ~ 10% Eff. Solar Panels, very cheap to produce.
      GE (Schenectedy, NY)......................................Promises to bring out much cheaper flexible PV Solar Cell/Panels
      Reference: New Scientist Magazine July, 2004.
      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       
       
      Bashir A. Syed
      Member: ASES, APS, IEEE, UCS, New York Academy of Sciences, and Sr. Member - ISES
      Vice Pres., R&D
      EnerTech Enterprises, Inc.
      1120 NASA Parkway, Suite 220W
      Houston, TX 77058.  
       
       
       
             
       
       
    • Roxanne Boyer
      I read RE World this weekend too. I was very encouraged to see the growth rates - Global PV production increased by 57% (and as Bashir said, that was not
      Message 2 of 3 , Oct 2, 2005
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        I read RE World this weekend too.  I was very encouraged to see the growth rates - Global PV production increased by 57% (and as Bashir said, that was not enough to keep up with demand).  Global Wind capacity increased by 20% (in spite of almost nothing added in the US due to legislative holdups).  This compares with a 1.5% growth in all primary energy production.  These rates have been consistent with previous years and is the expected trend for the next decades, such that renewable energy will dominate in the 2030 to 2050 time frame.  Very exciting, very hopeful.
         
         


        Bashir Syed <bsyed@...> wrote:
        2004 World Cell Production by Cell Technology:
         
                                                                              Production in Mega-Watts
        Technology                           US        Japan      Europe     ROW       Total         Share (%)
         
        Single-crystal flat plate .................... 85            111             115.8            29.6             341.4               29
        Poly crystalline....................................14.2          393.5           158                104               669.2               56
        Single & Poly-crystalline total..............99.2          504.5           273.8             133               1010.6             85
        Amorphous Silicon: outside.................14             10                8.6                7                   39.6                --
        Amorphous Silicon: inside................... --              7.5               --                   --                  7.5                  --
        Amorphous Silicon total........................14            17.5             8.6                 7                  47.1                3.9
        Crystal Si Concentrators........................0.5            --                --                   --                   0.5                  --
        Ribbon (silicon)..................................... 16             --                25                 --                   41                  3.4
        Cadmium telluride:indoor ......................--             --                 --                  --                   --                    --
        Cadmium telluride: outdoor....................6             --                 7                  --                   13                  1.1
        Copper indium diselenide.......................3             --                 --                  --                   3                    0.3
        Microcrystal Si/single Si..........................--            20                --                 --                    20                  1.7
        Si on low cost substrate...........................--            --                 --                 --                    --                   --
        A-Si on Cz slice (HIT)................................--            60               --                 --                   60                   5
        Total ......................................................139        602            314.4         140             1195.2          100
        **********************************************************************************************************************
        2004 PV Applications by Market Sector in the U.S (in MW):
        Grid-connected distributed ........................... 57
        Off-grid consumer...........................................10
        Goverment projects........................................1.0
        Off-grid industrial/commercial.......................18
        Consumer (< 40 Watt)....................................4.0
        Central station.................................................4.0
        Total installed in US........................................90
        Imports.............................................................40
        Exports.............................................................88.0
        Total produced.................................................138
        *****************************************************************************************
        2004 PV cell/module production in U.S. (MegaWatts):
        AstroPower (now owned by GE).....................25
        BP Solar...........................................................14.2
        Evergreen Solar...............................................6.0
        First Solar (CdTe)............................................6
        Global Solar......................................................1.0
        RWE Schott (ASE)...........................................10
        USSC.................................................................14
        Other * .............................................................0.5 (* including Amonix, Iowa Thin Film Technologies, and others)
        Total.................................................................138.7
        *****************************************************************************************
        2004 PV production in Japan (MW):
        Cannon ...........................................................0
        Hoxan..............................................................0
        Kaneka............................................................20
        Kyocera...........................................................105
        Matsushita......................................................2.5
        Mitsubishi.......................................................75
        Mitsubishi (HEL)............................................10
        Sanyo...............................................................65
        Sharp...............................................................324
        Total:...............................................................602
        ******************************************************************************************
        2004 PV production in Europe (MW):
        Antec (Germany)............................................7.0
        BP Solar (Spain) ............................................23.5
        Deutsche Solar (Germany)............................28
        Dunasolar (Hungary)......................................-- (Equipment moved to Thailand in 2003)
        Ersol (Germany).............................................16
        Eurosolar (Italy)..............................................4
        Free Energy Europe (Netherlands)................0.5
        Helios (Italy)...................................................4.0
        ICP Slar (Intersolar).......................................2.5
        Isofoton (spain)...............................................53.3
        Konkar (Croatia).............................................0.6
        Photowatt (France)..........................................22
        Q-Cells (Germany)..........................................75
        RWE Photronics (Germany)...........................2
        RWE Schott (was ASE, Germany).................53
        Shell (Germany)..............................................10
        Shell (Netherlands).........................................--
        Sunways (Germany).......................................11
        Other...............................................................2.0
        **********************************************************************************************
        2004 PV production in the rest of the world (MW):
        Bel (India).......................................................1
        Bhel (India).....................................................2.0
        BP Solar (Australia)........................................34
        BP Solar (Hong Kong)....................................--
        BP Solar (India)...............................................14.1     [Note: India's Total PV Production.................31.1 MW]
        BP Solar (Malaysia)........................................--
        CEL (India)......................................................2.5
        Suntech (China)...............................................35
        Maharishi (India)............................................4.5
        Motech (Taiwan) ............................................35
        RES (India)......................................................--
        Sinonar (Taiwan).............................................4
        Udhaya (India).................................................1
        Webel (India)...................................................6.0
        Other................................................................1.0
        Total.................................................................140
        ***********************************************************************************
        The Growth Challenge!
        1. Pressure to grow
        2. Pressure of Pricing - must come down
        3. Demand for high performance
        Manufacturing Technology: Expansion will be achieved through massive installation of new production capacties
            a. FromSlicon ingots feedstock to Ingot
            b. From ingots to Wafers
                - Silicon shortage has impact on PV Production & Pricing
                - Impact on R&D as more industrialization
                -New R&D in Cell Production techniques, will impact production.
                - Environmental matters affect growth
        ***************************************************************************************************************
        Reference: Renewable Eergy World, July/August 2005.
         
        Emerging Conducting Polymer PV Technology:
        Konarka (Massachusetts) Leader...................Producing ~10% Eff. Polymer Solar Panells integrated in Tents for Military, and Ski Industry.
        Nano Solar, Palo Alto, Calif ............................ Bringing some innovative Polymer Composites (Carbon Nano tubes)
        Siemens (Germany) ......................................... Promises to introduce ~ 10% Eff. Solar Panels, very cheap to produce.
        GE (Schenectedy, NY)......................................Promises to bring out much cheaper flexible PV Solar Cell/Panels
        Reference: New Scientist Magazine July, 2004.
        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         
         
        Bashir A. Syed
        Member: ASES, APS, IEEE, UCS, New York Academy of Sciences, and Sr. Member - ISES
        Vice Pres., R&D
        EnerTech Enterprises, Inc.
        1120 NASA Parkway, Suite 220W
        Houston, TX 77058.  
         
         
         
               
         
         
      • Jim & Janet
        I share your excitement Roxanne and personally hope you are correct about the projected growth of renewables over the next generation. However, keep in mind,
        Message 3 of 3 , Oct 3, 2005
        • 0 Attachment
          I share your excitement Roxanne and personally hope you are correct about the projected growth of renewables over the next generation. However, keep in mind, that outcome is not shared by most other power generating industries.
          A perfect example is Big Coal. This article, * "Tracking New Coal-Fired Power Plants" tells just what their strategy for growth is. And you will see that RE has no place in the mix if they have anything to do with it. And you know they will have a lot to do with it.
          I don't want to sound too much like a wet blanket but if RE usage is going to grow, it will have to do so mostly upon it's own merits; just like it has over the past 20 or so years. I don't believe that even with an entirely new administration in place we will be able to overcome the entrenched wealth and political power of the coal and oil cartels in the US.
          Just so you don't think I am just a naysayer or pessimist, I have invested the last 2 1/2 years of my life developing a PV installation business here in Fort Worth. I absolutely believe in renewable energy as an integral part of the future of Americas energy supply. It's just going to be an uphill battle for every inch of ground we advance.
          Jim Duncan
          North Texas Renewable Energy Inc.
          ntrei@...
          817.917.0527
          "There is one thing more powerful than all the armies of the world,
            and that is an idea whose time has come."
                          Victor Hugo

          *
          Click on "Ref Shelf"
          Open "Tracking New Coal-Fired Power Plants"

           
          ----- Original Message -----
          Sent: Sunday, October 02, 2005 10:05 PM
          Subject: Re: [hreg] Fw: Status of Worldwide PV Market during the year 2004 - Part II

          I read RE World this weekend too.  I was very encouraged to see the growth rates - Global PV production increased by 57% (and as Bashir said, that was not enough to keep up with demand).  Global Wind capacity increased by 20% (in spite of almost nothing added in the US due to legislative holdups).  This compares with a 1.5% growth in all primary energy production.  These rates have been consistent with previous years and is the expected trend for the next decades, such that renewable energy will dominate in the 2030 to 2050 time frame.  Very exciting, very hopeful.
           
           


          Bashir Syed <bsyed@...> wrote:
          2004 World Cell Production by Cell Technology:
           
                                                                                Production in Mega-Watts
          Technology                           US        Japan      Europe     ROW       Total         Share (%)
           
          Single-crystal flat plate .................... 85            111             115.8            29.6             341.4               29
          Poly crystalline....................................14.2          393.5           158                104               669.2               56
          Single & Poly-crystalline total..............99.2          504.5           273.8             133               1010.6             85
          Amorphous Silicon: outside.................14             10                8.6                7                   39.6                --
          Amorphous Silicon: inside................... --              7.5               --                   --                  7.5                  --
          Amorphous Silicon total........................14            17.5             8.6                 7                  47.1                3.9
          Crystal Si Concentrators........................0.5            --                --                   --                   0.5                  --
          Ribbon (silicon)..................................... 16             --                25                 --                   41                  3.4
          Cadmium telluride:indoor ......................--             --                 --                  --                   --                    --
          Cadmium telluride: outdoor....................6             --                 7                  --                   13                  1.1
          Copper indium diselenide.......................3             --                 --                  --                   3                    0.3
          Microcrystal Si/single Si..........................--            20                --                 --                    20                  1.7
          Si on low cost substrate...........................--            --                 --                 --                    --                   --
          A-Si on Cz slice (HIT)................................--            60               --                 --                   60                   5
          Total ......................................................139        602            314.4         140             1195.2          100
          **********************************************************************************************************************
          2004 PV Applications by Market Sector in the U.S (in MW):
          Grid-connected distributed ........................... 57
          Off-grid consumer...........................................10
          Goverment projects........................................1.0
          Off-grid industrial/commercial.......................18
          Consumer (< 40 Watt)....................................4.0
          Central station.................................................4.0
          Total installed in US........................................90
          Imports.............................................................40
          Exports.............................................................88.0
          Total produced.................................................138
          *****************************************************************************************
          2004 PV cell/module production in U.S. (MegaWatts):
          AstroPower (now owned by GE).....................25
          BP Solar...........................................................14.2
          Evergreen Solar...............................................6.0
          First Solar (CdTe)............................................6
          Global Solar......................................................1.0
          RWE Schott (ASE)...........................................10
          USSC.................................................................14
          Other * .............................................................0.5 (* including Amonix, Iowa Thin Film Technologies, and others)
          Total.................................................................138.7
          *****************************************************************************************
          2004 PV production in Japan (MW):
          Cannon ...........................................................0
          Hoxan..............................................................0
          Kaneka............................................................20
          Kyocera...........................................................105
          Matsushita......................................................2.5
          Mitsubishi.......................................................75
          Mitsubishi (HEL)............................................10
          Sanyo...............................................................65
          Sharp...............................................................324
          Total:...............................................................602
          ******************************************************************************************
          2004 PV production in Europe (MW):
          Antec (Germany)............................................7.0
          BP Solar (Spain) ............................................23.5
          Deutsche Solar (Germany)............................28
          Dunasolar (Hungary)......................................-- (Equipment moved to Thailand in 2003)
          Ersol (Germany).............................................16
          Eurosolar (Italy)..............................................4
          Free Energy Europe (Netherlands)................0.5
          Helios (Italy)...................................................4.0
          ICP Slar (Intersolar).......................................2.5
          Isofoton (spain)...............................................53.3
          Konkar (Croatia).............................................0.6
          Photowatt (France)..........................................22
          Q-Cells (Germany)..........................................75
          RWE Photronics (Germany)...........................2
          RWE Schott (was ASE, Germany).................53
          Shell (Germany)..............................................10
          Shell (Netherlands).........................................--
          Sunways (Germany).......................................11
          Other...............................................................2.0
          **********************************************************************************************
          2004 PV production in the rest of the world (MW):
          Bel (India).......................................................1
          Bhel (India).....................................................2.0
          BP Solar (Australia)........................................34
          BP Solar (Hong Kong)....................................--
          BP Solar (India)...............................................14.1     [Note: India's Total PV Production.................31.1 MW]
          BP Solar (Malaysia)........................................--
          CEL (India)......................................................2.5
          Suntech (China)...............................................35
          Maharishi (India)............................................4.5
          Motech (Taiwan) ............................................35
          RES (India)......................................................--
          Sinonar (Taiwan).............................................4
          Udhaya (India).................................................1
          Webel (India)...................................................6.0
          Other................................................................1.0
          Total.................................................................140
          ***********************************************************************************
          The Growth Challenge!
          1. Pressure to grow
          2. Pressure of Pricing - must come down
          3. Demand for high performance
          Manufacturing Technology: Expansion will be achieved through massive installation of new production capacties
              a. FromSlicon ingots feedstock to Ingot
              b. From ingots to Wafers
                  - Silicon shortage has impact on PV Production & Pricing
                  - Impact on R&D as more industrialization
                  -New R&D in Cell Production techniques, will impact production.
                  - Environmental matters affect growth
          ***************************************************************************************************************
          Reference: Renewable Eergy World, July/August 2005.
           
          Emerging Conducting Polymer PV Technology:
          Konarka (Massachusetts) Leader...................Producing ~10% Eff. Polymer Solar Panells integrated in Tents for Military, and Ski Industry.
          Nano Solar, Palo Alto, Calif ............................ Bringing some innovative Polymer Composites (Carbon Nano tubes)
          Siemens (Germany) ......................................... Promises to introduce ~ 10% Eff. Solar Panels, very cheap to produce.
          GE (Schenectedy, NY)......................................Promises to bring out much cheaper flexible PV Solar Cell/Panels
          Reference: New Scientist Magazine July, 2004.
          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           
           
          Bashir A. Syed
          Member: ASES, APS, IEEE, UCS, New York Academy of Sciences, and Sr. Member - ISES
          Vice Pres., R&D
          EnerTech Enterprises, Inc.
          1120 NASA Parkway, Suite 220W
          Houston, TX 77058.  
           
           
           
                 
           
           
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