RE: [hreg] Hydrogen-based transportation
RE: [hreg] Hydrogen-based transportationMy concern is not with the researchers who are funded. I haveno doubt of their enthusiasm. My concern is that the administrationhas shifted emphasis to a technology whose payoff is a decade away,thus preserving the status quo on petrol cars. Why not continueresearch in parallel on hybrids? Are we still going to see thebig three debut hybrid electrics without federal backing? MeanwhileHonda and Toyota have delivered the product to market, and the ownersthat I know are very pleased.Federal funding for battery research and electric cars alwaysseemed to be just about to result in an electric car coming tomarket, but the elusive product remained always 4 years away?Will the administration's emphasis on hydrogen now lead to asimilar "never quite ready" vehicle while we continue with our20 mpg SUVs?
There is usually more than one side to a story, and witnesses to the same event often portray it in very different ways, depending on their perspective. I hope you'll not mind if I share a perspective a little different than your own.
First, the auto industry (Big 3 etc) will be profit-driven else out of business. If they are to be profitable, they must offer what consumers will buy. That involves various tradeoffs in cost, quality, safety, fuel efficiency, liability, etc. It may in fact be true that Nader pushed them towards safety, but it may also be true that they were already improving cars continuously. There was a lot of difference (e.g., improvements) between a Model T and even the early Nader-era cars. One could make the argument that the conservatism of the auto industry towards innovation (using explosive hydrogen, for example) may in fact be partly driven by the liability concerns Nader helped create. In the face of huge lawsuits, one is inclined towards sticking to tried and true formulas, not taking the risk of a new technology. In the grand scheme of things, Nader may in fact have unintentionally done the environment a disservice in this regard. The fact that innovation continues at all is a testament to the powerful motivation of competition and profit motive.
Second, your comments about innovation don't reflect the auto industry I'm familiar with. My company sells raw materials (rubber materials) to the auto industry. I read publications and attend conferences that describe the many innovative developments within the auto industry, including the Big 3. The auto industry has been championing innovation in materials, design and production for as long as I've been familiar with it. The huge changes in materials and design have enabled cars of substantially reduced weight. Aerodynamics innovations have increased efficiency and comfort. Tire innovations (recent Firestone quality issues notwithstanding) have increased safety (skid resistance) and fuel economy (green tires) and economy/waste disposal (higher mileage). Plastics have improved safety and comfort and cost throughout. Numerous innovations large and small have contributed to the 100,000 mile car where little service is required. (Remember when you used to have to get a tune-up every 20,000 miles or so?). Some of the innovations that are going on that are not being "fought" by the Big 3 (e.g., they aren't being forced) include the "drive by wire" technologies, "smart wheels", and collision avoidance systems. When these technologies hit the market over the next few years, I hope you'll give credit where credit is due, and not attribute them to Nader or the government.
I've listened to researchers describe their work on airbags and other safety features with emotion; at least some of them believe in what they are doing, and they are passionate about saving lives. They aren't dragging their feet to work everyday as they study crash dummies. Just as an example, several companies are actively working to replace PVC passenger-side airbag covers with alternative materials like polyolefins. Why? PVC embrittles when cold. Thus, in a cold car, airbag deployment could lead to PVC shrapnel-like film pieces cutting the passenger. The trick is finding a material with the right balance of low temperature flexibility, UV and heat resistance, colorability, processability, cost, etc. This change will happen. As often happens, once someone comes up with the technical innovation to make it possible, the government may mandate it in all vehicles. This may cause environmentalists to claim that thanks to the government, Big 3 automakers replaced chlorine-containing PVC with a polyolefin and improved safety in Alaskan cars, but the credit really should go to those "foot dragging" automakers and their industry suppliers whose research and process implementations made it all possible. It may have taken a few years to do all the research because of the many technical challenges involved, but that is hardly foot-dragging.
Hydrogen and fuel cells are a massive change for automakers. A true paradigm shift. These are once in a generation or two type changes that don't happen overnight. Fuel cells have been in spacecraft for years, but so have nuclear power plants. Where consumer liability and cost concerns are minimal, these things can be done. But where do you honestly think Nader would be if automakers rushed to put hydrogen fuel cells in cars, and Exxon and Shell had rushed to put hydrogen distribution systems in cities and neighborhoods throughout the country, and then an accident and massive explosion happened? Would Nader be in there defending industry for their environmentally friendly rush to implement innovative but unproven and buggy technology? Or would he be suing them on behalf of consumers? I don't think Nader is a model for how to increase risk-taking behavior and innovation in corporations, and fuel cells need more work before they are low risk, economical solutions for consumer transportation.
I know it feels good for a Green to dump on big corporations, and what better target than the Big 3? But I encourage you to consider both sides of the coin before criticizing them next time.
From: ChasMauch@... [mailto:ChasMauch@...]
Sent: Thursday, January 10, 2002 11:56 AM
Subject: Re: [hreg] Hydrogen-based transportation
There was a version of this article in today's Houston Chronicle. I notice they say this will EVENTUALLY help reduce dependence on imported oil and end vehicle pollution, talk about LONG TERM results, and say that this vision spans SEVERAL DECADES. Environmentalists note that the parties to this (the big 3 auto makers) have been fighting increases in federal mileage standards for years and have continued to shift more and more of their production into gas thirsty trucks and SUVs.
They talk a good game but their actions indicate no interest at all in fuel economy unless forced in that direction. Merceds Benz has been saying they will have a fuel cell car in production in 2 or 3 years, but most of the industry will probably continue to drag their feet as long as possible while putting out press releases like this.
The auto industry historically fought such simple safety features as air bags, padded dash, collapseable steering wheel column, breakaway rear view mirrors, safety glass, stronger door hinges, and everything else until forced by Ralph Nader and other consumer adovcates to apply the simple technology that had been available for years.
These guys have zero credibility with me. They don't care about safery or reducing our reliance on foriegn oil imports or pollution or anything else but their bottom line. Maybe I'm too hard on them but if history is any guide - and I think it is - they are still blowing smoke, after all these years, stalling for more time, and expecting us all to buy it. I don't.
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.
Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ADVERTISEMENT
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.
- I have accepted to be at the Woodlands event on April 8.John Gardner
Michael Ewert <mewert@...> wrote:Looking ahead to Earth Day, Id like to get an idea how many of you will be willing to help staff an HREG booth at one event or other. Im sure we will have many opportunities and I dont want to accept more than we can handle. Please let me know if you would like to staff the specific request below or if you would like to sign up tentatively to staff another Earth Day event. Most will be on Saturdays in April. Please e-mail me at mewert@.... Thank you.-----Original Message-----
From: Eric Duran [mailto:eduran@...]
Sent: Thursday, January 19, 2006 11:35 AM
Subject: Bellaire Earth DayMr. Ewert,I'm writing to ask the Houston Renewable Energy Group to participate in Bellaire's Earth Day Festival on April 22nd, 2006. We'd like you to have an informative booth at the Nature Discovery Center site, from 10am to 2pm. We're asking the exhibitors this year to make the booths as interactive as possible, but information would be okay, as well. We look forward to having your organization join us.Thank you,Eric DuranStaff NaturalistNature Discovery Center713-667-6550