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Re: [hr100] predicted aid station arrival times for a range of finishing times

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  • Steve Pero
    Realize that if you attempt to stay around a 48 hour pace, you will most likely finish a lot faster. Last year I tried my best to stay there (48 hour splits
    Message 1 of 3 , Jul 7, 2009
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      Realize that if you attempt to stay around a 48 hour pace, you will most
      likely finish a lot faster. Last year I tried my best to stay there (48 hour
      splits written on my hand) and I finished in 43... in 2001 I did the same,
      Deb and I were pushing the cutoffs the first night and I finished in 41. So
      unless you're racing, staying slower than you want to finish is the wisest
      choice.

      Good luck to all....this is my first missed Hardrock since 2000 (except for
      2002, the fire year) and I am going to follow as much as I can. Deb and I
      will be with you in spirit at the Potlick tomorrow, the long course briefing
      on Thursday and of course at the start Friday morning.

      See you all next year!
      Steve

      http://perogoats.blogspot.com/


      On Mon, Jul 6, 2009 at 10:58 PM, <ahaebig@...> wrote:

      >
      >
      > Hi all,
      >
      > in the manual they have the handy page of average aid station arrival times
      > for a 48-hour finisher. I took that and extrapolated back for earlier
      > finishers. I did it by percentage, meaning I took the predicted 48 hour
      > finisher arrival times and used 75% of the time for each leg for a 36 hour
      > finisher. This should be more accurate than just estimating by mileage,
      > since those original 48 hour times are based on actual times, and we all
      > know some 12 mile stretches are longer than others.
      >
      > I hope folks find this useful.
      >


      [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
    • ahaebig@nwlink.com
      Well, that formatting didn t work. Let s try this again: station 32 hour 34 hour 36 hour 38 hour 40 hour
      Message 2 of 3 , Jul 7, 2009
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        Well, that formatting didn't work. Let's try this again:



        station 32 hour 34 hour 36 hour
        38 hour 40 hour 42 hour 44 hour
        46 hour 48 hour Crew?

        Cunningham Fri 7:53 Fri 8:00 Fri 8:08 Fri 8:15 Fri 8:22 Fri 8:29 Fri
        8:36 Fri 8:43 Fri 8:50 y

        Maggie Gulch Fri 9:46 Fri 10:00 Fri 10:16 Fri 10:30
        Fri 10:44 Fri 10:58 Fri 11:12 Fri 11:26 Fri
        11:40 n

        Pole Creek Fri 10:39 Fri 10:57 Fri 11:16
        Fri 11:33 Fri 11:51 Fri 12:08 Fri 12:25
        Fri 12:43 Fri 13:00 n

        Sherman Fri 12:29 Fri 12:54 Fri
        13:20 Fri 13:44 Fri 14:09 Fri 14:32
        Fri 14:56 Fri 15:21 Fri 15:45 y

        Grouse Gulch Fri 16:36 Fri 17:16 Fri 17:58
        Fri 18:37 Fri 19:17 Fri 19:56 Fri 20:35
        Fri 21:16 Fri 21:55 y

        Engineer Fri 19:13 Fri 20:02 Fri 20:54
        Fri 21:43 Fri 22:33 Fri 23:22 Sat 0:10
        Sat 1:01 Sat 1:50 n

        Ouray Fri 21:26 Fri 22:24 Fri 23:24
        Sat 0:21 Sat 1:20 Sat 2:17 Sat 3:13
        Sat 4:13 Sat 5:10 y

        Governor Basin Fri 23:53 Sat 1:00 Sat 2:09
        Sat 3:15 Sat 4:23 Sat 5:30 Sat 6:35
        Sat 7:44 Sat 8:50 n

        Kroger Canteen Sat 1:20 Sat 2:32 Sat 3:47
        Sat 4:58 Sat 6:11 Sat 7:24 Sat 8:34
        Sat 9:49 Sat 11:00 n

        Telluride Sat 2:33 Sat 3:50 Sat 5:10
        Sat 6:25 Sat 7:43 Sat 9:00 Sat 10:13
        Sat 11:34 Sat 12:50 y

        Chapman Gulch Sat 6:26 Sat 7:58 Sat 9:33
        Sat 11:02 Sat 12:35 Sat 14:06 Sat 15:34
        Sat 17:09 Sat 18:40 y

        KT Sat 9:29 Sat 11:13 Sat 12:59
        Sat 14:40 Sat 16:24 Sat 18:07 Sat 19:46
        Sat 21:33 Sat 23:15 n

        Putnam Basin Sat 12:12 Sat 14:07 Sat 16:03 Sat
        17:54 Sat 19:48 Sat 21:41 Sat 23:31
        Sun 1:28 Sun 3:20 n

        Finish Sat 13:59 Sat 16:00 Sat 18:03
        Sat 20:01 Sat 22:01 Sun 0:01 Sun 1:58
        Sun 4:03 Sun 6:00



        _____

        From: hr100@yahoogroups.com [mailto:hr100@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of
        ahaebig@...
        Sent: Monday, July 06, 2009 8:59 PM
        To: hr100@yahoogroups.com
        Subject: [hr100] predicted aid station arrival times for a range of
        finishing times








        Hi all,

        in the manual they have the handy page of average aid station arrival times
        for a 48-hour finisher. I took that and extrapolated back for earlier
        finishers. I did it by percentage, meaning I took the predicted 48 hour
        finisher arrival times and used 75% of the time for each leg for a 36 hour
        finisher. This should be more accurate than just estimating by mileage,
        since those original 48 hour times are based on actual times, and we all
        know some 12 mile stretches are longer than others.

        I hope folks find this useful.

        station

        32 hour

        34 hour

        36 hour

        38 hour

        40 hour

        42 hour

        44 hour

        46 hour

        48 hour

        Crew?

        Cunningham Gulch

        Fri 7:53

        Fri 8:00

        Fri 8:08

        Fri 8:15

        Fri 8:22

        Fri 8:29

        Fri 8:36

        Fri 8:43

        Fri 8:50

        y

        Maggie Gulch

        Fri 9:46

        Fri 10:00

        Fri 10:16

        Fri 10:30

        Fri 10:44

        Fri 10:58

        Fri 11:12

        Fri 11:26

        Fri 11:40

        n

        Pole Creek

        Fri 10:39

        Fri 10:57

        Fri 11:16

        Fri 11:33

        Fri 11:51

        Fri 12:08

        Fri 12:25

        Fri 12:43

        Fri 13:00

        n

        Sherman

        Fri 12:29

        Fri 12:54

        Fri 13:20

        Fri 13:44

        Fri 14:09

        Fri 14:32

        Fri 14:56

        Fri 15:21

        Fri 15:45

        y

        Grouse Gulch

        Fri 16:36

        Fri 17:16

        Fri 17:58

        Fri 18:37

        Fri 19:17

        Fri 19:56

        Fri 20:35

        Fri 21:16

        Fri 21:55

        y

        Engineer

        Fri 19:13

        Fri 20:02

        Fri 20:54

        Fri 21:43

        Fri 22:33

        Fri 23:22

        Sat 0:10

        Sat 1:01

        Sat 1:50

        n

        Ouray

        Fri 21:26

        Fri 22:24

        Fri 23:24

        Sat 0:21

        Sat 1:20

        Sat 2:17

        Sat 3:13

        Sat 4:13

        Sat 5:10

        y

        Governor Basin

        Fri 23:53

        Sat 1:00

        Sat 2:09

        Sat 3:15

        Sat 4:23

        Sat 5:30

        Sat 6:35

        Sat 7:44

        Sat 8:50

        n

        Kroger Canteen

        Sat 1:20

        Sat 2:32

        Sat 3:47

        Sat 4:58

        Sat 6:11

        Sat 7:24

        Sat 8:34

        Sat 9:49

        Sat 11:00

        n

        Telluride

        Sat 2:33

        Sat 3:50

        Sat 5:10

        Sat 6:25

        Sat 7:43

        Sat 9:00

        Sat 10:13

        Sat 11:34

        Sat 12:50

        y

        Chapman Gulch

        Sat 6:26

        Sat 7:58

        Sat 9:33

        Sat 11:02

        Sat 12:35

        Sat 14:06

        Sat 15:34

        Sat 17:09

        Sat 18:40

        y

        KT

        Sat 9:29

        Sat 11:13

        Sat 12:59

        Sat 14:40

        Sat 16:24

        Sat 18:07

        Sat 19:46

        Sat 21:33

        Sat 23:15

        n

        Putnam Basin

        Sat 12:12

        Sat 14:07

        Sat 16:03

        Sat 17:54

        Sat 19:48

        Sat 21:41

        Sat 23:31

        Sun 1:28

        Sun 3:20

        n

        Finish

        Sat 13:59

        Sat 16:00

        Sat 18:03

        Sat 20:01

        Sat 22:01

        Sun 0:01

        Sun 1:58

        Sun 4:03

        Sun 6:00

        [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]





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