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predicted aid station arrival times for a range of finishing times

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  • ahaebig@nwlink.com
    Hi all, in the manual they have the handy page of average aid station arrival times for a 48-hour finisher. I took that and extrapolated back for earlier
    Message 1 of 3 , Jul 6 7:58 PM
    • 0 Attachment
      Hi all,

      in the manual they have the handy page of average aid station arrival times
      for a 48-hour finisher. I took that and extrapolated back for earlier
      finishers. I did it by percentage, meaning I took the predicted 48 hour
      finisher arrival times and used 75% of the time for each leg for a 36 hour
      finisher. This should be more accurate than just estimating by mileage,
      since those original 48 hour times are based on actual times, and we all
      know some 12 mile stretches are longer than others.



      I hope folks find this useful.




      station

      32 hour

      34 hour

      36 hour

      38 hour

      40 hour

      42 hour

      44 hour

      46 hour

      48 hour

      Crew?


      Cunningham Gulch

      Fri 7:53

      Fri 8:00

      Fri 8:08

      Fri 8:15

      Fri 8:22

      Fri 8:29

      Fri 8:36

      Fri 8:43

      Fri 8:50



      y


      Maggie Gulch

      Fri 9:46

      Fri 10:00

      Fri 10:16

      Fri 10:30

      Fri 10:44

      Fri 10:58

      Fri 11:12

      Fri 11:26

      Fri 11:40



      n


      Pole Creek

      Fri 10:39

      Fri 10:57

      Fri 11:16

      Fri 11:33

      Fri 11:51

      Fri 12:08

      Fri 12:25

      Fri 12:43

      Fri 13:00



      n


      Sherman

      Fri 12:29

      Fri 12:54

      Fri 13:20

      Fri 13:44

      Fri 14:09

      Fri 14:32

      Fri 14:56

      Fri 15:21

      Fri 15:45



      y


      Grouse Gulch

      Fri 16:36

      Fri 17:16

      Fri 17:58

      Fri 18:37

      Fri 19:17

      Fri 19:56

      Fri 20:35

      Fri 21:16

      Fri 21:55



      y


      Engineer

      Fri 19:13

      Fri 20:02

      Fri 20:54

      Fri 21:43

      Fri 22:33

      Fri 23:22

      Sat 0:10

      Sat 1:01

      Sat 1:50



      n


      Ouray

      Fri 21:26

      Fri 22:24

      Fri 23:24

      Sat 0:21

      Sat 1:20

      Sat 2:17

      Sat 3:13

      Sat 4:13

      Sat 5:10



      y


      Governor Basin

      Fri 23:53

      Sat 1:00

      Sat 2:09

      Sat 3:15

      Sat 4:23

      Sat 5:30

      Sat 6:35

      Sat 7:44

      Sat 8:50



      n


      Kroger Canteen

      Sat 1:20

      Sat 2:32

      Sat 3:47

      Sat 4:58

      Sat 6:11

      Sat 7:24

      Sat 8:34

      Sat 9:49

      Sat 11:00



      n


      Telluride

      Sat 2:33

      Sat 3:50

      Sat 5:10

      Sat 6:25

      Sat 7:43

      Sat 9:00

      Sat 10:13

      Sat 11:34

      Sat 12:50



      y


      Chapman Gulch

      Sat 6:26

      Sat 7:58

      Sat 9:33

      Sat 11:02

      Sat 12:35

      Sat 14:06

      Sat 15:34

      Sat 17:09

      Sat 18:40



      y


      KT

      Sat 9:29

      Sat 11:13

      Sat 12:59

      Sat 14:40

      Sat 16:24

      Sat 18:07

      Sat 19:46

      Sat 21:33

      Sat 23:15



      n


      Putnam Basin

      Sat 12:12

      Sat 14:07

      Sat 16:03

      Sat 17:54

      Sat 19:48

      Sat 21:41

      Sat 23:31

      Sun 1:28

      Sun 3:20



      n


      Finish

      Sat 13:59

      Sat 16:00

      Sat 18:03

      Sat 20:01

      Sat 22:01

      Sun 0:01

      Sun 1:58

      Sun 4:03

      Sun 6:00









      [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
    • Steve Pero
      Realize that if you attempt to stay around a 48 hour pace, you will most likely finish a lot faster. Last year I tried my best to stay there (48 hour splits
      Message 2 of 3 , Jul 7 5:12 AM
      • 0 Attachment
        Realize that if you attempt to stay around a 48 hour pace, you will most
        likely finish a lot faster. Last year I tried my best to stay there (48 hour
        splits written on my hand) and I finished in 43... in 2001 I did the same,
        Deb and I were pushing the cutoffs the first night and I finished in 41. So
        unless you're racing, staying slower than you want to finish is the wisest
        choice.

        Good luck to all....this is my first missed Hardrock since 2000 (except for
        2002, the fire year) and I am going to follow as much as I can. Deb and I
        will be with you in spirit at the Potlick tomorrow, the long course briefing
        on Thursday and of course at the start Friday morning.

        See you all next year!
        Steve

        http://perogoats.blogspot.com/


        On Mon, Jul 6, 2009 at 10:58 PM, <ahaebig@...> wrote:

        >
        >
        > Hi all,
        >
        > in the manual they have the handy page of average aid station arrival times
        > for a 48-hour finisher. I took that and extrapolated back for earlier
        > finishers. I did it by percentage, meaning I took the predicted 48 hour
        > finisher arrival times and used 75% of the time for each leg for a 36 hour
        > finisher. This should be more accurate than just estimating by mileage,
        > since those original 48 hour times are based on actual times, and we all
        > know some 12 mile stretches are longer than others.
        >
        > I hope folks find this useful.
        >


        [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
      • ahaebig@nwlink.com
        Well, that formatting didn t work. Let s try this again: station 32 hour 34 hour 36 hour 38 hour 40 hour
        Message 3 of 3 , Jul 7 11:17 AM
        • 0 Attachment
          Well, that formatting didn't work. Let's try this again:



          station 32 hour 34 hour 36 hour
          38 hour 40 hour 42 hour 44 hour
          46 hour 48 hour Crew?

          Cunningham Fri 7:53 Fri 8:00 Fri 8:08 Fri 8:15 Fri 8:22 Fri 8:29 Fri
          8:36 Fri 8:43 Fri 8:50 y

          Maggie Gulch Fri 9:46 Fri 10:00 Fri 10:16 Fri 10:30
          Fri 10:44 Fri 10:58 Fri 11:12 Fri 11:26 Fri
          11:40 n

          Pole Creek Fri 10:39 Fri 10:57 Fri 11:16
          Fri 11:33 Fri 11:51 Fri 12:08 Fri 12:25
          Fri 12:43 Fri 13:00 n

          Sherman Fri 12:29 Fri 12:54 Fri
          13:20 Fri 13:44 Fri 14:09 Fri 14:32
          Fri 14:56 Fri 15:21 Fri 15:45 y

          Grouse Gulch Fri 16:36 Fri 17:16 Fri 17:58
          Fri 18:37 Fri 19:17 Fri 19:56 Fri 20:35
          Fri 21:16 Fri 21:55 y

          Engineer Fri 19:13 Fri 20:02 Fri 20:54
          Fri 21:43 Fri 22:33 Fri 23:22 Sat 0:10
          Sat 1:01 Sat 1:50 n

          Ouray Fri 21:26 Fri 22:24 Fri 23:24
          Sat 0:21 Sat 1:20 Sat 2:17 Sat 3:13
          Sat 4:13 Sat 5:10 y

          Governor Basin Fri 23:53 Sat 1:00 Sat 2:09
          Sat 3:15 Sat 4:23 Sat 5:30 Sat 6:35
          Sat 7:44 Sat 8:50 n

          Kroger Canteen Sat 1:20 Sat 2:32 Sat 3:47
          Sat 4:58 Sat 6:11 Sat 7:24 Sat 8:34
          Sat 9:49 Sat 11:00 n

          Telluride Sat 2:33 Sat 3:50 Sat 5:10
          Sat 6:25 Sat 7:43 Sat 9:00 Sat 10:13
          Sat 11:34 Sat 12:50 y

          Chapman Gulch Sat 6:26 Sat 7:58 Sat 9:33
          Sat 11:02 Sat 12:35 Sat 14:06 Sat 15:34
          Sat 17:09 Sat 18:40 y

          KT Sat 9:29 Sat 11:13 Sat 12:59
          Sat 14:40 Sat 16:24 Sat 18:07 Sat 19:46
          Sat 21:33 Sat 23:15 n

          Putnam Basin Sat 12:12 Sat 14:07 Sat 16:03 Sat
          17:54 Sat 19:48 Sat 21:41 Sat 23:31
          Sun 1:28 Sun 3:20 n

          Finish Sat 13:59 Sat 16:00 Sat 18:03
          Sat 20:01 Sat 22:01 Sun 0:01 Sun 1:58
          Sun 4:03 Sun 6:00



          _____

          From: hr100@yahoogroups.com [mailto:hr100@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of
          ahaebig@...
          Sent: Monday, July 06, 2009 8:59 PM
          To: hr100@yahoogroups.com
          Subject: [hr100] predicted aid station arrival times for a range of
          finishing times








          Hi all,

          in the manual they have the handy page of average aid station arrival times
          for a 48-hour finisher. I took that and extrapolated back for earlier
          finishers. I did it by percentage, meaning I took the predicted 48 hour
          finisher arrival times and used 75% of the time for each leg for a 36 hour
          finisher. This should be more accurate than just estimating by mileage,
          since those original 48 hour times are based on actual times, and we all
          know some 12 mile stretches are longer than others.

          I hope folks find this useful.

          station

          32 hour

          34 hour

          36 hour

          38 hour

          40 hour

          42 hour

          44 hour

          46 hour

          48 hour

          Crew?

          Cunningham Gulch

          Fri 7:53

          Fri 8:00

          Fri 8:08

          Fri 8:15

          Fri 8:22

          Fri 8:29

          Fri 8:36

          Fri 8:43

          Fri 8:50

          y

          Maggie Gulch

          Fri 9:46

          Fri 10:00

          Fri 10:16

          Fri 10:30

          Fri 10:44

          Fri 10:58

          Fri 11:12

          Fri 11:26

          Fri 11:40

          n

          Pole Creek

          Fri 10:39

          Fri 10:57

          Fri 11:16

          Fri 11:33

          Fri 11:51

          Fri 12:08

          Fri 12:25

          Fri 12:43

          Fri 13:00

          n

          Sherman

          Fri 12:29

          Fri 12:54

          Fri 13:20

          Fri 13:44

          Fri 14:09

          Fri 14:32

          Fri 14:56

          Fri 15:21

          Fri 15:45

          y

          Grouse Gulch

          Fri 16:36

          Fri 17:16

          Fri 17:58

          Fri 18:37

          Fri 19:17

          Fri 19:56

          Fri 20:35

          Fri 21:16

          Fri 21:55

          y

          Engineer

          Fri 19:13

          Fri 20:02

          Fri 20:54

          Fri 21:43

          Fri 22:33

          Fri 23:22

          Sat 0:10

          Sat 1:01

          Sat 1:50

          n

          Ouray

          Fri 21:26

          Fri 22:24

          Fri 23:24

          Sat 0:21

          Sat 1:20

          Sat 2:17

          Sat 3:13

          Sat 4:13

          Sat 5:10

          y

          Governor Basin

          Fri 23:53

          Sat 1:00

          Sat 2:09

          Sat 3:15

          Sat 4:23

          Sat 5:30

          Sat 6:35

          Sat 7:44

          Sat 8:50

          n

          Kroger Canteen

          Sat 1:20

          Sat 2:32

          Sat 3:47

          Sat 4:58

          Sat 6:11

          Sat 7:24

          Sat 8:34

          Sat 9:49

          Sat 11:00

          n

          Telluride

          Sat 2:33

          Sat 3:50

          Sat 5:10

          Sat 6:25

          Sat 7:43

          Sat 9:00

          Sat 10:13

          Sat 11:34

          Sat 12:50

          y

          Chapman Gulch

          Sat 6:26

          Sat 7:58

          Sat 9:33

          Sat 11:02

          Sat 12:35

          Sat 14:06

          Sat 15:34

          Sat 17:09

          Sat 18:40

          y

          KT

          Sat 9:29

          Sat 11:13

          Sat 12:59

          Sat 14:40

          Sat 16:24

          Sat 18:07

          Sat 19:46

          Sat 21:33

          Sat 23:15

          n

          Putnam Basin

          Sat 12:12

          Sat 14:07

          Sat 16:03

          Sat 17:54

          Sat 19:48

          Sat 21:41

          Sat 23:31

          Sun 1:28

          Sun 3:20

          n

          Finish

          Sat 13:59

          Sat 16:00

          Sat 18:03

          Sat 20:01

          Sat 22:01

          Sun 0:01

          Sun 1:58

          Sun 4:03

          Sun 6:00

          [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]





          [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
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