birdflu/panflu preparedness in Kenya
- Hi all!
>Last two days there occured birds death in Nairobi west and langata areasIt might be because of prolonged draught.
>giving threatening signs of the bird flu already here.
>It was alarming to get 0ver 100 chicks and birds die on top of the trees
>and authoritiesstill say it is because of the prolonged draught.
Possibly, the way to find out is to contact the apropriate authorities
so they may in turn collect samples, talk to the World Health
Organisation and, if they see reason for concern, then send the samples
to laboratories with resources.
I don't know who those "apropriate authorities" are but there might be
Yes, there's info about Kenya:
>There must be preparedness in these countries.I think preparedness should happen even if there's no bird flu right now:
* The "panzootic" (=disease in birds in many countries) is growing. It
started in Asia and now it's in Europe and Africa. Not everywhere but
in many places. There is doubts whether it travels with trade (legal or
illegal) and/or with migratory birds, but I guess that doesn't matter.
So I think it does make sense to prepare for the spread of disease in birds.
* A "pandemic" (=disease in humans with human to human transmission
which would be difficult or, at some point, impossible to stop) might
start but no-one knows where, when or how bad. Minimising "bird to
human" transmission would help (we hope) prevent a pandemic. If (WHO
says "when, not if") there's a pandemic, then things would happen pretty
quickly: human to human transmission would mean that it would take maybe
only a few weeks until it reaches many countries, and then several weeks
(4-8) weeks of "parallel local epidemics": first a few humans, then
more, then many more, then less, then even less ... then probably a
second "wave" about 3-9 months later. This would happen all over the
world more or less simultaneously, so the time to prepare is not "when
it has already started", but "as soon as possible".
* Preparedness regarding the panzootic has some points in common with
preparedness regarding a pandemic:
** for a panzootic it's only "poultry workers" who must change how they
do things, for a pandemic it's everyone.
** for a panzootic we want to foster cooperation about infected birds,
in a pandemic we want cooperation regarding humans.
So preparedness makes sense and it makes sense now or as soon as possible.
What we need to think about is "WHAT" we should do, and then "HOW" to do it.
>After two days the livestock department came out when the residents inthose areas had even touched the dead chicks withy bare handsand nobody
could not even say where the chicks came from before being damped there.
We need some cautions preparedness if there is some threatening menance
to our population.
>Go on and let's have insights as you might such ideas from where you are.Ok. I've started working on a wiki page at
The content right now is simple:
* Create link in
* copy the gist of our messages over to this page
* add link to Kenyan experts (done)
* look for WHO recomendations
* set up a plan with questions we need to reply to
I welcome our help and thoughts both on our lists and on that page.
Thank you Samwel!