Re: [hockeydisk] Back-up goalies
- Without having stats in front of me this second, might I make a suggestion
on Valiquette. Why produce him on the disk?
His playing time was the equivilent of 3 games, maybe goalies should be on
minutes not just GP.
Just a thought....
>From: "Jeff & Cheryl Kraus" <kraushaus@...>________________________________________________________________________
>Subject: [hockeydisk] Back-up goalies
>Date: Wed, 31 May 2000 22:45:47 -0400
>Well, from an APBA standpoint this whole study doesn't do
>much to cure the "freak" goalies, but it sure was
>interesting to see the differences in how various coaches
>use their back-up goalies.
>You've got Toronto, where you can only wonder how many games
>they blew by letting Healy blow a lot of games that would
>have been easy wins for CuJo.
>You've got Boston where Grahame's .939 in 9 starts - ALL
>against playoff-bound teams - got him a trip to the minors
>when Dafoe wised up, and even after he was called up again
>in late February he got a lot of significant starts and
>wound up playing 89% of his time against playoff teams &
>playoff contenders. Not exactly freak stats there.
>And then you've got New Jersey, where the theory was to not
>blow any easy wins and take their chances with Terreri
>against some middle-of-the road teams, which as it turned
>out included some starts against very good teams (Washington
>twice, St. Louis) that weren't supposed to be as good as
>they were. Even so, only 1 of Terreri's 10 starts was a
>cakewalk, against Nashville.
>So I'll spare you the boring details and cut to the chase.
>I actually found a guy (Terreri) whose ratings might even go
>up a little to compensate for degree of difficulty in his
>assignments (but they still won't come close to making you
>want Terreri for your APBA team!). The same argument could
>be made for Grahame, but since Grahame's numbers are already
>pretty high and since he didn't play much worse against the
>top teams as he did against the patsies I wouldn't want to
>mess with his ratings. Anyway, back to Terreri. His
>numbers were awful, but almost 90% of it came against
>playoff & contending teams. His numbers against those teams
>are similar to other back-ups, like Billington. In his only
>start against a patsy he stopped 31 of 32. So his ratings
>can come up a little to compensate, but not much. He was
>still pretty horrible.
>The only highly rated back-up whose stats might have been
>inflated is Manny Fernandez. Fernandez got 57% of his
>playing time against garbage teams, including 12 of his 19
>starts. On the other hand, his .922 save percentage in
>those games is not much higher than it was against the
>better teams! I think you have to factor in Dallas's
>defense there and figure his ratings can come down a point.
>The only real freak goalie this year is Valiquette, with his
>.949 in 6 games. But he didn't really play anywhere near 6
>games. He started twice, against Ottawa and Atlanta, and
>stopped 82 of 85 (45 of 46 vs. Ottawa). He played 1 minute
>vs. NJ, and mopped up against Phoenix, Pittsburgh and
>Toronto with about 20 minutes each game. Total playing time
>was barely more than 3 games. I'll probably limit him to 3
>or 4 in our league. Anyone who lets him start 50-60 games
>in their league will get what they deserve. But his brief
>performance warrants the ratings he'll get for this small
>slice of time.
>The other above average back-ups - Denis, Giguere, Nabokov -
>all played less than 50% of their time against poor teams,
>and none of them had the wild splits in performance like we
>saw with Billington. In fact, Nabokov fared much *better*
>against the better teams than the slugs, even if you discard
>his mop up games.
>But here's my absolute favorite: Glenn Healy. The guy had
>an .888 save percentage, so you figure he's probably not
>worth having on your APBA team so just leave the guy alone.
>But I can't. It's just too outrageous. Dude had 19 starts
>and one mop-up appearance. SIXTEEN of his 19 starts were
>against garbage teams!!! Dude's with a division winner,
>gets 19 starts, 16 against the bowels of the league, and he
>STILL loses more than half his starts (9-10-0) and posts an
>.898 save percentage against the worst teams in the league.
>In his other 3 starts and his mop-up effort he had a less
>than stellar .839. Hate to kick a guy when he's down, but
>his ratings are coming dooooown.
>That's enough for now. This concludes my study on back-up
>goaltenders and freak goalie stats. :-)
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