Loading ...
Sorry, an error occurred while loading the content.

Bayes is Dead

Expand Messages
  • nonarevers
    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/06/science/far-from-junk-dna-dark-matter-proves-crucial-to-health.html?_r=1 So much for septillions in multiplication, assuming
    Message 1 of 2 , Sep 6, 2012
    • 0 Attachment
      http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/06/science/far-from-junk-dna-dark-matter-proves-crucial-to-health.html?_r=1

      So much for septillions in multiplication, assuming independence of alleles.
      The best explanation of the Arizona data from the Kathryn Troyer disclosure and the impossibility to model sub-populations to simulate such outcomes ?
    • John Buckleton
      The current situation is that despite some considerable effort no association has ever been confirmed between a forensic locus and a disease. The matches in
      Message 2 of 2 , Sep 6, 2012
      • 0 Attachment
        The current situation is that despite some considerable effort no association has ever been confirmed between a forensic locus and a disease.

        The matches in the Arizona database have been much discussed and misdiscussed. They appear to occur at slightly more than the product rule prediction, but may be readily accommodated by the inclusion of relatives. Modelling of this has been done in many diverse populations now and the fit to prediction is rather exceptional. I attach some papers.

        P Think before you print
        This e-mail transmission and any attachments that accompany it may contain information that is privileged, confidential or otherwise exempt from disclosure under applicable law and is intended solely for the use of the individual(s) to whom it was intended to be addressed.
        If you have received this e-mail by mistake, or you are not the intended recipient, any disclosure, dissemination, distribution, copying or other use or retention of this communication or its substance is prohibited. If you have received this communication in error, please immediately reply to the author via e-mail that you received this message by mistake and also permanently delete the original and all copies of this e-mail and any attachments from your computer. Thank you.



        [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
      Your message has been successfully submitted and would be delivered to recipients shortly.