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[evol-psych] Sailer on The Future of Human Nature

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  • Ian Pitchford
    Another strange piece from Steve Sailer containing all the usual fallacies: evolution=progress, human nature=genes, head size is a measure of human
    Message 1 of 2 , Feb 1, 2000
      Another strange piece from Steve Sailer containing all the
      usual fallacies: evolution=progress, human nature=genes,
      head size is a measure of human advancement, stereotypes
      and folklore are the source of all true knowledge, all human
      variability=genetic variability or "cultural inventions designed
      to mimic the effects of the gene variants", equality=biological
      equality, neo-Darwinism=conservatism. The study of an
      "homogenous human nature", rather than being a feature of
      evolutionary psychology, is of course a feature of Sailer's "race
      realism": universal species-typical phenomena such as
      altruism, intelligence, and morality are viewed as
      variable, but genetically determined, traits unequally distributed
      amongst a familiar hierarchy of classes, races and sexes.
      The study of individual differences against a backdrop of
      pre-Darwinian typological essentialism has no real bearing on the
      question as to whether human psychological mechanisms are
      polymorphic. Evolutionary psychology is perfectly clear that
      frequency-dependent selection and developmental system variables
      can result in multiple human natures and novel phenotypes, and yet
      "race realism" struggles to embrace even such elementary biological
      ideas as polyphenism. The extent to which Sailer will grasp at
      genetic explanations of any inclination or behaviour, however idiotic,
      is revealed in his earlier piece "The future of intermarriage".

      _______

      3314 of 3328
      9:13 AM Mon 31Jan

      Steve Sailer here:

      I'm just tootling my own horn here, sending along praise for my attack on
      evolutionary psychology entitled "The Future of Human Nature."

      "Congratulations on a very good piece. It will take a lot of thinking in
      order to give some right answers, but I agree that those which are
      currently popular are not at all appealing."
      Luca Cavalli-Sforza
      [lead author of "History and Geography of Human Genes]
      --------------------

      "Very sensible! As you know, despite being an 'environmentalist' in the
      race and IQ debate, I am one of those egualitarians who recognises that we
      would have nothing to do if there were not inequalities to take into
      account."
      Yours - Jim Flynn
      ["Flynn Effect"]
      ----------------------

      "Brilliant! Thanks for sending it to me."
      Sincerely,
      Robert Plomin
      [Top IQ gene researcher]
      -------------------

      Steve here again: Regarding Dr. Plomin's verdict of "Brilliant!" -- It's
      important to remember that he lives in England where "Brilliant!" is used to
      praise any action that doesn't result in accidental dismemberment. The last
      time I was there, I had lots of conversations like this:

      Englishperson: "So, did you have any trouble driving here from Heathrow?"

      Steve: "Well, after I barely avoided three head-on collisions, it occurred to
      me that you people seem to drive on the wrong side of the road, so after that
      I didn't have any problems."

      Englishperson: "Brilliant!"

      So if you want another chance to bask in my Brilliant! essay, here it is
      again:

      The Future of Human Nature

      by Steve Sailer
      National Post
      1/29/2000

      As we all know from watching old science fiction movies, humans will evolve
      into hyper-intelligent, 97 pound weaklings. Our descendents will mutate into
      androgynous pencil-necked geeks barely able to hold up their basketball-sized
      brains. And as Steven Spielberg demonstrated in Close Encounters of the Third
      Kind and E.T., highly evolved species are also altruistic pacifists. Of
      course, the same sort of movies forecasted that in the year 2000 we'd all
      helicopter to work in our one-man autogyros. So, we know the future ain't
      what it used to be, but what will it be?

      One thing that's certain is that we will evolve, and at a much faster clip
      than the not-insignificant rate of genetic change we are currently
      experiencing. "You can't change human nature" has been one of the wisest of
      adages, but its days are numbered. The genetic, pharmaceutical, and computer
      revolutions are about to radically accelerate the changing of human nature.
      Indeed, by Y3K, humanity may have begun to break apart into separate species
      as interstellar colonists use genetic engineering to adapt to
      extraterrestrial climates.

      But before we can think about the future of human nature, we have to
      understand what "human nature" is. Logically, it's the opposite of "human
      nurture." At one extreme of the nurture-nature continuum is culture, at the
      other extreme are genes. But there's also a large gray area in the middle.

      For example, the steroids that transformed Canadian sprinter Ben Johnson from
      skinny, shy, and slow to burly, surly, and fast were cultural inventions to
      mimic the effects of the gene variants Ben wished he'd been born with.
      Plastic surgery, Prozac, and alcohol are other ways we manipulate our bodies,
      brains, and behavior. We will invent many more. For instance, computer-brain
      interfaces, like the one that recently enabled the blind patient known as
      "Jerry" to see large letters, will ultimately be perfected, someday giving
      our brains remarkable memory and computational powers. In this essay,
      however, I'll focus on just that most natural example of human nature: our
      genes.

      Unfortunately, most thinking about human nature has been confused and
      politicized by the widespread assumption that -- despite ample evidence to
      the contrary -- "natural" always equals "good." Thus, opinion-mongers love to
      proclaim that whatever they're peddling is natural, and whatever they deplore
      is artificial.

      The value most approved of by 20th Century intellectuals was "equality," so
      most recent thinking about human nature has been deformed by attempts to
      prove that the manifold diversity that is such a blatant aspect of human
      nature is somehow not natural. Thus, "progressives" denied the very existence
      of human nature, attributing all inequality to baneful social conditioning.
      Margaret Mead, the celebrity anthropologist, summed up the fashionable dogma:
      "Human nature is almost unbelievably malleable." If nurture overwhelms
      nature, then everybody could be prodded into equality. Indeed, Lenin, Stalin,
      Mao, and Pol Pot tried to do exactly that. Although they murdered scores of
      millions, their egalitarian police states ultimately failed because ornery
      old human nature endured.

      Even before the fall of the Berlin Wall, however, Harvard evolutionist Edward
      O. Wilson brought the on-going "rediscovery of human nature" to general
      attention with his 1975 book Soiobiology. Of course, much of the wisdom that
      neo-Darwinians laboriously rediscover had never been lost by
      non-intellectuals, such as your grandmother, who made these truths about
      humanity the basis of her nagging. So far in 2000, for example, evolutionists
      have won worldwide headlines with the following stop-the-presses findings: 1.
      Women like taller men. ("So stop slouching like a slob, young man!") 2.
      Rapists are often motivated by sexual desire. ("So stop dressing like a slut,
      young lady!").

      However, the inevitable conservatism of neo-Darwinism made it so many enemies
      on leftist-dominated campuses that anthropologists John Tooby and Leda
      Cosmides found it expedient to relaunch sociobiology under the new, improved
      brand name of "evolutionary psychology." In a brilliant marketing ploy, they
      spin-doctored neo-Darwinism into academic acceptability by pronouncing
      themselves the truest True Believers in equality. They portrayed human nature
      as almost monolithically uniform, and proclaimed that science should only
      study human similarities.

      Yet, except for identical twins, no two humans' genetic codes are the same.
      So, exactly whose genes were they going to study? Stumped, the evolutionary
      psychologists responded with name-calling: Interest in human differences was
      deemed evil, or tedious, or insensitive, or just not done. This conservative
      egalitarian party line soon had many smart people parroting silly ideas. For
      example, one evolutionary psychology bestseller concluded "… differences
      between individuals are so boring!" Since most highly-educated people are
      infected with the Platonic virus that makes them prefer to think in terms of
      nonexistent abstract certainties rather than reality's fuzzy probabilities,
      few challenged the new orthodoxy of a homogenous human nature. The
      evolutionary psychologists themselves, however, soon found that while
      egalitarianism was a useful cover story, it was a largely useless methodology
      for learning about humanity. Ironically, but not surprisingly, evolutionary
      psychology has become primarily the study of sex differences. Why? Because
      knowledge consists of contrasts. For example, yesterday the National Post
      reported the controversial finding of a so-called "suicide gene." Its
      existence was inferred by contrasting the genetic codes of the suicidal to
      the non-suicidal.

      Information can be boiled down to that most basic of contrasts, the ones and
      zeroes of digital data, but it can't be boiled down further to all ones. So,
      if we want to learn much about human nature, we're going to need to compare
      different kinds of humans: male and female, sick and healthy, young and old,
      smart and stupid, gay and straight, tall and short, black and white, and so
      forth. They all deserve respect as manifestations of human nature's rich
      diversity.

      Grasping this realistic perspective on the varieties of human nature, we can
      now think about our onrushing ability to manipulate our natures without
      succumbing to the vapours. For we already have been diversifying our own
      genetic code. For instance, adults were uniformly "lactose intolerant" until
      cattle were domesticated within just the last 10,000 years. Fortunately,
      Darwinian selection can work so fast that in ethnic groups with a milking
      tradition (e.g., Danes or Dinkas from the Upper Nile), most adults now
      possess a gene allowing them to digest milk comfortably. In other words, just
      as our genes influence culture, culture rearranges our genes.

      So, how will humanity choose to re-engineer its genes? Will we follow the
      sci-fi movies and equip our children with huge heads, spindly bodies, and
      politically correct personalities?

      The crucial question is: "Who is this "we" who gets to choose -- the parents
      or the state?" Individual parents could only finesse their offspring within
      the genetic limits imposed by what Charles Darwin called "sexual selection."
      For what parents want most from their children is grandchildren. Parents will
      thus design their children to outcompete same-sex peers in attracting the
      most desirable spouses, in order to produce the most desirable grandkids. So,
      most parents will be satisfied with only moderately higher IQ's. Why?
      Although much larger brains would probably be required for gigantic increases
      in intelligence (as shown by our brains being three times the size of our ape
      ancestors' brains), having a head the size of E.T.'s just isn't sexy. Nor
      will a gentle personality, like that of children's TV host Mr. Rogers, make
      your boy a babe magnet. Thus parents will balance the lip service they pay to
      having wiser and kinder spawn against their need for more sexually desirable
      descendants, just as feminists denounce sexual harassment and rape but can't
      get enough of that sexual harasser and accused rapist Bill Clinton.

      In contrast, a government can attempt to impose its favorite ideology. It
      could try to ban genetic enhancements. But that is unlikely to work, since
      the payoff to individuals from having the kind of body and personality that
      the opposite sex lusts after is so great. Recall the 1992 health panic that
      lead to the U.S. government banning silicon breast implants. Yet, from 1990
      to 1999, the annual number of breast augmentations still sextupled from
      41,000 to 255,000.

      No, to prevent parents from buying black market gene enhancements to make
      their progeny more alluring, a government would have to excise the incentives
      by mutating the masses via mandatory eugenics. A hardnosed regime that wanted
      to conquer the world by quadrupling its subjects' average IQ would have to
      genetically reengineer its young people to find themselves strangely
      attracted to paramours with bloated brains as massive as the Elephant Man's.
      Similarly, a feminist government out to free women from the "beauty myth"
      would need to delete the male genes that make men appreciate shapely breasts.
      A pacifist state would have to redesign women so they stopped getting aroused
      by dangerous men. An egalitarian regime would have to tweak women so that
      they viewed unemployable losers as Mr. Right. In short, something close to
      totalitarianism would be necessary.

      Otherwise, free-market eugenics will brings us a human race that's the utter
      opposite of the sexless, altruistic eggheads of the sci-fi movies. Note how
      many affluent California families are holding their little boys back for a
      second year of kindergarten. This is so their sons will be bigger, stronger,
      smarter, more athletic, and more socially dominant than the other kids in
      their classes. How much do you think these couples would pay for the genetic
      enhancements that would allow their scions to continue to rule as alpha males
      as adults? In Beyond This Horizon, the great Robert A. Heinlein's prescient
      1942 novel about a genetically engineered future, the world is populated by
      highly intelligent but extremely sexy people straight out of a Hollywood
      casting call. The men are manly and the ladies lovely. The men are so macho
      in fact, that no gentleman would be seen without his gun, and duels are
      fought daily.

      Obsessed by equality, bioethicists and other intellectuals today fret most
      that the new genetic technologies will let rich parents buy their kids higher
      IQs. Yet, considering the coming tidal wave of testosterone that the same
      techniques are likely to unleash, I suspect we're going to need all the
      smarts we can get to keep the bellicose boys of the future from blowing up
      the world just to hear the bang.

      Steve Sailer (www.iSteve.com) is the president of the Human Biodiversity
      Institute.

      ______

      Sailer on the Future of Intermarriage

      12:02 PM Fri 4 Jun 99

      Steve Sailer here:

      It's interesting to speculate on the future of intermarriage in America.
      Marriages are increasingly likely to be between people of different ethnic
      groups but of similar IQ's, and there's no reason to assume this trend will
      stop. America's obsession with sending everybody to college means that young
      people get sorted by SAT score (i.e., IQ) when they're at their most
      romantic. Therefore, it's quite possible that the top dogs in America will in
      future generations look different than they do now, but they probably won't
      look much like the future underdogs, either. If we were to halt immigration
      now, continuing intermarriage along IQ lines might in many generations lead
      to the country being run by an IQ overclass of mostly "Jeurasians" (i.e., a
      genetic blend of the smarter European gentiles, Jews, East Asians, South
      Asians, Armenians, and possibly other Middle Easterners). In contrast, the
      lower ranks might consist largely of "Redblex": a rather lumpy partial blend
      of redneck whites, blacks, and Mexicans.

      Of course, continued immigration slows genetic and cultural assimilation. For
      example, right now Japanese-Americans are fading into Eurasians because of
      the decline in immigration from Japan (since there are no terribly poor
      people left in Japan) and their very high rate of intermarriage with whites
      (especially for Japanese-American women). Chinese-Americans, in contrast, can
      be expected to remain a distinct ethnic group for several generations more
      (despite a high rate of intermarriage), since there is no imminent shortage
      of poor Chinese desperate to come to America.

      The Jews are another interesting case to speculate about. The next generation
      of the "IQ elite" (e.g., Ivy Leaguers or lawyers or media figures or frequent
      flyers or whatever category you think representative) may well have a lower
      percentage of pure Jews ... but a higher percentage of part-Jews, as
      intermarriage between Jews and smart gentiles continues.

      Would this mean the non-violent extinction of Jews (except for the Orthodox)?
      Possibly, but it might also imply that America's overclass would become even
      more dominated by Jewish attitudes, e.g., Hitler-obsession (which has played
      such a major role in influencing the views on the Balkans of our Secretary of
      State, Secretary of Defense, National Security Adviser, and their
      colleagues). In the future most highly articulate white Americans will be
      related to Jews by genes or marriage, which no doubt will impact what views
      are popular in society (even more than today, when a Marlon Brando is
      automatically excoriated for saying that Jews have lots of power in
      Hollywood!)

      For an extreme example of how pro-Semitism can come about within an
      individual merely through genes alone, consider me. Although I'm Catholic, I
      became very pro-Semitic at the age of 13 when my powers of logic kicked in
      (and my hair turned curly). I quickly noticed that a high percentage of the
      thinkers I either agreed with (e.g., Milton Friedman) or whom I considered it
      a worthy challenge to argue against were Jewish. Since I was adopted, a few
      years later I concluded that it was likely that I was half-Jewish
      biologically, (which indeed appears to be the case based on evidence my wife
      dug up when I was 30). It's important to understand the chain of causation:
      having a very Jewish-style brain (e.g., enjoying logical argument), I sought
      out the best logical arguers to read, very many of whom were Jewish. (You may
      object that my political views today don't sound much like those of the
      majority of American Jews, but I was enormously influenced by Jewish
      neoconservatives in the 1970s and 1980s. Having gone to some lengths to
      expose myself to Jewish thinkers (not because they were Jewish per se, but
      because those who most stimulated my kind of mind more than writers from
      other ethnic groups), I absorbed from them a lot of typically Jewish
      political stances: e.g., pro-Israel and pro-immigration.

      Now, my pro-Semitism came about even though I was being raised in my
      (adoptive) family, which has no Jewish relatives, and, in fact, has a slight
      anti-Semitic mindset. (I realize my case is only a single data point, so I
      recommend somebody conduct a formal adoption study of Jews and part-Jews
      adopted by gentile families.) In the future, however, most children of the IQ
      elite will have Jews in their extended relatives, which will make my kind of
      pro-Semitism even more widespread in the future.

      Steve Sailer
      http://members.aol.com/steveslr
    • Jeffrey W. Humphrey
      In re: to a small part of the steve sailer piece, specfically limits on artificially engineering IQ by contstraints on cranial size: cerebellar to cerebral
      Message 2 of 2 , Feb 1, 2000
        In re: to a small part of the steve sailer piece,
        specfically limits on artificially engineering IQ by
        contstraints on cranial size:

        cerebellar to cerebral ratio is one of the best predictors
        of IQ (Andreasen), and it's a good bet anyone with a very
        high IQ and small head has a high cerebellum/cerebrum ratio.

        cerebellum packs as many neurons in it as there are in the
        rest of the CNS in a tenth the space, giving us all of our
        quickness and mental and phsyical agility (see cerebellum
        and cognition in medline for a review of new theory).

        soooo...
        if we wanted to engineer superbright offspring (assuming we
        really want to limit their reproductive options by placing
        them at the sparsest ends of the distribution for purposes
        of assortative mating), the most logical step is to
        increase cerebellum size, trading off one-for-one with
        cortex for such things as visual memory, keeping all the
        "images" we really need to remember on hard drive.

        <<we already know that subtle alterations in relative
        size of brain structures are a question of
        determined (but variable!!!) neuron-birthdays
        (Finley&Darlington), we just don't know where in the genome
        they are>>

        so we get superfast kids without a heck of a lot of
        superfluous junk stuff into wasteful cortex...
        and the link to technology for hard facts is probably no
        more limiting than it is right now...
        higher IQ? absolutely....
        smarter...? as long as the power stays on.
        Same cute little heads?
        you bet.

        Jeff Humphrey
        Department of Psychology
        University of Virginia
        020 Gilmer Hall
        Off: (804) 924-0448
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