142606Re: [evol-psych] Re: Life after death: Dr Stuart Hameroff
- Nov 5, 2012At 11:40 AM 11/3/2012, Don Zimmerman wrote:
>--- In firstname.lastname@example.org, Wade <wmaillist@...> wrote:What if we lived centuries ago, and talked about stones falling from
> > That intelligent men of the calibre of Penrose can believe such fantasy
> > twaddle astounds me. That Nils laps it up comes as no surprise whatsoever
> > sadly.
>All reports of miraculous events can be subjected to a simple test
>suggested originally, I believe, by David Hume. You first assess the
>likelihood that the remarkabe event actually occurred, which usually
>would mean that basic laws of physics involving gravitation,
>momentum, etc., were violated. Next, you assess the likelihood that
>the event did not occur, that is, that the report was inaccurate or
>fraudulent, the reporter was self-serving, running a scam, insane, whatever.
>Almost without exception the second probability would exceed the
>first. A similar principle might be applied to a report such as the
>present case. What is the probability that Penrose actually believes
>this fantasy? And what is the probability that the report about
>Penrose believing it is inaccurate? Assessing probabilities no doubt
>is difficult, but I know where my bet lies!
the sky? Or flying? Or computers?
What if we just don't know yet what the laws involved are?
The selection of a Republican candidate for the presidency of this
globalized and expansive empire is - and I say this seriously - the
greatest competition of idiocy and ignorance that has ever been.
Fidel Castro. January 2012
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