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Sunspots 24 Falling On Flux 84 Falling, Class 4 Quake In Southeast Cal, Western Iran Is Tremulating With Multiple Class 4 (two in last 24 hours) - CALIFORNIA IS RUNNING SMALL QUAKES IN NEAR RECORD NUMBERS

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  • Michael Mandeville
    _____________________________________________________________________ PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN January 16, 2010 by MW Mandeville (Black Canyon City,
    Message 1 of 1 , Jan 16, 2010
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      _____________________________________________________________________
      PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN
      January 16, 2010 by MW Mandeville (Black Canyon City, Arizona)
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      BULLETIN ITEM: Sunspots 24 Falling On Flux 84 Falling, Class 4 Quake In Southeast Cal, Western Iran Is Tremulating With Multiple Class 4 (two in last 24 hours).

      Haiti quakes continue to fall off.

      Number of Quakes In California/Nevada USGS Database for Class 1+ is running at near or even possibly over record levels during this New Moon Syzygy. the seven day running count is 570 today, typically it has been around 120 with occassional major surges to 350 - 450. This is bringing forth an increase in Class 4 quakes. This is all seat of the pants estimates after looking at these charts for many years.

      It remains to be seen if larger quakes will come forth from the current moment in the cosmic matrix. If so, they will strike during the next 28 days, most likely during the next 14. There after the year will settle down to a lower level. This projection is valid for the entire Carib Plate as well.

      In general small quake cluster-surges in N.A. "seem" at or above record levels, (this for Class 1 to 3.9) to those who have been observing these clusters for some time. A true statistical count (which takes too much effort for me to undertake at this time) may not perfectly agree with this statement, but I suspect it will be close.

      The main exception is the Alaska-Aleutians. Generally this area quakes the most, by about 60% of the USGS defined USA total (I do wish they would do real world geology and include Canada and down to the Carib plate boundary rather than political catagories). At the moment the A-A portion is a considerably less portion of the total. In other words the total USGS defined extent USA is running about twice the more typical frequency, with Cal/Nev radically above past averages.

      Since the long run of acceleration in small quakes along the Puerto Rico-Hispanolia axis during the past several years has been followed by the Class 6 quake last year near the Caymans and the Class 7 this year on Haiti, it would appear that surges in small quakes do not relieve stress to bleed off the potential of Great Quakes. The relationship may be the opposite, the increase of frequency in small quakes may simply be signaling an impending major break. This seems very clear for the northern edge of the Carib Plate, how far this can be generalized would take some major statistical work. True or false, it is an easy Ph.d. thesis which would be very valuable and well cited.

      This "signal thesis" is not a very comforting thought for Califorina. All fault areas are now blinking red on this "precursor indicator".














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      Best Wishes, Michael Wells Mandeville,
      The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@...
      Master Website Index is at: http://www.metasynmedia.com

      Author of "Return of the Phoenix" at
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      Author of "Earth Changes Bulletin" at
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