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Re: [Death To Religion] Digest Number 1130

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  • Paulo César
    Thank you for your massage. My pleasure to be a member of this group. My page from Brazil for you, with pictures: 
    Message 1 of 1 , Jun 28, 2012
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      Thank you for your massage.
      My pleasure to be a member of this group.
      My page from Brazil for you, with pictures:  http://www.boavontade.com/fotos/index2.php?option=com_galeriasmc&view=exibirgaleria&id=143&idioma=6
      Regards,
       
       

      Paulo César
      Brasília/Brazil

      De: "deathtoreligion@yahoogroups.com" <deathtoreligion@yahoogroups.com>
      >Para: deathtoreligion@yahoogroups.com
      >Enviadas: Quinta-feira, 28 de Junho de 2012 8:23
      >Assunto: [Death To Religion] Digest Number 1130
      >
      >There is 1 message in this issue.
      >
      >Topics in this digest:
      >
      >1a. Re: The Human Beast   
      >    From: Gillespie William
      >
      >
      >Message
      >________________________________________________________________________
      >1a. Re: The Human Beast
      >    Posted by: "Gillespie William" jjjgillespie@... jjjgillespie
      >    Date: Wed Jun 27, 2012 10:26 pm ((PDT))
      >
      >thank you, I am going to steal this and spread it around
      >
      >
      >________________________________
      >From: Clint <cy2600@...>
      >To:
      >Sent: Thursday, 21 June 2012, 16:10
      >Subject: [Death To Religion] The Human Beast
      >
      >

      >The Human Beast
      >http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/the-human-beast/201204/atheism-defeat-religion-2038
      >
      >Why we do what we do.
      >
      >by Nigel Barber, Ph.D.
      >
      >Atheism to Defeat Religion by 2038
      >
      >Will atheists always be nonconformists?
      >
      >Published on April 25, 2012 by Nigel Barber, Ph.D. in The Human Beast
      >My blog posts on religion have attracted a lot of controversy. Religious
      >people are annoyed by my claim that belief in God will go the way of
      >horse transportation, and for much the same reason, specifically an
      >improved standard of living.
      >
      >The view that religious belief will give way to atheism is known as the
      >secularization thesis. The specific version that I have described is
      >known as the existential security hypothesis. The basic idea is that as
      >people become more affluent, they are less worried about lacking for
      >basic necessities, or dying early from violence or disease. In other
      >words, they are secure in their own existence. They do not feel the need
      >to appeal to supernatural entities to calm their fears and insecurities.
      >
      >The notion that good living conditions are associated with a decline in
      >religious belief, importance of religion, church attendance, and so
      >forth, is supported by a mountain of evidence assembled by Pippa Norris
      >and Ronald Inglehart in their book, Sacred and Secular (1), as well as
      >numerous more recent works (2).
      >
      >We can be as sure of the relationship between material security and
      >declining religious belief as we are of any other such connection in the
      >social sciences. That does not prevent some serious scholars, like
      >political scientist Eric Kaufmann (3), from making the opposite case
      >that religious fundamentalists will outbreed the rest of us. Yet, noisy
      >as they can be, such groups are tiny minorities of the global population
      >and they will become even more marginalized as global prosperity
      >increases and standards of living improve.
      >
      >Moreover, as religious fundamentalists become economically integrated,
      >young women go to work and produce smaller families, as is currently
      >happening for Utah's Mormons.
      >
      >The most obvious approach to estimating when the world will switch over
      >to being majority atheist is based on economic growth. This is logical
      >because economic development is the key factor responsible for
      >secularization. In deriving this estimate, I used the 9 most godless
      >countries as my touchstone (excluding Estonia as a formerly communist
      >country). The countries were Belgium, the Czech Republic, Denmark,
      >France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, and the United Kingdom.
      >These 9 countries averaged out at the atheist transition with exactly
      >half of the populations disbelieving in God according to Zuckerman's
      >compilation of data on disbelief in God in around 2004. Their gross
      >domestic product (GDP) averaged $29,822 compared to $10,855 for the
      >average country in the world. How long will it take before the world
      >economy has expanded sufficiently that the GDP of the average country
      >has caught up to the average for the godless countries in 2004?
      >
      >Using the average global growth rate of GDP for the past 30 years, of
      >3.33 percent (based on International Monetary Fund data from their
      >website), the atheist transition would occur in 2035.
      >
      >Belief in God is not the only relevant measure of religion, of course. A
      >person might believe in God in a fairly superficial way without religion
      >affecting their daily lives. One way of assessing the depth of religious
      >commitment is to ask survey participants whether they think that
      >religion is important in their daily lives as the Gallup Organization
      >has done in worldwide nationally-representative surveys.
      >
      >If fewer than 50 percent of the population agreed that religion was
      >important to them, then the country has effectively crossed over to a
      >secular majority. The godless countries by religiosity were Spain, South
      >Korea, Canada, Switzerland, Uruguay, Germany, and France. At a growth
      >rate of 3.33 percent per year it would be 2041 before the average
      >country in the world would be at an equivalent level of affluence as
      >these godless nations.
      >
      >If national wealth drives secularization, the global population will
      >cross an atheist threshold where the majority see religion as
      >unimportant in their daily lives by 2041.
      >
      >Averaging across the two measures of atheism, the entire world
      >population would cross the atheist threshold by about 2038 (average of
      >2035 and 2041). Although 2038 may seem improbably fast, this requires
      >only a shift of approximately 1 percent per year whether in religiosity
      >(0.9 percent) or belief in God (1.2 percent).
      >
      >Is the loss of religious belief something to fear? Contrary to the
      >claims of religious leaders, godless countries are highly moral nations
      >with an unusual level of social trust, economic equality, low crime, and
      >a high level of civic engagement (4). We could do with some of that.
      >
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      >Messages in this topic (2)
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