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Re: [comets-ml] Re: P/1819 W1 = 2003 WY25 (BLANPAIN)

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  • Seiichi Yoshida
    Dear Todd Augustyniak, Thank you for your kind message. I also hope that Comet Blanpain will keep the current cometary activity for one year after this, or,
    Message 1 of 5 , Jul 7, 2013
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      Dear Todd Augustyniak,

      Thank you for your kind message.

      I also hope that Comet Blanpain will keep the current cometary
      activity for one year after this, or, another outburst will occur
      again when the comet comes closer to the sun, and we can see this long
      lost comet visually in the morning sky next summer :-)

      Best regards,

      > Thank you for your prompt response, Seiichi. This is exactly the information I was seeking. Based on your analysis, it looks like the comet will need continued activity for me to have a chance visually with my 30.5 cm telescope in the future.
      >
      > And by the way, thank you for maintaining your excellent website. It is a tremendous source of comet information.
      >
      > Todd
      >
      > --- In comets-ml@yahoogroups.com, Seiichi Yoshida <comet@...> wrote:
      > >
      > > Dear Todd Augustyniak,
      > >
      > > Here are my light curves and analysis of Comet Blanpain.
      > >
      > > Generally (without outburst), the maximum brightness of Comet Blanpain
      > > is extremely faint, around 23 mag. The extremely close approach of
      > > Comet Blanpain to the earth in 2003 was very unusual.
      > >
      > > The current outburst is from 26 mag up to 17.5 mag. The perihelion
      > > passage in 2014 is the first time after the current major outburst
      > > that the comet will approach to the sun less than 1.0 a.u. So maybe
      > > the comet can be more active than usual.
      > >
      > > Overview:
      > > http://www.aerith.net/comet/catalog/1819W1/index.html
      > >
      > > Re-discovery in 2003:
      > > http://www.aerith.net/comet/catalog/1819W1/2003.html
      > >
      > > Current re-discovery:
      > > http://www.aerith.net/comet/catalog/1819W1/2014.html
      > >
      > > Best regards,
      > >
      > > > It appears that MPEC 2013-N21 officially announces the connection between 2003 WY25 and D/1819 W1.
      > > >
      > > > http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K13/K13N21.html
      > > >
      > > > I noticed that the MPC's Comet Ephemeris Service shows P/1819 W1 with a peak magnitude of 10.8 in August 2014 and a magnitude of 4.8 in January 2020. That seems too bright (absolute magnitude of about 10). Anyone know what we can reasonably expect for this apparition and the next? I'm curious to see if it would be visible visually through my 12" telescope.
      > > >
      > > > Todd Augustyniak
      > >
      > > --
      > > Seiichi Yoshida
      > > comet@...
      > > http://www.aerith.net/
      > >

      --
      Seiichi Yoshida
      comet@...
      http://www.aerith.net/
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