Anticipating an oil crisis
- I just got around to reading the latest _Carfree Times_, and the headline "Oil at $380 in
2015?" without a doubt caught my eyes.
I am one of those people actually willing to tell myself that YES, a major oil crisis is a close
reality and I need to get ready for it. I'm not going to continue to make payments on a
Ford Expedition, telling myself that things will stay "exactly the way they are" forever.
Don't tell anyone I believe in an oil crisis, though--I don't want to lose my American
In about 1.5 years, my wife and I will be in the market to buy a house--1500-2000 square
feet, $150-200k. Unfortunately, houses in Tallahassee of this size in good areas consist of
absolutely nothing but suburban houses. While twin and row houses do exist, they do not
exist in the sense as I remember them growing up in our lively neighborhood in
It looks like our house will most likely be a 1950s-1970s ranch house within 2 miles of
downtown. Yes, I know it'd be a typical suburban tract house, but I find many
1950s-1970s suburban houses very architecturally attractive--those built before home
construction went to hell in the 1980s with increasingly shoddy construction methods and
and the modern McMansion style. In Tallahassee, any neighborhood developed in the
1960s or earlier will have city bus service to within half a mile.
Here's my big question: how will things change, and how will we cope with them? What will
a sharp spike in energy prices and reduction in availability do? Will we be walking down
our mega-wide suburban streets in the dead silence like some sort of science fiction
I'm 24 years old, and I'll be 34 in 2015, at which point oil might very well be $380 per
barrel. I want to be optimistic about this change, and I wonder what social and political
change this would bring about. Time will tell.