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10417Fwd: Prof BALDING piles on proofs after proofs that Singapore Govt commits "Madoff" "accounting frauds" to hide missing hundreds of billion of dollars. Files and calculations attached for everyone to study

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  • Robert Ho
    Sep 22, 2013
      ---------- Forwarded message ----------
      From: Robert Ho <robert.ic019@...>
      Date: 29 June 2013 09:33

      Subject: Prof BALDING piles on proofs after proofs that Singapore Govt commits "Madoff" "accounting frauds" to hide missing hundreds of billion of dollars. Files and calculations attached for everyone to study


      What If Temasek Actually Earned 17%?

      DMCA.com  June 28th, 2013 |  Author: Contributions

      Dr Christopher Balding

      While I have written extensively about the return discrepancies at Temasek let us consider the possibility that I am wrong.  In fact, let us go so far as to assume that everything Temasek has claimed about its returns is completely and entirely accurate in every way.  In this column from this point forward, we shall assume that Temasek has earned an average rate of return since 1974 of 17%.

      According to Temasek at the end of the fiscal year in March 2012 (Temasek has not yet released their March 31, 2013 annual report), they reported $198 billion SGD under management.  If we assume that Temasek has exactly $198 billion SGD and not one penny more or less and that they earned exactly 17% and 17.01% or 16.99% this implies they began with $508 million SGD (increasing the range to 17.44% and 16.5% does not fundamentally alter this analysis).

      This actually reconciles rather closely with other available information rather closely in two ways.  First, Temasek has said in the past that it began operation in 1974 with $374 million (the webpage stating this has been taken down recently).  Second, Singapore public operational surpluses in the years prior to 1974 come very close to equaling this amount of money. The accumulated operational surplus from 1969 to 1973 was $551 million SGD.  In other words, there are multiple data points that come close to reconciling against what could possibly be true with regards to Temasek earning an average of 17% since inception.

      So let us assume for the rest of this analysis that Temasek was endowed with between $374-500 million SGD and that they averaged 17% annually since inception giving them their current $198 billion SGD under management.  Doing this however only creates a new and enormous problem.

      From 1974 to 2012, Singapore enjoyed total operational public surpluses from $307 billion SGD and incurred new borrowing of $381 billion SGD.  This means that between 1974 and 2012, Singapore had a total of $688 billion SGD in free cash flow for investment purposes.

      Here is where we encounter the problem if we assume that Temasek earned 17% since 1974.  In its public balance sheet ending March 31, 2012, the Singapore government lists total assets of $765 billion SGD.  If we subtract out the $198 billion SGD managed by Temasek we are left with $567 billion SGD.  If Temasek earned 17% annually from 1974 to 2012 that means that the government was receiving $688 billion SGD to somehow end up with $567 billion.  In other words, the non-Temasek public Singapore investors managed to lose $121 billion SGD or about .5% annually.

      Let us take this analysis one step further and assume that the public surpluses and borrowing earned a modest 5% after expenses and costs (the 5% number is for illustrative purposes only but less than 7% claimed by GIC).  If the yearly surpluses and borrowing were invested every year and earned 5% annually, this would yield a total of $1.3 trillion SGD.  The difference between the actual Singaporean non-Temasek assets and what Singapore should have if surpluses and borrowing since 1974 earned a conservative 5% is a staggering $750 billion SGD.  In other words, Singapore is about $750 billion short of what it should have if Temasek earned 17% and the remain money earned 5%!

      Though the evidence fails to support the claim that Temasek earned 17% annually since its inception in 1974, even if this is true it only creates bigger problems.  If Temasek did legitimately earn 17% annualized what happened to the rest of this so called investment juggernaut?

      Note: Here is my file calculating the numbers from above.  If you wish to dispute the numbers please demonstrate the error of in my analysis.  I will not however be intimidated into silence.

      Christopher Balding

      * The writer is a professor of business and economics at the HSBC Business School at the Peking University Graduate School. An expert in sovereign wealth funds, he has published in such leading journals as the Review of International Economics, the Journal of Public Economic Theory, and the International Finance Review on such diverse topics as CDS pricing, the WTO, and the economics of adoption and abortion. His work as been cited by a variety of media outlets including the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times. Prof Balding received his Phd from the University of California, Irvine and worked in private equity prior to entering academia. He blogs at http://www.facebook.com/baldingsworld.


      --
      >>>>>>>>>>  TO HELP ME, COMPLETE THESE STATEMENTS, THANKS:  http://roberthorequestforstatements.blogspot.com/

      My wife, an accountant, then a manager in an MNC drawing a 5-figure salary before she retired, can confirm that I write the Truth in all these.  <<<<<<<<<<

      RH:   LKY LHL WKS ELECTION RIGGINGS EMAILED TO ALMOST ENTIRE GOVT:
      http://i-came-i-saw-i-solved-it.blogspot.com/2010/06/lky-lhl-wks-election-riggings-emailed.html

      ME ON VIDEO DESCRIBING lky lhl wks NUMEROUS ELECTION RIGGINGS + PoBoB and CCTV Ideas:
      http://i-came-i-saw-i-solved-it.blogspot.com/search/label/%22A%20Video%20RH%20on%20LKY%20LHL%20WKS%20cheating%20elections%20%2B%20PoBoB%20and%20CCTV%20Ideas%22

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jQCab3QZbBk

      MY ACQUAINTANCE, MR DAVID DUCLOS, A FORMER POLICE INSPECTOR, AND HIS LAWYER FRIEND, EYEWITNESSED LEE KUAN YEW RIGGING THE 1997 CHENG SAN GRC ELECTION.  READ MORE AT MY BLOG ENTITLED "I CAME, I SAW, I SOLVED IT" : 

      b.  SWORN EXHIBIT IN SUPPORT OF AFFIDAVIT:

      c.  SOME LEGAL PRINCIPLES ON WHICH I GROUND MY CASE:

      d.  THE PATTERN OF CRIMINAL WRONGDOINGS THAT PROVES MY CASE;

      e.  3rd EMAIL TO UK PM FOR OBSTRUCTING, PERVERTING JUSTICE:

      LEE Kuan Yew, LEE Hsien Loong, Tony TAN, HO Ching corruptions and theft of billions:

      "POWERFUL POLITICIANS WHO CANNOT CREATE, INVENT, SOLVE PROBLEMS AND CHANGE THE WORLD CAN ONLY TAKE SATISFACTION BLOCKING, DEGRADING, THOSE WHO CAN."
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