Growth of Veganism, Revisited
People often think that it is not possible for
veganism to become the norm, or even widespread. But, even ignoring the
millions of vegans in the country currently, if just the 32,000 who
receive this e-mail list grows by 20% a year -- that is, one-fifth of
those receiving this influence just one person to change their diet
each year -- then the entire U.S. population would be vegan by 2058
(adjusting for population growth based on Census projections).
If active outreach efforts like Adopt a College
influence just an additional 2,500 people this year, with this number
growing by 20% a year, veganism would be the norm by 2050; if an
additional 5,000 people next year, growing at 33% -- 2039.
Start 'em young! Riley Law
leaflets in Chicago; photo by her father, Mikael Nielsen.
Of course, there is no way to know how the future
will progress. It is likely that not everyone alive in 2050 will choose
to be an ethical vegan, but this doesn't mean they will eat the same as
today. In addition to more vegans and vegetarians, there will be many
more near-vegetarians and people choosing animal products from small
farms. There will be many more great faux-meat options available, at
many more places, at significantly lower prices (since it is more
efficient to eat plant foods directly). The worst farming practices
will be vilified and then outlawed, and animal agriculture, at the very
least, will be radically changed.
Person-to-person educational outreach is
unglamorous work, but with your help, we will see tremendous
advancement within our lifetime!