7128Re: Burial in Condorcet & IRV / replies to brokenladder / "chicken"
- Mar 2, 2008--- In RangeVoting@yahoogroups.com, "warren_d_smith31" <wds@...> wrote:
> 2. Is burial worth it in Condorcet methods, Bayesian-regret-wise?I guess I was hoping for something fairly decisive. If the idea is
> Well certainly it CAN be.
"Condorcet burial is strategically wise if not that many other voters
do it", then you have to figure out some kind of reasonable Nash
equilibrium. If not a lot of voters are doing it, then it will be
advantageous, so a lot more voters will do it, so then it will become
disadvantageous, so then fewer voters will do it...etc.
My guess is that you are either in a situation where not that many
voters are doing it, so that it's a "safe bet", or you're in a
situation where so many voters are doing it that you're probably going
to get the dark horse no matter what, so you might as well bury. I
think the point would be to try a bunch of trials over a range of
strategic-ness, from 0% to 100%, and see whether the average voter
would have a positive or negative expected value from burying --
assuming that there is some edge case between "dark horse doesn't win"
and "dark horse wins", where it would make a significant difference.
Your chicken game sounds similar to the prisoners' dilemma.
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