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"Unloved in Arabia": New York Review of Books article on the Kingdom

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  • Tarek Fatah
    Friends, Max Rodenbeck has covered the Middle East for the prestigious British weekly, The Economist and has reviewed many books on Islam. In the ;latest issue
    Message 1 of 1 , Oct 3, 2004
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      Friends,

      Max Rodenbeck has covered the Middle East for the prestigious British
      weekly, The Economist and has reviewed many books on Islam. In the ;latest
      issue of the New York Review of Books, Rodenbeck reviews a number of recent
      books written about the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

      His review provides for fascinating reading.

      Over to you...

      Tarek Fatah
      -------------------------
      October 21, 2004

      Unloved in Arabia

      By Max Rodenbeck
      New York Review of Books, Volume 51, Number 16
      http://www.nybooks.com/articles/17477

      House of Bush, House of Saud: The Secret Relationship Between the World's
      Two Most Powerful Dynasties
      by Craig Unger
      Scribner, 356 pp., $26.00

      Saudi Arabia and the Politics of Dissent
      by Mamoun Fandy
      Palgrave, 288 pp., $26.95

      Hatred's Kingdom: How Saudi Arabia Supports the New Global Terrorism
      by Dore Gold
      Regnery, 331 pp., $18.95 (paper)

      Inside the Mirage: America's Fragile Partnership with Saudi Arabia
      by Thomas Lippman
      Westview, 354 pp., $27.50

      Sleeping with the Devil: How Washington Sold Our Soul for Saudi Crude
      by Robert Baer
      Three Rivers, 272 pp., $13.95 (paper)

      The Complete Idiot's Guide to Understanding Saudi Arabia
      by Colin Wells
      Alpha, 356 pp., $18.95 (paper)

      Can Saudi Arabia Reform Itself?
      a report by the International Crisis Group
      July 14, 2004, 35 pp.

      Late in the year 1818, the people of Constantinople witnessed the execution
      of a bandit chief who had been captured in the arid badlands of Arabia.
      Tried and convicted by the Ottoman Empire's highest sharia court for heresy
      as well as brigandage, the rebel was dragged to the gate of the sultan's
      palace. The decapitation itself was swift, but his severed head was then
      placed in a giant mortar and ceremoniously pounded into pulp; his body
      spiked on a tall pole and displayed, a sunken dagger pinning the sentence of
      irtidad-excommunication-to his bloodied chest for all to see.

      The unfortunate Arab chieftain happens to have been an Al Saud,[1] a direct
      forebear of the present-day rulers of Saudi Arabia, the place that is
      perhaps most readily associated with the practice of beheading in the modern
      world (at least, until terrorist snatch teams elsewhere began recording
      their sordid parody of divine justice on grainy video). In fact, the
      condemned man was Abdallah ibn Saud ibn Abdul Aziz ibn Muhammad ibn Saud,
      the reigning Saudi emir of the time and a great-grandson of the founder of
      the first Saudi state.[2]

      The Al Sauds had been petty chiefs of a particularly poor, remote patch of
      central Arabia near the modern city of Riyadh when, sometime in the 1740s,
      the chance came of allying themselves with a revivalist preacher named
      Muhammad ibn Abdul Wahhab. The fusion of Saudi sword and Wahhabist fervor,
      still commemorated in the modern kingdom's flag, elevated the Al Sauds'
      ambitions from mere tribal raids into a full-scale jihad. Within two
      generations they had succeeded in conquering most of the Arabian peninsula,
      uniting the territory for the first time since the initial expansion of
      Islam a thousand years earlier.

      But the early Saudis pushed things too far. In 1801 they sacked the Shia
      holy city of Karbala in Iraq, destroying its gold-domed shrines,
      slaughtering thousands of its inhabitants, and carrying off wives,
      daughters, and possessions. Such booty was theirs by assumed right, since
      the Wahhabists' ultra-Sunnism taught that the Shia could not claim to be
      fellow Muslims. Their veneration of tombs was held to be a form of idolatry,
      a sin punishable by death. So when, in 1806, the Saudis overran the Ottoman
      garrisons of Mecca and Medina, cities holy to Sunnis and Shias alike, they
      again smashed every tomb they could find, forcibly applied their strict
      rules, and whipped, robbed, or murdered pilgrims who disobeyed.

      At last, in 1811, the Ottoman sultan responded, delegating the powerful Wali
      of Egypt, Muhammad Ali Pasha, to dispose of this nuisance.[3] His
      well-equipped army quickly recaptured the Hijaz, the region of the holy
      cities. But the campaign into the barren heart of Arabia was grueling.
      Fierce Saudi resistance led the invaders to adopt scorched-earth tactics. By
      the time the emir Abdallah surrendered, half the villages of central Arabia
      had been burned to the ground, their wells poisoned, their palms uprooted,
      their herds scattered. Some four hundred other Al Sauds were shipped to
      Cairo as hostages, a mercy considering that the Egyptians strapped many
      lesser sheikhs and Wahhabist clerics to the mouths of cannons and blew them
      to bits. The Egyptian commander was said to have forced the most revered
      scholar among the descendants of Muhammad ibn Abdul Wahhab to listen for
      some time to tunes played on a two-stringed fiddle (music being prohibited
      by the Wahhabists), and then had him shot.

      1. Judging by the tenor of much that has been said about Saudi Arabia since
      September 11, quite a few people seem to think something similar should be
      done with the present-day Saudis. In Congress, on American television, and
      in print, their country has been portrayed as a sort of oily heart of
      darkness, the wellspring of a bleak, hostile value system that is the very
      antithesis of our own. America's seventy-year alliance with the kingdom has
      been reappraised as a ghastly mistake, a selling of the soul, a gas-addicted
      dalliance with death.

      To Dore Gold, Israel's former representative to the United Nations, Saudi
      Arabia is "Hatred's Kingdom," the prime source of the money and madness that
      fuel Islamist terrorism across the globe. Robert Baer, an ex-CIA agent who
      presents himself as a dashing foe of the jihadist international, saves his
      vehemence for prescriptions rather than description. The Al Sauds, he
      appears to suggest, should copy Syria's brutish model, and exterminate their
      own extremists with a huge armed force,[4] or else face an American takeover
      of their oil fields, a partition of the kingdom, and the establishment of a
      puppet Shia state in its oil-rich Eastern Province, where the minority sect
      predominates. The journalist Craig Unger prefers to score partisan points
      closer to home. He suggests that the "secret relationship" between the Bush
      and Saud dynasties "helped to trigger the Age of Terror," which is what we
      apparently now live in. His conclusion: the Bushes have saddled America to
      "a foreign power that harbors and supports our mortal enemies."

      Not all the recent literature on the kingdom is so categorically alarmist.
      Colin Wells's concise, informative, and intelligent Complete Idiot's Guide
      to Understanding Saudi Arabia is an excellent starting point for those who
      know little about the kingdom. Thomas Lippman of The Washington Post, a
      shrewd longtime observer and frequent visitor, has written a much-needed
      history of US-Saudi relations that is objective, sympathetic to both sides,
      and packed with anecdote. Although now somewhat dated, Mamoun Fandy's Saudi
      Arabia and the Politics of Dissent offers a perceptive analysis of the
      different strands of Saudi-brand Islamism. The Brussels-based International
      Crisis Group's recent report, "Can Saudi Arabia Reform Itself?," provides a
      sober and authoritative take on Saudi Arabia's current state and
      prospects.[5]

      Despite its jarring title, Dore Gold's Hatred's Kingdom is well researched,
      particularly regarding the roots and pervasiveness of Wahhabi-inspired
      intolerance. The weakness is that whereas Gold, familiar from television as
      a spokesman for Israeli policy, gleefully highlights such things as Saudi
      anti-Semitism and xenophobia, he obscures the important part of Israeli and
      American behavior in fueling them. The passion for Palestine among Saudis
      and the wider Arab and Muslim world may be overhyped and at times
      self-serving, but it is nonetheless real.[6] (Gold is also disingenuous in
      dismissing Saudi peace overtures to Israel as insincere. The Al Sauds risked
      considerable prestige to rally other Arabs to the peace plan they put
      forward in the spring of 2002, only to have it sunk by the stony silence
      from Jerusalem.)

      Robert Baer also tends to the view that if the Saudis "hate us," it is
      solely because of who they are rather than what we do. Yet amid much posing
      and innuendo, and despite the occasional howler,[7] his book contains some
      sharp insights, as well as diverting gossip from the cafeterias of Langley.
      He reveals, for example, the commanding, behind-the-scenes influence of the
      wife of King Fahd, Jawhara al-Ibrahim, since the King was incapacitated by a
      stroke in 1995. Her control of access to the now-eighty-three-year-old
      invalid has apparently helped the al-Ibrahim clan to vastly increase its
      fortune. Such tales are common knowledge among Saudis, of course, but it
      helps to be reminded that Saudi women are not bereft of resources.

      2. As the Ottoman example shows, Saudi-bashing far predates the revelation
      that three quarters of the September 11 hijackers, as well as their boss,
      were Saudi nationals. Even if Americans once entertained National
      Geographic- tinted notions of noble Bedouin trading camels for Camaros, it
      is thirty years since those gave way-as soon as gasoline prices topped $1.00
      a gallon during the 1973 oil shock-to the image of rapacious Ali Babas
      holding the West for ransom. Nor is it just in the West that the Saudis are
      unpopular. Urbane fellow Arabs have long pilloried their desert cousins as a
      Tartuffishly hypocritical cross between Beverly Hillbillies and
      witch-burning Puritans. To the millions of Asian menial workers who have
      endured indentured labor in the kingdom's kitchens and on its building
      sites, the Saudi experience is recalled as something akin to the Hebrews'
      suffering in Egypt, a mix of fleshpots, capriciousness, and cruelty. And of
      course Saudi Arabia's uniquely stifling official version of Islam, with its
      head-chopping, its demonization of other faiths, and its binding and
      shackling of women under veils and petty legal strictures, is regarded as
      odious by just about everyone, including a sizable portion of Muslims.

      In short, the Saudis present an especially plump, slow-moving target. Worse
      for them, being rich has not helped much. The importance of Saudi Arabia as
      a source of oil, as a market for costly goods, and as a strategic bit of
      real estate has certainly exerted a muting effect on the foreign governments
      that compete for its favors. Yet for Western public opinion, the Saudis'
      fabled wealth has simply tended to tar the kingdom's rare defenders as
      mercenaries, takers of blood money, and so on.

      As with salacious tales of Saudi wickedness, the influence of Saudi millions
      tends to be blown out of proportion. The kingdom does, for example, spend a
      great deal of money to have its image improved: $17.6 million on lobbyists
      in the US alone since September 11, according to the Justice Department. But
      then, savvy foreigners often find it worthwhile to play American politics
      the American way. Diminutive Latvia, for example, recently hired a
      Washington firm to promote its bid to host the 2006 NATO summit. Besides,
      recent Saudi spending, nearly all of which went for advertising spots, is a
      relatively small contribution to the lobbying trough. If we leave aside
      Washington, we find that local American lobbyists booked some $890 million
      worth of trade in 2003 alone to influence state governments.

      And while it is true that Saudi money secures wider influence through
      carefully placed procurement contracts and investments, the numbers hurled
      accusingly at them often fail to tally. Craig Unger, for example, makes much
      of the fact that the Saudis have passed close to $1.5 billion to what he
      describes as "individuals and entities closely tied to the House of Bush." A
      closer look reveals that fully 85 percent of this was for defense contracts
      paid to firms owned by the Carlyle Group, a holding company whose fat
      payroll of Republican ex-officials renders it, to Unger at least, a
      card-carrying Bush operation.

      Unger neglects to indicate that the Saudis patronized these firms long
      before Carlyle bought them, and have continued to do so since it sold them
      in 1998. The biggest big-ticket item during the 1990s, a $1 billion contract
      with the briefly Carlyle-owned Vinnell Corporation, simply extended the same
      company's uninterrupted sequence of deals for training the Saudi National
      Guard dating back to 1975. Quite separately, Dick Cheney's Halliburton did
      indeed rake in another $180 million of Saudi cash. But when we consider that
      Halliburton is the world's leading oil-field services company, this was
      hardly a suspicious outlay for the world's largest oil producer. This leaves
      a trickle of much smaller sums, such as the $1 million Saudi donation to the
      George H.W. Bush presidential library. As Unger himself admits, however, the
      Saudis have contributed to every single US presidential library built in the
      past thirty years.

      Even more misleading are the much-bandied figures that ascribe unbounded
      boardroom clout to the kingdom. Unger says the country holds $860 billion in
      US stocks. Robert Baer confidently puts the hoard at $1 trillion, in
      addition to another trillion deposited in US banks.

      To begin with, the Saudis are not dumb enough to leave a trillion dollars
      sitting in bank vaults. Secondly, the most that Saudi Arabia has ever earned
      from oil sales in a single year is $101 billion (in 1981, when the price of
      oil was at an all-time peak-and even that sum scarcely exceeded what
      Americans spent on cigarettes). To reach the trillion mark, the Saudis would
      have needed to save every single penny they earned. Yet the Saudi government
      has only balanced its budget twice in the past two decades, let alone
      achieved huge surpluses. The entire accumulated overseas holdings, private
      and public, of all Arab oil producers put together are unlikely to top $1.5
      trillion, with much of this invested in such things as European real estate.
      That is about three years' worth of American defense spending.

      Gold, Unger, and Baer all cite the figure of $100 billion in Saudi weapons
      purchases from America since the 1970s as evidence that Washington has been
      duped into arming a potential enemy. But as Lippman points out, only a fifth
      of this outlay bought "lethal equipment." The rest went for training, spare
      parts, and military infrastructure that has proved extremely useful to
      America's own forces on several occasions. Shady as many of these deals
      surely were, the goal of defending the world's main energy store is hardly
      unreasonable.

      Unger is a fine writer, and he is right that the Bush dynasty has forged
      suspiciously cozy ties with the oil industry in general, and with several
      Arab oil monarchies in particular. He is fully justified in demanding to
      know things such as who authorized the hurried repatriation of rich Saudis
      in the immediate aftermath of September 11, and why. He would have been
      equally justified in raising other questions, such as what on earth Saudi
      officials were up to when they helped fund the San Diego sojourn of two of
      the future hijackers, and why the Bush administration has tried to conceal
      this episode.[8] Yet with so much smoke in the air, and despite alarming
      signs of bungling, duplicity, or worse in Washington, one thing that Unger
      and others have failed to prove convincingly is that Saudi money has somehow
      swayed Bush policies to a further extent than it ever did those of other
      administrations, and thereby endangered American interests.

      The stridency of the hyperbole suggests there are factors involved that have
      little to do with the Saudis' general unlovableness. One of these is
      ignorance. Several of the authors mentioned above have never been to the
      kingdom. Few of their books provide sufficient background to explain what
      historical imperatives lay behind America's pursuit of close ties with the
      Al Sauds (very rewarding for both parties, overall), or behind the later
      growth of anti-American sentiment within the kingdom (the fault of both
      parties, surely), or behind the Al Sauds' lavish sponsorship of Wahhabist
      Islam (a far less successful venture, to say the least). Instead, these
      developments are portrayed as examples of perfidy and betrayal.

      A corollary factor that leads to exaggeration of the purported Saudi menace
      is fear. The kingdom, we are constantly reminded, sits on a quarter of the
      world's oil reserves. In 1970, the United States became a net importer of
      the stuff that fuels its livelihood. It crossed another threshold of
      dependence in 2000, when imports accounted for more than half of consumption
      for the first time. The trend is clear. Global demand continues to surge,
      most dramatically of late in China (which plans to finish a highway system
      more extensive than the US interstate network by 2015). With the easily
      extractable reserves that lie outside the Persian Gulf set to be exhausted
      within decades, the kingdom's gushing hundred-year stash will only grow in
      importance.

      Worse, say the pundits, the Al Sauds' corrupt, feudal rule is doomed. So
      fragile is it that we are in danger of "our" oil being hijacked, either by
      fanatics or by fearful princes willing to appease them. The country, warns
      Robert Baer, is a powder keg. A coordinated terrorist attack on the
      kingdom's pumping and shipping centers, he reckons, would quadruple oil
      prices overnight, triggering global economic collapse and "a level of
      personal despair not seen since the Great Depression."

      It is never wise to ignore worst cases. But as the Saudi minister of
      petroleum, Ali Naimi, is fond of saying, oil is a fungible commodity. If you
      fail to get it from one place you can always get it from another. This means
      that whoever rules the kingdom would be wise to avoid raising the price of
      oil too high. When the Saudis did that in the 1970s, they made it worthwhile
      for oil importers to curb consumption drastically, and for oil companies to
      go after the far more expensive-to-produce reserves of such places as the
      North Sea and Alaska's North Slope. As the Saudis are well aware, the result
      was that the country has yet to regain the global market share it enjoyed
      thirty years ago.

      A sudden rise in oil prices now would certainly cause shocks, but it would
      also make economically feasible the exploitation of, say, Canada's vast and
      conveniently located reserves of oil shale. Americans might actually fall
      out of love with their thirsty SUVs, and might even condone the higher taxes
      on gas that already force Europeans and Japanese to use the stuff sparingly.

      It is a historical fact, moreover, that Saudi Arabia has habitually wielded
      its power on world oil markets to serve American interests. An obvious
      exception was during the OPEC boycott provoked by America's perceived tilt
      toward Israel during the October 1973 war. But then the kingdom was just one
      of the thirteen oil exporters that briefly suspended oil sales, and this
      rift in the Saudi-American alliance healed quickly. During the Reagan
      administration, Saudi Arabia effectively became a weapon in the all-out
      assault on communism. It was not just the Afghan Mujahideen who benefited,
      fatefully as we well know, from Saudi largesse, but America's proxy fighters
      on other cold-war fronts, from Angola to Central America to the Horn of
      Africa. Less dramatically but perhaps more crucially, the kingdom also bled
      the Soviet Union by keeping oil prices down throughout the 1980s, just when
      the Russians were desperate to sell energy in order to keep up with huge
      hikes in American military spending. In periods of shortage during the past
      ten years, such as during the Iraq wars and Venezuela's 2002 oil strike, the
      Saudis have cranked up production to keep prices stable.

      In any case, no matter who rules it, Saudi Arabia will still need to pump
      lots of oil. Its people are just as dependent on the rest of the world as it
      is on them-perhaps even more so. Without air conditioners and desalination
      plants, the kingdom would quickly look like Darfur. Not even religious
      fanatics are ready to go back to the sweaty business of raising goats and
      dates.

      3. None of this, however, means that either the Saudis or the rest of the
      world should be complacent. The signs of something gone very wrong are
      manifold, from the Saudi part in exporting jihadism, to the recent spate of
      gory terror attacks within the kingdom, to its rapidly rising rates of
      poverty and joblessness, to simple impressions such as the mute grimness of
      passengers- returning citizens and expatriates alike -filing like convicts
      toward passport control at Riyadh's grandiose but dimly lit airport.

      Talk to politically engaged Saudis and they freely describe their condition
      as a malaise, a disease. Where they differ is in identifying symptoms and
      prescribing cures. Conservatives see a concerted secular assault on their
      cherished Islamic immune system; liberals see the spread of religious
      obscurantism as a creeping blindness, or, in the words of one of the senior
      princes, as a "cancer" that must be excised.

      But most Saudis do not fit neatly into liberal or conservative molds. Their
      strong faith is a matter of pride and instinct more than of political
      persuasion. A government-sponsored poll carried out last year found that a
      huge majority of Saudis see unemployment as the country's main problem, not
      religious extremism. It also revealed that while half of Saudis respect
      Osama bin Laden's political message, only one in twenty respects his
      political leadership. Their very real chauvinism does not necessarily close
      them to the modern world, its challenges and its delights. Even outside the
      worldly elites of Jedda and Riyadh, Saudis are as likely to spend time
      watching soccer games on television or reading fashion magazines as going to
      the mosque.

      The mosque does remain inescapable, however. Almost half of Saudi state
      television's airtime is devoted to religious issues, as is about half the
      material taught in state schools.[9] Nine out of ten titles published in the
      kingdom are on religious subjects, and most of the doctorates its
      universities awards are in Islamic studies. Yet even without such Wahhabist
      saturation, Saudis would be keenly aware that their heritage imposes
      distinct responsibilities. This is, after all, the birthplace of Muhammad
      and of the Arabic language, the locus of Muslim holy cities, the root of
      tribal Arab trees, and also, historically, a last redoubt against foreign
      incursions into Arab and Muslim lands. The kingdom is in many ways a unique
      experiment. It is the only modern Muslim state to have been created by
      jihad,[10] the only one to claim the Koran as its constitution, and one of
      just four Muslim countries to have escaped European imperialism. Of the
      others, Iran is Shia, Turkey opted by itself for secularism, and Afghanistan
      is a wreck.

      Where present-day fanaticism creeps in is when this uniqueness is felt to be
      under threat; when it is sensed that the Saudi dream of an Islamic utopia is
      fading. What unites the kingdom's conservatives-and they come in many
      stripes, from suicidal jihadists who seek to recreate a global Islamic
      caliphate, to pacifist puritans, to the loyalist Wahhabi scholars who pack
      the judiciary and the education system -is a determination to sustain this
      dream. And despite the unpleasantly coercive nature of Islamic practice in
      the kingdom (few among the world's other 1.2 billion Muslims think that
      forbidding women from driving is anything but absurd), a surprising number
      of ordinary Saudis, including women, endure the annoyance because they
      happen to share the dream.

      Most Saudis also continue to support their ruling family, albeit no longer
      with much enthusiasm. Its leading members, including the King, the crown
      prince, and the second, third, and fourth brothers in the line of
      succession, are uniformly old and out of touch. The sheer number of lesser
      princes-something like seven thousand-combined with their sense of
      entitlement to feudalistic spoils, whether these be key government jobs,
      business concessions, or prime property, has alienated ordinary citizens who
      have come to expect a fairer share of the country's natural wealth. Princely
      households, with their wide circles of retainers and favorites, marriage
      alliances and business partnerships, are no longer seen by commoners as
      potential vehicles for upward mobility, but as obstacles. To disillusioned
      religious zealots, the Al Sauds are simply "hypocrites," a scripturally
      loaded Islamic term meaning those who feign piety while serving enemies of
      the faith.

      Yet many Saudis also accept the need for the Al Sauds to perform their
      traditional role as consensus-makers between the interests of tribes,
      regions, urban classes, foreign powers, and shades of religious feeling. The
      family's critics often fail to appreciate the importance of this balancing
      function in having helped to secure, peacefully for the most part, one of
      the most rapid and stark transformations that any society has ever
      experienced.[11] The increasing polarization of Saudi society in recent
      years, between those demanding progressive reform and those insisting on
      retrenchment within a religious cocoon, may even have reinforced the Saudis'
      reliance on the ruling family. Until such time as a new constitutional order
      can be built, it is the kingdom's only bridging institution.

      If their subjects find it hard to imagine the country surviving without the
      Al Sauds, there is nevertheless a widespread sense of confusion and anxiety
      for the future. By turning into a substitute for leadership, the Al Sauds'
      balancing act has itself become a source of insecurity. "Balancing" the
      arrest of violence-inciting preachers with the arrest of petitioners for
      constitutional reform, as has happened in recent months, gives an impression
      of rigidity and drift rather than wisdom and firmness. Some have concluded
      that such policy contradictions reflect not judicious equivocation but
      ominous ideological splits between royal factions.[12]

      Whatever the cause, there is little doubt that a lack of determined
      leadership has worsened the kingdom's troubles. Faced in the late Seventies
      with the challenge of rising religious radicalism, the Al Sauds opted for
      appeasement. Conservative control of schools and courts was strengthened.
      Even as thousands of Saudis furthered their education in Saudi-endowed
      American colleges, thousands more went to Saudi-funded training camps in the
      hills of Afghanistan. Stung again in the 1990s by local anger against King
      Fahd's invitation for America to strike Iraq from "holy" Saudi soil, the Al
      Sauds again appeased critics by finding offshore outlets for home-grown
      radicalism in such places as Chechnya and Bosnia. The contradictions came to
      a tragic head when Osama bin Laden, from one of the richest nonroyal Saudi
      families, hero of the Afghan war, broke with his former royal patrons and
      turned his guns on their old ally, America.

      Obviously, it has taken far too long for the significance of this
      development to dawn on the Al Sauds. Terrorist bombings in the kingdom in
      1995 that killed twenty-four Americans, and a series of smaller attacks on
      individual expats over subsequent years, were all dismissed as the work of
      foreign agents or criminal gangs. A year after Sep-tember 11, Prince Nayef,
      the minister of interior, was still denying that Saudis were involved. A
      year after that, he denied that al-Qaeda had any significant presence in the
      kingdom. The opacity of Saudi rule made it easy for critics to ascribe such
      shilly-shallying to a desire to conceal high-level complicity in such
      affairs, but the truth is likely to be more mundane. In typically obtuse
      patriarchal fashion, the Al Sauds were seeking to settle their problems the
      usual way, "within the Saudi family."

      Their failure to do so is now all too evident. Aside from the havoc it has
      wreaked elsewhere, al-Qaeda violence inside the kingdom has cost nearly a
      hundred lives during the past year. Thousands of Saudi youths, many of them
      jobless and bored, remain fired by the romance of jihad. Iraq, with its
      Spanish civil war-style Islamist international brigades, has become a
      destination for some. More remain at home, dreaming of a chance to stone the
      imagined devils of royal hypocrisy and infidel aggression.

      Containing and redirecting such passions would take patience, determination,
      and huge resources. There is good reason to doubt that the Al Sauds, at
      least under their current muddled leadership, can muster and sustain all
      three. But they are, at long last, beginning to try. New controls have
      drastically curbed private financial support for jihadist groups. Hundreds
      of extremist preachers have been banned from mosque pulpits. Dozens of the
      most radical are behind bars. The official clergy now sermonize ad nauseam
      about the danger of "exaggeration" in religion, and much of the religious
      incitement in Saudi textbooks has been purged.[13] As for security, the
      Saudis have greatly improved their border controls and arrested hundreds of
      al-Qaeda suspects. Perhaps most importantly, the indiscriminate bloodiness
      of local terrorists has seriously alarmed the general public. Their
      political vision has been revealed as grossly unappealing.

      The rest of the world tends to share the impatience of Saudi liberals who
      would like to see stronger action, as well as faster and deeper reforms. The
      Al Sauds' preference for consensus will, however, probably keep the pace
      slow. This augurs more frustration. Women, obviously, have a strong stake in
      being released from the stifling "protection" of laws that relegate so many
      to lives of boredom, dependence, and isolation. Stagnation is also
      dangerously irksome to the already restive young who make up such a large
      proportion of the population. In view of their impractical education, the
      scarcity of jobs, and the increasingly prohibitive cost of marriage, the
      millions of Saudis who are coming of age face a difficult future.

      "I feel sorry for my students," says a professor at Imam Saud University in
      Riyadh, a place that has graduated a disproportionate number of al-Qaeda
      recruits. "They don't know who to believe. They have no role models."

      Like many other Saudis, the professor thinks it is far too early to hope for
      democratization. The best short-term solution would be a strong,
      single-minded king. Only such a figure, he says, would be able both to rein
      in "wild" princes and to push through sweeping social, economic, and
      political reforms. His longer-term fix is more controversial. "There is no
      longer a shared language between royals who understand the world and are
      sophisticated, and religious scholars who are backward. Conflict is
      inevitable. What we need is to reduce the connection between religion and
      state."

      More and more Saudis seem to be coming to this conclusion, though it will
      probably take decades before there are enough of them to make a difference.
      But if the link to Wahhabism is severed, what will be Saudi about Arabia?

      Notes

      [1] The "Al" here, pronounced with a long "a" as in Al Sharpton, refers to
      the extended Saud "family," as opposed to the short "a" of the Arabic
      article al-, as subsumed into such anglicized Arabic words as algorithm and
      algebra.

      [2] There have been three Saudi states, from 1744 to 1818 (destroyed by the
      Egyptian army), from 1843 to 1891 (weakened by succession struggles and
      overthrown by the rival Al Rashid clan), and from 1902 to the present. The
      title of "kingdom" dates only from 1932.

      [3] The Ottoman Turks had ruled most of the Arab east, including Mecca and
      Medina, since 1517, when they defeated Egypt's Mamluk Sultanate. Practical
      administration of the holy cities was largely left to their governors in
      Egypt, a country whose rulers had held this privilege since the tenth
      century. Inner Arabia was of so little value that the Ottomans, like most
      Muslim empires before them, had never bothered to subdue it.

      [4] The example he refers to is the Syrian army's shelling in 1982 of the
      old city of Hama, at the time a haven for the Muslim Brotherhood and other
      Islamist groups. As many as 20,000 Syrians are said to have died.

      [5] Released July 14, 2004, at www.icg.org. See also a subsequent
      International Crisis Group report, "Saudi Arabia: Who Are the Islamists,"
      released September 21, 2004.

      [6] Gold ought to know that terrorism can be fought most effectively by
      recognizing that the line separating one person's idea of inexplicable
      barbarism from another's notion of legitimate resistance can sometimes be
      very fine. Al-Qaeda and the Palestinian group Hamas may look the same to
      Israelis, but their goals and constituencies only partly overlap. The very
      Saudis signing checks to fund what they see, rightly or wrongly, as the
      Palestinians' liberation war against Israeli occupation may at the same time
      be disgusted and perplexed by al-Qaeda's claim that bombing commuters in
      Madrid counts as "resisting" what it sees as America's global crusade
      against Islam.

      [7] The Muslim Brotherhood was not responsible for the 1997 massacre of
      tourists at Luxor, nor is it correct to call its adherents "mass murderers,"
      or "the most adept terrorists of them all." The organization, founded in
      1928, is indeed an ideological forebear of more extreme groups, but it
      renounced violence years before the emergence of jihadist militancy in the
      late 1970s.

      [8] This fact, first uncovered by the joint House-Senate intelligence
      committee's September 11 investigation, but later deemed classified by the
      administration, is at the heart of concerns about Saudi Arabia voiced by Bob
      Graham, the retiring Senate committee chair, in his new book Intelligence
      Matters (Random House, 2004). Graham reveals that a suspected Saudi agent
      "helped" the two Saudi immigrants to settle into San Diego with gifts that
      may have amounted to $40,000. Just as disturbingly, he shows that one of the
      two happened to share accommodation with a paid informant for the FBI, who
      apparently never noticed anything suspicious. (The FBI refused point-blank
      to let the legislators question their informant.)

      Yet Graham's book raises more questions than it answers. Proof of direct
      Saudi funding to the terrorists would clearly be explosive, but it is not
      clear that the Saudis had any better idea of what the beneficiaries of their
      largesse were up to than did the FBI. Assuming that Saudi intelligence was
      aware of its money going to the two future hijackers, it is quite possible
      that they believed they were recruiting the men as moles in order to bust an
      al-Qaeda cell. (The Saudis did, after much prodding, let the FBI question
      their San Diego agent, but the Feds are not telling what he said.) In the
      end, Senator Graham's revelations are, like Unger's, damning with regard to
      the American government's incompetence and fear of disclosure, but
      inconclusive regarding the Saudi government's malign intent.

      [9] By the estimate of an elementary schoolteacher in Riyadh, Islamic
      studies make up 30 percent of the actual curriculum. But another 20 percent
      creeps into textbooks on history, science, Arabic, and so forth. In
      contrast, by one unofficial count the entire syllabus for twelve years of
      Saudi schooling contains a total of just thirty-eight pages covering the
      history, literature, and cultures of the non-Muslim world.

      [10] Abdul Aziz ibn Saud, father of the current king, conquered the
      territory between 1902 and 1926, largely by the use of fanatical Wahhabist
      warriors known as the Ikhwan. The historian R. Bayly Winder comments: "The
      numerous and striking similarities between Wahhabism and Islam itself,
      including such points as original locale, doctrinal emphasis, pattern of
      military success, Arabness, iconoclasm, and Puritanism, are so marked that
      one is inclined to view Wahhabism as a kind of 'second coming' to Arabia."
      See Saudi Arabia in the Nineteenth Century (St. Martin's, 1965).

      [11] Not only extensive urbanization and a huge rise in living standards,
      but also the overcoming of fierce religious resistance to such innovations
      as pa-per money (1951), abolishing slavery (1962), female education (1964),
      and television (1965).

      [12] See Michael Scott Doran, "The Saudi Paradox," Foreign Affairs, January-
      February 2004.

      [13] Changing books is just a start. One Riyadh schoolteacher describes
      being disciplined by his principal after an eight-year-old student fingered
      him for telling his class that music is not necessarily sinful. By contrast,
      a teacher in the same school received a commendation for ordering his
      students to amend newly distributed government textbooks, altering a passage
      that described a young girl and boy as being "friends" so as to make both
      characters male. Even in a children's schoolbook, apparently, "mixing" among
      the sexes remains taboo.
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