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Friday Polls 19 January 2001

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  • Ami Isseroff
    Friday Polls 19 January 2001 Aaron Lerner Date: 19 January 2001 Gallup - Ma ariv The following are the results of a survey of a
    Message 1 of 1 , Jan 19, 2001
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      Friday Polls 19 January 2001

      Aaron Lerner Date: 19 January 2001

      Gallup - Ma'ariv

      The following are the results of a survey of a representative sample
      of 1,100 adult Israelis (Jews and Arabs) carried out by Gallup on 17
      January. Sampling error +/- 3 percentage points:

      If elections were held today:

      When the pollster pushed the undecided to decide:

      17 January 2001 Barak 31% Sharon 51%
      14 January 2001 Barak 33% Sharon 50%
      10 January 2001 Barak 31% Sharon 50%
      WK 05 Jan 2001 Barak 31% Sharon 55%
      WK 29 Dec 2000 Barak 32% Sharon 52%

      17 January 2001 Peres 44% Sharon 45%
      14 January 2001 Peres 46% Sharon 44%
      10 January 2001 Peres 46% Sharon 44%
      WK 05 Jan 2001 Peres 48% Sharon 45%

      If Shimon Peres makes a last and final announcement that he will not
      run for prime minister who will you vote for?
      Barak 31% Sharon 52%

      Do you want Barak to run to the end or to give up his place in favor
      of Shimon Peres?
      To the end 33% Switch 39% Do not know 28%
      Voted Barak 1999 To the end 33% Switch 47%

      If the candidates are Ehud Barak and Ariel Sharon, to what extent do
      you think you will go to vote on February 6?
      Certain yes 65% Think yes 15%
      Think no 7% Certain no 10% Do not know 3%

      Vote among certain to vote: Sharon 62% Barak 32%
      When add in those who think will vote: Sharon 61% Barak 32%

      If the candidates are Shimon Peres and Ariel Sharon, to what extent
      do you think you will go to vote on February 6?
      Certain yes 72% Think yes 16%
      Think no 4% Certain no 5% Do not know 3%

      Vote among certain to vote: Sharon 50% Peres 46%
      When add in those who think will vote: Sharon 48% Peres 47%

      Did you watch the election campaign advertising on television this
      week? Yes 40% No 60%

      Would you say that it influenced you?
      A lot 4% Minor extent 11% No 85%

      Of the following issues what is the most important issue in your
      deciding who to vote for in the coming elections?
      Peace negotiations 30% Security situation 44%
      Society/economy 7% Secular/religious relations 4%
      Personality of next prime minister 5%
      All to the same extent 7%
      Do not know 3%

      How is you personal economic situation as compared to at the time of
      the May 1999 elections?
      Better 13% Worse 26% No change 58% Do not know 3%

      How does the national economy compare to the situation at the time of
      the May 1999 elections?
      Better 11% Worse 50% No change 27% Do not know 12%

      If Clinton could run against Sharon
      Clinton 44% Sharon 36% White ballot/not vote 20%

      Do you want a permanent agreement to be signed with the Palestinians
      after the elections?
      Yes 65% No 27% Do not know 8%
      Voted for Barak 1999: Yes 82% No 12%
      Voted Netanyahu 1999: Yes 44% No 47%

      Do you like or dislike?
      Bill Clinton: Like 72% Dislike 20% Do not know 8%
      Shimon Peres: Like 60% Dislike 34% Do not know 6%
      COS Shaul Mofaz: Like 52% Dislike 24% Do not know 24%
      Avrum Burg: Like 52% Dislike 31% Do not know 17%
      Meir Shitreet: Like 50% Dislike 31% Do not know 19%
      Binyamin Netanyahu: Like 49% Dislike 45% Do not know 6%
      Ariel Sharon: Like 48% Dislike 44% Do not know 8%
      Dan Meridor: Like 43% Dislike 37% Do not know 20%
      Ehud Barak: Like 36% Dislike 57% Do not know 7%
      Yasser Arafat: Like 10% Dislike 86% Do not know 4%

      When you see the following personalities on television what do you
      feel?
      Peres: Positive 39% Negative 22% Neutral 35% Do not know 4%
      Sharon: Positive 30% Negative 31% Neutral 34% Do not know 5%
      Barak: Positive 17% Negative 40% Neutral 37% Do not know 6%

      Ma'ariv 19 January 2001

      +++ Dahaf - Yediot Ahronot

      The following is a Dahaf Poll of a representative sample of 574 adult
      Israelis (both Jews and Arabs) the week of 19 January 2001. Survey
      error of +/- 4.5 percentage points -

      Week 19 Jan.2001: Barak 32% Sharon 50% Undecided/No reply 18%
      Week 12 Jan.2001: Barak 32% Sharon 50% Undecided/No reply 18%
      Week 05 Jan.2001: Barak 32% Sharon 50% Undecided/No reply 18%
      Week 29 Dec.2000: Barak 35% Sharon 48% Undecided/No reply 17%
      Week 22 Dec.2000: Barak 38% Sharon 49% Undecided/No reply 13%
      Week 15 Dec.2000: Barak 33% Sharon 40% Undecided/No reply 27%
      Week 8 Dec.2000: Barak 40% Sharon 42% Undecided/No reply 18%
      Week 10 Nov.2000: Barak 41% Sharon 39% Undecided/No reply 20%
      Week 20 Oct.2000: Barak 45% Sharon 41% Undecided/No reply 14%
      Week 6 Oct. 2000: Barak 43% Sharon 39% Undecided/No reply 18%
      Day 29 Sept 2000: Barak 48% Sharon 41% Undecided/No reply 11%

      Week 19 Jan.2001: Peres 45% Sharon 44% Undecided/No reply 11%
      Week 12 Jan.2001: Peres 47% Sharon 45% Undecided/No reply 8%
      Week 05 Jan.2001: Peres 49% Sharon 44% Undecided/No reply 7%
      Week 20 Dec.2000: Peres 46% Sharon 44% Undecided/No reply 10%

      Composition of Jews who said that did not yet decide between Barak
      and Sharon:

      New immigrants 26% Veteran Israelis 26%

      Men 39% Women 61%

      Education: Elementary 4% Partial high school 6% High school 25%
      Academic 63% No reply 2%

      Religiosity: Secular 57% Traditional 28% Religious 3%
      Ultra orthodox 8% No reply 4%

      Position on division of Jerusalem: Oppose 51% Agree 44% No reply 5%

      Orientation on security/diplomatic issues: Left 19% Center 36%
      Right 24% No reply 21%

      Yediot Ahronot 19 January 2001

      Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director
      IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
      (mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
      Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-548-0092
      INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@...
      pager 03-6750750 subscriber 4811
      Website: http://www.imra.org.il
      --------------------------------------------
      IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis
      Website: www.imra.org.il
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