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re: Minneapolis IRV for Mayor votes

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  • Tom Ruen
    Here s my email again, seeing if I can keep my result table formatting. ... I looked on the sos website and found they reported voting counts for each rank
    Message 1 of 2 , Nov 4, 2009
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      Here's my email again, seeing if I can keep my result table formatting.
       

       
      I looked on the sos website and found they reported voting counts for each
      rank column, first, second and third. (Reformatted below)

      It's a boring election, with one strong incumbent, but still interesting to
      see what happened. The IRV process won't even be conducted of course, so
      we'll never know who was "second", but even second place looks pretty well
      locked up by Papa John Koldstad.

      Interestingly only 49% of voters even bothered offering a second choice, and
      only 35% needed a third choice to feel good. I assume those numbers would
      have been higher if it was more competitive.

      With first/second/third votes, I tried adding all the votes, a sort of
      "approval" vote (The maximum number of votes a candidate could get in a
      runoff process). Only 4 candidates were above 20%. Lastly I tried a "borda
      count", (giving 3 points for first rank, 2 points for second, and 1 point
      for third), and percentages based on the borda point sum.

      Again, all boring here, but doing the same for the council seat elections
      might be interesting while they do the elimination process.

      My only thought on this election is that eliminating the primary probably
      HELPS the incumbent by distracting and dividing the competition. How do you
      encourage an incumbent to debate 10 competitors? Who do you give money to? A
      primary elimination round reduces the candidates (like candidates below 20%)
      and it would allow more focused discussion among viable candidates.

      Sincerely,
      Tom Ruen

      http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20091103/
      PlaceName and Party1st2nd3rd1st%SumSum%BordaBorda%
      1R.T. RYBAK
      Democratic-Farmer-Labor
      332203229209973.63%3854885.44%10821755.52%
      2PAPA JOHN KOLSTAD 
      Independent Civic Leader
      49493460151210.97%992121.99%2327911.94%
      3AL FLOWERS 
      Democratic-Farmer-Labor
      1783500931473.95%993922.03%185149.50%
      4DICK FRANSON 
      Democratic-Farmer-Labor 
      1569462935173.48%971521.53%174828.97%
      5CHRISTOPHER CLARK
      Libertarian 
      134013598772.97%35767.93%76153.91%
      6TOM FISKE
      Libertarian 
      65513669471.45%29686.58%56442.90%
      7JOEY LOMBARD
      Is Awesome 
      439115115610.97%31516.98%51802.66%
      8JAMES R. EVERETT
      Social Entrepreneurship
      3545514570.78%13623.02%26211.34%
      9BILL MCGAUGHEY
      New Dignity Party
      2304164800.51%11262.50%20021.03%
      10BOB CARNEY, JR.
      Moderate Progressive Censored
      2295074680.51%12042.67%21691.11%
      11JOHN CHARLES WILSON
      Moderate Progressive Censored
      1341692120.30%5151.14%9520.49%
       WRITE-IN** 2151862340.48%6351.41%12510.64%
       TOTAL VOTES451172203215511   194926 
      100.00%48.83%34.38%
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