CONFIRMED! WILLIE'S CANDIDATES AND ISSUES LOSING BIG
- SF MAMOUTH TURNOUT AND STRONG GRASSROOT CAMPAIGNS PUT WILLIE'S
CANDIDATES AND ISSUES IN REAL TROUBLE. THE POLITICAL MACHINE IN
By Frontlines Staff
Willie's Presidential Candidate losing in Districts 5 and 9, 5 of his
candidates for Supervisor, 2 of his favorites for School Board and 2
of his candidates for College Board appear to be trailing badly and
Proposition K is going down the drain.
According to the SF Institute for Political Science, this is the
* Over 72% of all registered voters are expected to cast votes by
tomorrow, Tuesday, November 7 at 8 PM. This larger-than-ever turnout
will bring to the voting booths mostly opponents of the local
* The traditional bastions of Willie's machine are deserting it. Over
40% of all African Americans, 58% of Latinos, and 60% of union
members are planning to vote AGAINST machine candidates and issues.
Among young voters, Willie's candidates and issues are faring even
worse: 68% are planning to vote for alternative candidates and
against Willie's candidates. Even among conservative voters - who
were assiduously courted by Willie in the mayoral election - the
support is split 50-50.
* Ralph Nader will come out FIRST and defeat Al Gore in the Mission
District and the Haight, the core of Districts 5 and 9. Bush will be
a distant third. Nader will be a close second to Al Gore in several
other neighborhoods and Bush will carry not a single neighborhood in
the City (no surprises here). Total expected Citywide vote for Gore
48%, Nader 26%, Bush 14%, other candidates 8% and only 4% were still
undecided (11/4/2000). This will be the LOWEST vote for a Democratic
Presidential candidate in the City since the 70s.
* Willie's candidates for Supervisors Alicia Becerril (District 3),
Juanita Owens (District 5); Dittenhaffer (District 6) and Amos Brown
(District 11) won't even make it to the runoff, according to the
District 3: candidates Peskin, Levitan, Denunzio, and Wong are
fighting to make it to the runoff.
District 5: Juanita Owens is trailing Agar Jaicks (the second choice
of Mayor Brown) and Matt Gonzalez who would face off in the runoff.
District 6: the runoff is certain to be between Magilavy and Daly
who are now the clear front-runners with 26% of the vote each.
District 11: Candidates Petroni, Sandoval, Lim and Silverberg are
fighting for a position on the runoff with Amos Brown fighting for a
third or even a fourth place.
In another three Districts (1, 4 and 8) Willie's candidates (Yaki,
Hsieh and Leno) are facing a certain runoff at which most opponents
and voters will back their challengers.
In other developments, Ammiano, who is running against Progressive=
Left Lucrecia and two other Latina Democrats (one of them, Tullier,
supported by Willie's people) is polling less than 50% of the vote
and will face a runoff, most likely with Lucrecia, in December.
Apparently, progressive voters are sending him the message that he
shifted too much to the right during his mayoral bid. Since rightist
candidates stand no chance to get even a decent percentage of the
vote in District 9, voters are chosing between two options to the
left of Willie Brown. No lesser evil here, but a better leftist
Mary T. Hernández, the favorite incumbent of the machine and the
soft money people is going down the tubes with less than 25% of the
vote Citywide (in citywide elections you cannot win with less than
35% of the vote). Two candidates supported by BOTH Willie Brown AND
Ammiano are likely to be elected ( Wynns and Vela) with Progressive
Left candidate Maria Dolores Rinaldi obtaining a great vote. Teacher
Mark Sanchez and a couple other candidates are making waves as well
while opportunist Eric Mar is trailing badly.
In the College Board race also a Citywide election both
incumbents of the machine, Nathalie Berg and Rodel Rodis are facing a
tough survival struggle polling less than 25% of the vote and with
challengers Finn, Mouton, Erin Brown, Ghadi closing rapidly the gap.
Other would be candidates of the machine (Louie, Mark and Ramos
losing big) and Scott Brown trailing them. .
Energized by a 2,000-strong rally yesterday in front of City Hall,=
Proposition L for slow growth is winning with 60% of the potential
vote while Willie's competing Prop K is 10 points in the red with 45%
in favor and 55% against it.
If the turnout is big tomorrow, as expected, these results are likely
to hold and this will represent the biggest machine's loss ever. It
is up to you now.