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Political Earthquake in France

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    POLITICAL EARTHQUAKE IN FRANCE! By Frontlines First round of Presidential elections held on Sunday, April 21, shows: (estimates based on polls, not final
    Message 1 of 1 , Apr 22 12:57 PM
      POLITICAL EARTHQUAKE IN FRANCE!
      By Frontlines

      First round of Presidential elections held on Sunday, April 21, shows:
      (estimates based on polls, not final results)

      Record abstentionism for a Presidential first round: over 28% did not
      vote.

      Partial collapse of the Gaullist right (Chirac): less than 20% -
      apparently they lost about 14% of the vote in the last two weeks. Few of
      those deserting the Gaullist went to the neo-fascist of the National
      Front (Le Pen) but most of them abstained.

      Collapse of the now bourgeois Socialist Party - they got less than 16%.
      The extreme left was only able to capture few percentage points of
      Socialist voters, a big chunk preferred to abstain.

      Collapse of the reformist Communist Party: less than 4%. Most of their
      voters shifted their support for Trotskyist candidates (especially
      Laguiller)

      Laguiller (Trotskyist), Lutte Ouvriere: 7% - loss 4 percentage points in
      the last two weeks, under a barrage of negative media and the dynamic
      campaign of the LCR that undercut them somewhat. Laguiller said: "I will
      not vote for Chirac in the second round" and "Jospin defeat is entirely
      his responsibility."

      Besancenot (Trotskyist), Ligue Communiste Revolutionarie, LCR, USFI: 4%
      - undercutting Laguiller in the last two weeks. He called "for a front
      of resistance to fascism" in view of the projected results.

      Gluckstein (Trotskyist), Lambertists: collapsed at 0.5% (the most
      reformist of the three Trotskyist candidates)

      Rise of Le Pen (Neo-fascist) put him on the top of the fascist vote
      (last presidential election they got 15.3%): They are now at 17% and
      potentially could go to the second round. This will destabilize the
      entire political situation in France. Apparently, they capitalized on
      the crisis of the right wing Gaullist.

      Observers expect mass demonstrations against fascism from now to the
      second round are Le Pen is confirmed as one of the two candidates
      disputing the Presidency with Chirac.

      The estimates of the results also clearly show that a united electoral
      front of the left (Trotskyists and CP) could have competed for the
      second position with great possibilities.

      Of course, as always, the Communist and Socialist parties will blame
      their defeat and the advance of Le Pen in the first round to the extreme
      left, instead of their policies of administering neo-liberal and
      imperial policies on behalf of the French ruling class.

      STAY TUNED, WE WILL SEND FURTHER REPORTS
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