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From George Sabbi (Section Emergency Coordinator)

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  • Bob
    The NHC has now hoisted additional Tropical Storm and Hurricane products as noted below. These now include the NJ coast line. in both the SNJ and NNJ Sections
    Message 1 of 1 , Sep 1, 2010
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      The NHC has now hoisted additional Tropical Storm and Hurricane products as noted below. These now include the NJ coast line. in both the SNJ and NNJ Sections as well as  the  NLI  Section  in the  ARRL Hudson Division  and other areas as noted  Details below, later updates and changes may follow so please stay tuned!  
      George Sabbi
      KC2GLG
      Section Emergency Coordinator
      ARRL Northern New Jersey Section
      Email: KC2GLG@...


      WTNT32 KNHC 012051
      TCPAT2
      BULLETIN
      HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER  30
      NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL072010
      500 PM EDT WED SEP 01 2010

      ...DANGEROUS AND LARGE HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THE
      MID-ATLANTIC COAST...WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
      THROUGH MASSACHUSETTS...


      SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
      ----------------------------------------------
      LOCATION...26.3N 73.3W
      ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
      ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
      MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
      PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


      WATCHES AND WARNINGS
      --------------------
      CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

      A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE NORTH
      CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
      DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
      OF NEW POINT COMFORT.


      A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH
      MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

      A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO
      WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND
      SOUND.

      A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH
      TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.

      SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

      A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
      * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
      CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
      SOUNDS.

      A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
      * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
      DELAWARE.
      * WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
      VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

      A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
      * FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
      * FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
      JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
      CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

      A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
      * SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
      BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
      * NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER
      MASSACHUSETTS.


      A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
      SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
      36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
      TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
      PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
      AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

      A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
      WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
      BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
      WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
      DANGEROUS.

      A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
      EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

      A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
      POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

      INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD
      MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

      FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
      INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
      YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.



      DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
      ------------------------------
      AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS
      LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST. EARL IS
      MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS
      EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON
      THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL
      APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY LATE THURSDAY.

      MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
      KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  EARL IS AGAIN A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE
      ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
      INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING
      TREND IS ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

      EARL IS STILL A LARGE HURRICANE AND GROWING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
      EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
      TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

      LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
      RECONNAISSANCE PLANE A FEW HOURS AGO WAS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


      HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
      ----------------------
      WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH
      CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH
      HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OCCURRING BY LATE THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM
      FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO
      NEW JERSEY BY EARLY FRIDAY.

      STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
      MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
      AREA. ELSEWHERE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
      1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
      AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
      DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

      RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
      MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
      NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.

      SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMAS
      AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE
      SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
      CURRENTS.
       

      NEXT ADVISORY
      -------------
      NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
      NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

      $$
      FORECASTER AVILA

      
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