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Botched Atlantic hurricane forecasts and global warming, one year does not make a trend

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  • npat1
    Urbana-Champaign Independent Media Center http://www.ucimc.org/node/490 Botched Atlantic hurricane forecasts and global warming, one year does not make a
    Message 1 of 1 , Dec 3, 2006
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      Urbana-Champaign Independent Media Center
      http://www.ucimc.org/node/490

      Botched Atlantic hurricane forecasts and global warming, one year does
      not make a trend.

      Annual temperature example, Park Rapids, MN
      -----------------------------------------------------------
      Annual temperatures at Park Rapids fluctuate about an upward trend
      line (figure), not about the historical average. A year with cooler
      temperatures (like 1996) can happen occasionally but the upward trend
      continues. One year (1996) does not make a trend.


      Tropical cyclones in the Gulf/Atlantic
      ---------------------------------------
      In 2005, Kerry Emanuel of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology
      said: "My results suggest that future warming may lead to an upward
      trend in tropical cyclone destructive potential," ...
      * Source: 07 Dec. 2005, "The link between hurricanes and global
      warming" - The Independent
      http://news.independent.co.uk/world/science_technology/article331670.ec
      e

      Kerry Emanuel did not say that Gulf/Atlantic hurricanes will increase
      every year with global warming.

      A climatologist will not say that annual temperatures will increase
      every year at a climatological station - with global warming.

      http://pg.photos.yahoo.com/ph/patneuman2000/my_photos

      http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ClimateArchive/
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