Re: What the evidence shows on Global Warming
- Gregson Vaux wrote:
> At this stage of the game, anthropogenic global warmingGregson,
> is really more of a fad than a proven fact. When you look
> at the evidence, it is pretty weak.
Please review the evidence that was presented by the All-star panel
of climate experts in Washington DC on 15 June 2004 (below).
Then tell us what you think about global warming.
AAAS All-star panel of climate experts, 15 June 2004
The scientists at Tuesday's climate conference acknowledged that
questions remain about climate-forecasting models. And, they said,
there will always be uncertainty about exactly what may happen and
precisely how various factors exert an influence. However, the
panelists also agreed that accurate predictions can be made over the
long term--and that greenhouse gases released as a result of human
activity are a major change agent. In fact, they said, the models are
more likely making conservative predictions rather than generous ones.
Don Kennedy, Science and Alan Leshner, CEO AAAS
Sherwood Rowland, University of California, Irvine
Thomas Crowley, Duke University
Richard Alley, Pennsylvania State University
Daniel Schrag, Harvard University
Jerry Meehl, National Center for Atmospheric Research
David Battisti, University of Washington
Joyce Penner, University of Michigan
Michael Oppenheimer, Princeton University
Lonnie Thompson, Ohio State University
Chris Field, Carnegie Institution of Washington
---------- Forwarded Message ---------------
--- In email@example.com, "Gregson Vaux" <gvaux@m...>
> Scientists are just as likely to jump on bandwagons as any other
> group of people. I'm not sure if anyone really knows what exactly
> makes a fact a fact and this is covered under the annoying (but
> important) philosophical field of epistemology. A lot of people
> agree that a scientific fact is proven when it is tested by anand
> experiment but we have no ability to run experiments on the earth
> if we want to call our converting fossil fuels into clouds of CO2an
> experiment, then the results are confounded by the number ofis
> variables. At this stage of the game, anthropogenic global warming
> really more of a fad than a proven fact. When you look at thedon't
> evidence, it is pretty weak. In no way am I saying that manmade CO2
> has not caused global warming but we also cannot say that it has.
> The earth sure seems to have warmed in the past few decades but
> forget that we are coming out of an ice age. Just a few thousandpermanant
> years ago, large portions of North America were covered by
> glaciers and these glaciers melted long before people startedburning
> fossil fuels. The jury really is still out on whether burningfossil
> fuels has caused the climatic changes that we are seeing. I thinkfindings
> that there are good arguments that we have cause the warming but I
> also think that there are good arguments that we haven't.
> In science, it is hard to distinguish between facts and fads.
> Gregson Vaux
> --- In firstname.lastname@example.org, "Pat N self only"
> <npat1@j...> wrote:
> > Thousands Gather for U.N. Conference on Global Warming
> > BUENOS AIRES, Argentina - Dec 6, 2004 AP
> > Excerpt
> > -------
> > "Last month, the intergovernmental Arctic Council announced
> > that higher temperatures in the Arctic are melting sea ice,buckling
> > roads and threatening polar bears and other animals.considerably
> > In Argentina, a 220-foot (66-meter) wall of ice sheared off the
> > Perito Moreno glacier last March in a rare spectacle some have
> > attributed to global warming.
> > However, disagreements abound in the scientific community over
> > climate change.
> > John Christy, a climatologist at the University of Alabama in
> > Huntsville, says the Earth's temperature has fluctuated
> > over long periods of time.
> > "The evidence shows that the world is warming, but is not warming
> at a
> > rate that is catastrophic," Christy said.
> > -----------------------------------------
> > My conclusions
> > --------------
> > The statement that "Disagreements abound in the scientific
> community over global climate change" is false. The majority of
> scientists are in agreement that a rapid rate of global warming is
> being driven by the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the
> atmosphere from fossil fuels used for power and transportation.
> > The statement by John Cristy is false. Scientists have shown an
> enormous amount of evidence that earth's climate is warming at a
> catastrophic rate. Sea ice, glaciers, permafrost, oceans, global-
> atmospheric, and my own regional studies of Upper Midwest climate
> data are powerful evidence that catastrophic global warming is
> > My regional studies of Upper Midwest climate data are:
> > - 1. Minnesota Temperatures & Dewpoints (Apr 2003)
> > - 2. Snowmelt & Dewpoints in MN, WI, and ND (Sep 2003)
> > http://www.mnforsustain.org/climate_change.htm
> > Pat Neuman
> > Hydrologist (self only)
> > http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ClimateArchive/