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Re: RE: [Behavioral-Finance] Moral hazard and central banks

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  • Sp├ęculateur
    And then!, there will be a crack in the sky and soon doomsday! year (2000+1) Seems to be some kind of astrological foresight , not the primary concern of
    Message 1 of 7 , Apr 9 1:14 AM
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      And then!, there will be a crack in the sky and soon doomsday! year (2000+1)
      Seems to be some kind of astrological foresight , not the primary concern of  behavioral finance in this  group.?
      Some kind of depressive mood to my mind?
      Better go to the Dr.!
      ----- Original Message -----
      Sent: Monday, April 09, 2001 4:03 AM
      Subject: FW: RE: [Behavioral-Finance] Moral hazard and central banks

      We are waiting!
      Shantanu
      --- In Behavioral-Finance@egroups.com, "Riccardo" <riccardo@r...>
      wrote:
      I agree with you all the way along... everything will start from the
      Nikkei
      below 13000 to target 10000 then panic will spread on Nasdaq 100
      targeting
      1100 (162% move from 4420 of the March first bearish move)... Europe
      will
      pay on TMT HARDLY as well. Bonds up to the 1998 panic levels again.
      Fed
      strip is pricing anothe 100 bps by august... too much to manage for
      Fed...
      It is a matter of trust and investors are really too scared and I
      think of
      such a tidal wave... well let's the markets speak for themselves. I
      hope to
      be wrong but when I offered my projection of 2200-2100 on Reuters TV
      many
      months ago it was hard to digest as well
      But Greenspan cannot cut again... it will be admitting defeat and
      this would
      really scare the markets. And by the way it will not make a
      difference. I do
      believe G thinks about another 1998 with massive and quick rate cuts
      but
      then it was a financial crisis. Here 50% losses on Nasdaq 100 = big
      trust
      crisis in the systems... The "machine" can stop every now and then
      and it
      will. The result of using in 2001 a 1998 politics will generate a 1987
      effect... same man same mistake.
      History repeats itself.

      Riccardo Ronco
      London
      --- End forwarded message ---




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