HSR likely to capture majority of SF-LA air market, report predicts
- Published Thursday, January 13, 2011, by San Francisco Business Times
California high-speed rail is on track to succeed, report predicts
By Eric Young
The planned bullet train between San Francisco and southern California sure sounds like a good idea. But if it is built, will it succeed?
The authors of a study of planned high-speed rail systems across the country think so.
In a report <http://america2050.org/2011/01/high-speed-rail-in-america.html> called "High Speed Rail in America," the pro-transit group America 2050 writes that "The combination of two highly congested mega regions in California with large regional air markets between them suggests high likely ridership demand for (high-speed rail) Core Express."
"Rail trip times of less than three hours between Los Angeles and the Bay Area are likely to capture the vast majority of the point-to-point air travel between the two regions. And because the existing air market is so large in this region, nowhere else in the country is the potential to divert short haul air travel to rail greater than in California."
While that might not be good news to the airlines that shuttle between LAX and SFO, it likely will cheer boosters of California's planned system, which is expected to cost more than $43 billion. The bullet train is still in the planning phase now.
[BATN: See also:
Hassle-factor may explain short-haul airline route ridership crash