Re: [APBR_analysis] Career change effect, revisited
On Tue, 23 Apr 2002, mikel_ind wrote:
> Here's a summation chart for the 5 groups. Consider going to a
> better team to be a promotion, so that will be group A.
> G Min. Pct. Sco. Reb. Ast. Stl. (TO) Blk. - Total
> A 0.87 1.02 0.98 0.96 0.90 0.92 0.87 0.93 - 0.96
> B 0.91 1.00 0.95 0.97 0.85 0.93 0.89 0.88 - 0.95
> C 0.99 0.99 0.95 1.00 0.96 1.06 0.96 0.77 - 0.95
> D 1.03 0.97 0.92 0.99 1.09 0.96 1.04 0.96 - 0.95
> F 1.14 0.96 0.95 1.01 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.09 - 1.00
Interesting analysis. No surprise that the minutes played ratio rises as
we move to trades from strong-to-weak teams. But the Scoring Pct (I'm
assuming that what "Pct." is) also falls! Suggesting that the loss of his
good-passing, double-team drawing, multiple-threat teammates causes the
traded player to lose scoring efficiency. Yet his scoring goes down too,
whereas I would've expected him to take on more scoring responsibilities,
when traded to the weak team.
The other factor of course is the quality, and role, of the player
himself. It's one thing when Tony Campbell goes from the Lakers to a weak
team such as Minnesota (they were weak in those days, they aren't now).
I suspect that it'd have been another if it was James Worthy or Shaquille
O'Neal who had made that migration. And yet another if it had been Robert
Horry, who seems to be one the Ultimate championship role players,
playing best when having superstar teammates especially in the playoffs.