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Mavs-Nuggs trade analysis

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  • mikel_ind
    This trade is 8-10 games along, so some early analysis of the principles can be assessed. Juwan Howard tm. min. Pct. Sco. Reb Ast Stl (TO) Blk Dal 31.3 .504
    Message 1 of 2 , Mar 14, 2002
      This trade is 8-10 games along, so some early analysis of the
      principles can be assessed.

      Juwan Howard
      tm. min. Pct. Sco. Reb Ast Stl (TO) Blk
      Dal 31.3 .504 13.9 8.8 2.0 .6 (1.7) .7 .. 25.0
      Den 41.1 .499 18.5 8.1 3.3 .9 (2.1) .7 .. 30.8

      Tim Hardaway
      tm. min. Pct. Sco. Reb Ast Stl (TO) Blk
      Dal 23.6 .490 12.4 2.6 5.1 1.0 (2.0) .1 .. 21.0
      Den 26.5 .510 15.5 2.8 8.0 1.6 (3.6) .3 .. 27.2

      So Howard is again a minor star, and TBug is yet a damn good player?

      I rather think with the return of McDyess, Juwan will not be The Man;
      and Timmy's whopping turnover rate will subdue him considerably (as
      will his age and decrepitude).


      Raef LaFrentz
      tm. min. Pct. Sco. Reb Ast Stl (TO) Blk
      Den 32.7 .534 16.9 8.4 1.4 0.7 (1.3) 3.3 .. 31.5
      Dal 28.9 .498 13.4 8.1 1.2 1.2 (1.5) 3.5 .. 28.0

      Nick Van Exel
      tm. min. Pct. Sco. Reb Ast Stl (TO) Blk
      Den 38.6 .481 19.3 3.8 8.2 0.7 (2.5) .2 .. 32.5
      Dal 28.4 .438 10.0 4.0 5.4 0.5 (1.4) .2 .. 20.5

      Van Exel was already having a bad midseason before the trade, but he
      has now fallen off the table.

      Raef still looks productive, and may regain his form when teammates
      start finding him.

      These 2 put the lie to assertion in previous post, that better
      offensive structure yields better scoring efficiency. Oh, well.


      In this analysis, and in the previous post, there is a clear trend of
      players seeming to get better when moving to a poorer team (and
      suffering upon moving to a better team). A more extensive survey I
      posted earlier did not indicate this.

      Therefore, I predict that these players will basically revert to
      their previous form: by the end of the year, their "new" statistics
      will more closely resemble their "old" stats. With the exception of
      Van Exel, who seems to be a head case; or more likely, he still wants
      to play 35-40 minutes, but not in Denver; or LA; or ....

      p.s. Avery Johnson was having a fine season, and throwing him into
      the point guard quagmire at Dallas has effectively ended his season,
      seemingly. Unless he or Nick (or both) can be moved.


      Mike Goodman
    • mikel_ind
      Since we all know the proof is in the pudding (that s an idiom, for you non-English speaking persons), here are the pre- and post-trade records of the teams
      Message 2 of 2 , Mar 14, 2002
        Since we all know the proof is in the pudding (that's an idiom, for
        you non-English speaking persons), here are the pre- and post-trade
        records of the teams previously scoped:

        Chicago Bulls
        before trade: 12-40
        since trade: - 4-9

        A little improvement (got Cartwright a nice contract), but after
        winning 4 of 5, they have lost 7 straight.


        Indiana Pacers
        before: 26-27
        since: - 6-5

        Still a .500 team.


        Denver Nuggets
        before: 16-35
        since: - 3-7

        A season to forget, but Dyess is coming.


        Dallas Mavs
        before: 38-17
        since: - 7-1

        To say they improved is understatement; but now Finley is back, and
        better than ever.


        Mike Goodman
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