Re: Strength Of Schedule - Hoiberg
--- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, bchaikin@a... wrote:
This is an example of the limits of "good-bad" evaluations. Hoiberg is
a low usage-high efficiency guy, Walker a high usage-very low
efficiency guy and thinking about exchanging one with the other isn't
very productive. Hoiberg probably wouldn't be so efficient on a team
like the Hawks (for the reason Bchaikin mentioned). The curious thing
is that Walker last year played for a team where he had the chance to
be a lower usage-higher efficiency guy and shot almost the same efg%
> The question, IMO, is this: how can we evaluate how Hoiberg would do
> given Antoine's minutes and green light to shoot?
> using computer simulation the 04-05 hawks are on pace to win just
> games with both antoine walker (pf) and al harrington (sf) playing
40 min/g. if i
> replace walker with harrington at pf and put hoiberg at sf for 40
> using his 03-04 stats, and all else in the hawks substitution
rotation being the
> same, the hawks win 4 more games per average 82 game season (24-25
> hoiberg averaging 13-14 pts/g on an excellent scoring FG% of 60%.
> that hoiberg has low touches/min for a sf/sg, just 0.6-0.7
> shoots the ball with 30%-35% of his touches (not upwards of 50%),
and the few
> times in his career that his touches/min were higher (like 1.0
> in 00-01 with the bulls) he shot much less often per touch, down to
> the ball with just 20%-25% of his touches...
> in terms of given hoiberg the "green light to shoot", his career stats
> showing that as his touches/min increase how often he shoots per
> indicating to me he has difficulty creating his own shot...
> bob chaikin
> _bchaikin@b..._ (mailto:bchaikin@b...)