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the Payton effect

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  • Mike G
    Last year, the Celtics averaged scores of 95.3-96.7 . This year, it s 101.6-99.5 ; meaning they ve improved from -1.4 PPG to +2.1, or +3.5 net PPG. Here s how
    Message 1 of 1 , Dec 23, 2004
      Last year, the Celtics averaged scores of 95.3-96.7 . This year,
      it's 101.6-99.5 ; meaning they've improved from -1.4 PPG to +2.1, or
      +3.5 net PPG.

      Here's how Eff% and adjusted scoring rates compare to last years':

      05sc 05e% player . . 04e% 04sc

      23.6 .557 Pierce,Paul .515 22.9
      16.8 .533 Davis,Ricky .533 17.2
      14.2 .544 Payton,Gary .527 16.5
      14.6 .577 Blount,Mark .599 13.7
      13.9 .561 Lafrentz,Raef .508 13.0
      13.6 .554 Welsch,Jiri .529 12.2
      6.7 .507 Mccarty,Walter .540 11.2
      8.7 .482 Banks,Marcus .479 10.5
      3.0 .316 Gugliotta,Tom .384 5.5

      There's a sizable gain in most players' effective shooting. Scaling
      down from the opponents' scoring (factor of 96.7/99.5) diminishes
      scoring rates a bit for this year.

      Overall, the team appears to have lost productivity, player by
      player. LaFrentz is the lone exception, returning to his pre-injury
      self.

      I guess Payton and rookies are more valuable than Mihm, Atkins, and
      Jumaine Jones. That would seem to be the only personnel change from
      last year.
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