Re: Phoenix Suns
- One thing I will say about predictions in general: Injuries wreak
havoc with them. A team like Phoenix that has had no substantial
injuries will almost always outperform their expectation, as opposed
to a team like, oh, say, New Orleans. The general rule of thumb in
the NBA is that at least one starter is injured, and if you're not in
that situation you're lucky.
It's especially true in the Suns' case. The last two years they've
been great when everyone's healthy and pretty weak when somebody's
been hurt, because their bench players haven't been up to snuff.
--- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, "thedawgsareout"
> > I think the Phoenix Suns are a perfect case where stats-folks
> > us can really miss the boat.
> Dan, while you raise great points about why people like us missed
> the boat on the Suns and I completely agree, I would point out that
> a lot of other people missed the boat too.
> I had Phoenix 11th in the West, but basically even with the 9th and
> 10th teams.
> NBA.com and _Sports Illustrated_ both had the Suns 10th. Marc Stein
> had them slightly better, eighth. Only Bill Simmons of the previews
> I quickly glanced at had the Suns substantially higher -- fifth.