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Hollinger's Usage Rate Equation

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  • sultanoswat@yahoo.com
    Anyone able to get this working? This is what I have for Paul Pierce: FGA: 239 FTA: 249 AST: 3 TO: 45 MIN: 565 (239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25)
    Message 1 of 3 , Dec 5, 2004
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      Anyone able to get this working?

      This is what I have for Paul Pierce:
      FGA: 239
      FTA: 249
      AST: 3
      TO: 45
      MIN: 565

      (239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25) = 0.648969

      I've tried it for a few different players/years, and have yet to get
      anything close to the values he has in the Prospectus/Forecast.

      In the first prospectus it doesn't have the league pace in the
      denominator, but just about everyone ends up with a rate of 30-40
      points higher.

      Can anyone help?
    • John Hollinger
      I somehow left out the Multiply by 40 part. If you re doing a ranking it won t affect the order at all, but it makes the rating a measure of how many
      Message 2 of 3 , Dec 5, 2004
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        I somehow left out the "Multiply by 40" part. If you're doing a
        ranking it won't affect the order at all, but it makes the rating a
        measure of how many posesssions a guy uses per 40 minutes.

        John



        --- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, sultanoswat@y... wrote:
        >
        > Anyone able to get this working?
        >
        > This is what I have for Paul Pierce:
        > FGA: 239
        > FTA: 249
        > AST: 3
        > TO: 45
        > MIN: 565
        >
        > (239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25) = 0.648969
        >
        > I've tried it for a few different players/years, and have yet to
        get
        > anything close to the values he has in the Prospectus/Forecast.
        >
        > In the first prospectus it doesn't have the league pace in the
        > denominator, but just about everyone ends up with a rate of 30-40
        > points higher.
        >
        > Can anyone help?
      • sultanoswat@yahoo.com
        Thanks John - that was it. ... a ... 40
        Message 3 of 3 , Dec 5, 2004
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          Thanks John - that was it.

          --- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, "John Hollinger"
          <alleyoop2@y...> wrote:
          >
          > I somehow left out the "Multiply by 40" part. If you're doing a
          > ranking it won't affect the order at all, but it makes the rating
          a
          > measure of how many posesssions a guy uses per 40 minutes.
          >
          > John
          >
          >
          >
          > --- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, sultanoswat@y... wrote:
          > >
          > > Anyone able to get this working?
          > >
          > > This is what I have for Paul Pierce:
          > > FGA: 239
          > > FTA: 249
          > > AST: 3
          > > TO: 45
          > > MIN: 565
          > >
          > > (239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25) = 0.648969
          > >
          > > I've tried it for a few different players/years, and have yet to
          > get
          > > anything close to the values he has in the Prospectus/Forecast.
          > >
          > > In the first prospectus it doesn't have the league pace in the
          > > denominator, but just about everyone ends up with a rate of 30-
          40
          > > points higher.
          > >
          > > Can anyone help?
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