--- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com
, "Dean Oliver" <deano@r...>
>... AI's 2004 season was a bit worse than his 2003 season, which
> was worse than his 2001 season. Why? Was that predictable? Is it
> age? Is it coaching? Is it injuries (the guy doesn't seem to show
> much pain)?
It's age; and the injuries that come with the minutes. You may
safely predict another season of decline.
>... I knew AI would do worse once Larry Brown left, ...
With or without Coach X, Iverson is past his prime, and will decline
most (if not all years) henceforth.
> This is relevant for Q, too. His first 2 seasons in the league
> much better than his last two.
His first 2 years, his shooting % was better. But his last 2 years
have produced more rebounds and assists.
Q Rich's 2004 was much better than 2003 or his rookie year.
> ...I've been thinking it's
> injury-related, but some have suggested that it's related to
> with Corey Maggette. There are reasons to doubt the Maggette
> rationale, but if it is true, he should be better in Phoenix.
The Clippers look like a(nother) team without a true center and
subsequently, have a lot of shuffling positions.
QRich (listed at SG) is 2nd on the team in rebounds. The other SG
(Jaric) led the team in assists.
So going to a team where his position is actually defined would
likely help. (To me, his stats look like a SF -- same as Maggette,
Simmons, and Barnes, on the Clipps.)
> Finally, Bob mentioned that McGrady's 2003 season was about as
> some of MJs best.
Did Bob say that? Jordan had several seasons better. It looks more
like an average Jordan year, to me.
> I can see why he says that, but one big thing would
> keep me from agreeing -- consistency. In MJ's top seasons, he was
> dominant every night. My "game-by-game win-loss record" for MJ was
> typically 60+ wins and about 20 losses, implying that he had a good
> night about 3/4ths of the time. McGrady, on the other hand, had
> monster nights that made his season total look good, but also had
> mediocre nights, for a similar total of 47-28 that season.
Does this relative inconsistency hurt a mediocre team as much as it
would an elite team? Would it actually be a Good quality with a bad
> > ... play tim duncan 40
> min/g on
> > the spurs and they finish 18-20 games better per 82 game season
> if duncan
> > was replaced by the likes of antoine walker, walter mccarty, or
> > robinson.
Walker is interchangeable with McCarty? Wow.
Mark Cuban (on his blog) gives a glowing review of Walker's year in
Dallas. But then, he is shopping him . . .