Re: The most important stat that nobody seems to use! (PER differential)
- --- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, Gabe Farkas <gabefark@y...> wrote:
>Calling a team offensive or defensive is kind of silly if you think
> "2) I disagree that it doesn't matter if you have an
> offensive or defensive team. Team chemistry and a
> cohesive strategy are pretty important in my book.
> Just look at the Pistons: everyone knows their role
> and they play team D."
about it. Every team is both. The point is to win which means scoring
more than your opponent. What does it matter if you win 100-90 or
70-63? The Pistons are a very good team because they have a bunch of
guys who outplay the man guarding them.
One stat I also like to look at is how many shots a guy takes vs. the
man guarding him. For example Brian Cardinal takes .2 shots less per
48 minutes than the man guarding him.
Earl Boykins takes 6.8 more shots per 48 minutes than the man guarding
So when building a team it is important to be sure that guys can take
the number of shots they like to take. Five Earl Boykins type guys
with field goal attempts wouldn't work. But this is a relatively
simple proposition and doesn't involve characterizing a team as
offensive or defensive. Optimally you'd want great offense and great
defense, like the Bulls used to have.
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>From: "mrintp2000" <shzys@...>Isn't zone played some in the NBA? Don't players play a variety of matchups
>Subject: [APBR_analysis] The most important stat that nobody seems to use!
>Date: Mon, 03 May 2004 23:11:09 -0000
>I've read a lot of the discussion about the PER and many people seem
>to correctly regard it as the best way to measure a players
>production. But even better, is to measure a player production vs. his
>opposing player. This way, defense is correctly valued by the stats
>without an overemphasis on creating defensive stats that don't exist
>or overvaluing unimportant stats. Allow me to illustrate with an
in a game?
Isn't it often hard to classify what position a player really plays (let
alone the position he defends)?
Don't get me wrong - the PER differential can give SOME insight. But we
need to remember the limitations.
I can promise you that Reggie Miller's low opposing SG PER can be greatly
attributed to Ron Artest (and maybe a few others). That's the type of thing
I'm talking about.
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