Re: New file uploaded to APBR_analysis
- Well, Dr. Oliver, I tried my best to make sense of this article; but,
having failed miserably, I am somewhat consoled by my
underappreciation of the conclusion you mention.
--- In APBR_analysis@y..., "HoopStudies" <deano@r...> wrote:
> ..... the results, which showed that, uh, Dennis
> Rodman produced the most individual wins in 1998.
It is my dream that basketball statistics can become 'good' enough
that 'playing for statistics' is good enough. (Playing more like
Rodman would not improve most players' games, so I am not pursuing an
understanding of that method.)
At one time, per-game averages were the standard, and about the only
statistics considered important. Thus, some guys were always trying
to 'get theirs', and felt good about scoring 20 or whatever.
Now the sophisticated fan (and the coach, and the teammates) knows
the difference between playing for individual stats, and playing to
win. Stats may have hurt team play in some cases, and stats may be
improving somewhat, to where players are thinking about shooting pct
and reduced turnovers, for example.
It would be nice to believe that coaches are not puppets manipulated
by the front office and the players, and that bad 'team' players do
not get more minutes just because of their big salaries or their
gaudy numbers. Exceptions aside, one can assume that playing time =
value to team.
So under ideal coaching circumstances, it just might be possible that
a number could be derived from each players production/productivity;
and combined with a similar team number, they could actually be
assigned ratings of their actual value in the league.
Such a number could determine salary, trade value, all-star status,
MVP, hall-of-fame status, all-time ranking, or anything else.
The important thing is, the Number has to be a measure of excellence,
Now to specifics: Bo Outlaw is unselfish, but he is not one of the
league's greatest players (nor was he in 1998). For that matter, in
1998, Dennis Rodman was on the brink of unemployability. Both of
these guys missed very few shots (because they attempted very few),
and rebounded well. Good players, but no big deal.
Missing a lot of shots does not make Allen Iverson (or Jerry
Stackhouse) worse than they would be if they shot very rarely. Such
assertions (and the blinding Greek-infested equations) can hardly
attract a casual fan, or a general manager, to the method employed.
Well, I've rambled long enough,
Mike Goodman, PHD
(that's Post Hole Digger)
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Description : Analysis of the Golden State Warriors 2004-05 Season
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