--- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com
, sultanoswat@y... wrote:
> I'm a bit confused by the "Game State Matrix" (.pdf) in the files
> section. Shouldn't the HomeWin%(lead0) = 1 - RoadWin%(lead0)? If the
> lead is 0 the game is tied and it's the same event, so one should be
> the opposite odds as the other.
> It looks like the first line for RoadWin% is messed up, especially
> near closer to the left side.
Uh, yeah, that was a typo or space alien hijacking my computer. I
honestly don't know what happened, but that first line was screwed up
and I don't know how. I've replaced it. Stupid space aliens.
Author, Basketball on Paper
"There are a lot of math guys who just rush from the numbers to the
conclusion. . .they'll tell you that Shaq is a real good player but
his team would win a couple more games a year if he could hit a free
throw. Dean is more than that; he's really struggling to understand
the actual problem, rather than the statistical after-image of it. I
learn a lot by reading him." Bill James, author Baseball Abstract