## Re: clutch performance

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• Taking my list of the 515 most productive players of all time, I find the following breakdown for career Playoff/Regular Season production rate: PO/RS # %
Message 1 of 2 , Dec 3, 2001
Taking my list of the 515 'most productive' players of all time, I
find the following breakdown for career Playoff/Regular Season
production rate:

PO/RS # % of T
1.10+ 17 .034
1.05+ 51 .100
1.00+ 134 .264
.95+ 263 .518

So, only 26.4% of all players actually improve their production in
the playoffs, and only 10% improve by as much as 5%.

The median ratio is .947.

The breakdown continues as such:
PO/RS # % of T
.95- 244 .482
.90- 131 .258
.85- 57 .112
.80- 35 .069
.75- 17 .034

So a player who picks up his game by as much as 10% is as rare as a
player who's game diminishes by 25%.

( 8 of the 515 have no playoff appearances)

It seems that we could compare playoff production against the median
of .947 production, to get an idea of playoff over/under-
achievement. Actually, I think I did that once, and for player
careers, you still get some irregularities, such as Bill Cartwright,
who played most of his playoff minutes well past his prime, etc. So,
a season-by-season analysis might be in order.

--- In APBR_analysis@y..., bchaikin@a... wrote:
>
> i also don't know exactly what most people mean by "clutch", but
i've found
> better overall playoff performance versus regular season
performance a good
> criteria. a player can always "...take a night off..." during the
regular
> season, but in the playoffs that can mean suicide. thus if a
player's overall
> per minute numbers are better in the playoffs, plus their shooting
> percentages, to me that means he's a clutch player...
>
> bob chaikin
> bchaikin@b...
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