immediate LeBron convert
- ...one game is all it took and I'm a believer. I would change my
rookie of the year vote in a heartbeat -- I don't think it will be
any contest barring injury.
On another note, with every team having played a game (Memphis
finally got started last night) we've updated the 82games site with
the 03-04 stats.
LeBron's initial unadjusted "Roland Rating" is +34.7! (Not that it
means much, Rasheed Wallace is +79 after the one game...)
To answer another question, we do have various adjusted ratings
we've built, that we're continuing to work on, and we've already got
a couple of "hoops stats" professors wanting to take their turn at
creating Sagarin/Winston style ratings. I imagine we will start
publishing some of these more refined looks soon enough (and it will
be interesting to compare them). On the other hand, there's always
likely to be some material we keep to a limited audience.
Presenting the unadjusted numbers first makes sense, since any kind
of adjustment is pretty much becoming entailing some assumptions and
subjectivity -- Lewis just scored 50 against the Clippers...we could
adjust that down because he was facing the Clips, in Japan, without
Ray Allen in the lineup, without Brand blocking his shots...and we'd
end up with another average game, but what's the joy in that!
I would add that the anti-Ostertag contingent are right of course
that he's not the 7th best played in the league (which begs the
question of course, if the NBA scrapped the team idea and went to
pure one-one-one ball, who would rank at the top of the league and
what type of players? can't see Shaq doing well in full court one-
on-one!), but even with the adjustments we can make for other
players on the floor at the time, he still ranks as one of the most
significant players to his team last season...and he's off to a good
start this year too!