Re: games won and lost
- --- In APBR_analysis@y..., "John Grasso" <johng@s...> wrote:
> Has anyone ever calculated a very basic simple stat - games won andlost by
> player?I have done all but the 3rd option before. I've never put together
> This can be done in one of several ways -
> - games won by player's team whether or not he played in the game
> - games won by player's team when he played in the game
> - games won by player's team when he played x minutes in the game
> It might lead to some interesting results.
much of a study other than one section of this article:
For the '97-98 season, Adam Keefe was the best looking at your 2nd
bullet. You end up with very strong team correlations within one
season. Over the course of a career, you would hopefully lose some
of that, but it wouldn't distinguish between Stockton and Malone,
Jordan and Pippen, for example.
The third bullet is a little weird. What I have found is that
minutes played don't correlate very well with winning for a lot of
players. For instance, you take out your starters if you are winning
by 30 in the 3rd quarter, so their minutes are low in this case.
Further, we know that if the good players don't get much playing
time, the team generally won't win much. The two factors tend to
cancel each other out. Perhaps you could look at non-blowouts. I've
never done that.
Another thing that was once suggested to me was to look for similar
boxscores, where teammates all played similar minutes. That should,
by their thinking, predict how well the team did. So if Seattle
played LA twice and all their guys played about the same number of
minutes, they should score the same, allow the same. I've never
Journal of Basketball Studies