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RE: [APBR_analysis] Re: WNBA turnaround: a mathematical approach

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  • Charles Steinhardt
    Very interesting (and obviously not what I d expect looking from the point of view of a fan). Anybody know why the FT disparity has dropped (and how strongly
    Message 1 of 11 , Aug 17, 2001
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      Very interesting (and obviously not what I'd expect looking from the point
      of view of a fan).

      Anybody know why the FT disparity has dropped (and how strongly that
      disparity correlates with winning %)? Have there been new instructions to
      officials?

      On Fri, 17 Aug 2001, Dean LaVergne wrote:

      >
      > -----Original Message-----
      > From: Charles Steinhardt [mailto:charles@...]
      >
      >
      >
      >
      > 2) There is no equivalent of the free throw in baseball, and in fact all
      > new stadia are forced to put some sort of blue/black screen in
      > straightaway center so that the batter has a good line of sight. Fans can
      > have a very direct impact in basketball that I'd guess is worth as much as
      > 5 points per game (some in increasing the home FT%, some in decreasing
      > that of opponents. Maybe somebody has statistics on this?
      >
      >
      > [Dean LaVergne] It doesn't seem to hold out. For the last ten years:
      >
      > Free Throw Percentage:
      >
      > Season Away Home Diff
      > 1992 75.62% 76.12% 0.51%
      > 1993 75.19% 75.65% 0.46%
      > 1994 73.60% 73.25% -0.35%
      > 1995 73.49% 73.84% 0.34%
      > 1996 73.91% 74.03% 0.12%
      > 1997 73.98% 73.67% -0.31%
      > 1998 73.54% 73.82% 0.28%
      > 1999 72.29% 73.32% 1.02%
      > 2000 74.55% 75.44% 0.89%
      > 2001 74.48% 74.99% 0.51%
      >
      >
      > However, free throws attempted seem a little more significant:
      >
      >
      > Season Away Home Diff % Diff
      > 1992 28,522 30,553 2,031 7.12%
      > 1993 29,715 31,659 1,944 6.54%
      > 1994 28,688 30,131 1,443 5.03%
      > 1995 29,248 30,690 1,442 4.93%
      > 1996 30,587 32,178 1,591 5.20%
      > 1997 29,522 30,272 750 2.54%
      > 1998 30,704 31,799 1,095 3.57%
      > 1999 18,399 19,000 601 3.27%
      > 2000 29,410 30,352 942 3.20%
      > 2001 28,570 29,308 738 2.58%
      >
      >
      > Dean L
      >
      >
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